Amped Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 I'd love to believe I'll get 4-5", but I don't buy this last minute improvement. If the GFS shows the same H5 track time to cancel . 4-5" is bold enough for a big bust if we get 45 minutes of flurries mixed with IP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 But Midlo as of 66 hr...run was horrible...it's all I was sayin. 2 people were having a NAM is great love fest n I just happenned to check ou 0z runat halftime of game, and didnt think so, that's all. Okay I will stop now. I'm good most ppl would be far better off to just check the run once it's over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 If the GFS shows the same H5 track time to cancel . 4-5" is bold enough for a big bust if we get 45 minutes of flurries mixed with IP. I already threw the towel, this was never likely to be a huge storm for us but trends are bad enough that this isn't really worth hoping for anymore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 most ppl would be far better off to just check the run once it's over Yeah but to save time. I enjoy seeing poor analysis and bustrapolation. Thats what makes the forum fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 But Midlo as of 66 hr...run was horrible...it's all I was sayin. 2 people were having a NAM is great love fest n I just happenned to check ou 0z runat halftime of game, and didnt think so, that's all. Okay I will stop now. I'm good regional thread no biggie main weather side is a imby worthless post Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Here's a more "realistic" clown map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 on a positive note (yes, I am capable), for DCA/BWI, this would be a Euro style storm IF it could get going about 4 hours quicker that's not a huge diff and do-able considering the NAM is at the end of its time frame (which incorrectly assumes, of course, it gets better over the short run!) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathergeek Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Your so negative, it makes me sick. Do what you said and log out. Writing on the wall. In all my years of tracking storms, I can never remember a time the models backed off the OV jump BS once they started biting on it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 at least we've got the track!! sorta. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 on a positive note (yes, I am capable), for DCA/BWI, this would be a Euro style storm IF it could get going about 4 hours quicker that's not a huge diff and do-able considering the NAM is at the end of its time frame (which incorrectly assumes, of course, it gets better over the short run!) The setup still has potential, but I can't remember a time this sort of OV jump trend was reversed enough to save us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Your so negative, it makes me sick. Do what you said and log out. Calm down lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 The setup still has potential, but I can't remember a time this sort of OV jump trend was reversed enough to save us. we want to hope for a good front end but the jet stream sucks .. never put too much faith in the low forming on time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathergeek Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 maybe it is the years of looking at the avatar pic, (with the bad eye) gives me the creeps. LOL Calm down lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 maybe it is the years of looking at the avatar pic, (with the bad eye) gives me the creeps. LOL Possibly lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Your so negative, it makes me sick. Do what you said and log out. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 The throw it out comments are getting to be a little much. You probably shouldn't take this/me so seriously. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 You probably shouldn't take this/me so seriously. Oh trust me, I don't lol but it does get old. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JMU2004 Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 its as if people think complaining about the weather will make a difference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathergeek Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Right now the Jets are making me sick. The MA snow chance is starting to look like the feet of Rex Ryan's wife. Stinky...... Oh trust me, I don't lol but it does get old. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 The real dilemma for us idiots, excuse me, I meant weather enthusiasts, will be if the Euro still shows us with a good storm and none of the others do. Everyone has so much faith in that model, even if they don't want to believe, they still probably will. If I've read it once, I've read it a thousand times....don't put faith in the NAM beyond 48 and don't trust precip maps. We seem to be doing both. I think this time tomorrow night we'll know. At least that will be different from the Christmas storm. It pumped us up on Christmas morning only to slit our throat after Christmas dinner. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathergeek Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Best post of the night The real dilemma for us idiots, excuse me, I meant weather enthusiasts, will be if the Euro still shows us with a good storm and none of the others do. Everyone has so much faith in that model, even if they don't want to believe, they still probably will. If I've read it once, I've read it a thousand times....don't put faith in the NAM beyond 48 and don't trust precip maps. We seem to be doing both. I think this time tomorrow night we'll know. At least that will be different from the Christmas storm. It pumped us up on Christmas morning only to slit our throat after Christmas dinner. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathervswife Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 I didn't actually see the GGEM op, but the ensemble mean still looked pretty good. So we have the Canadians and Euros vs the normal people. Honestly, it's still split down the middle. Having said that, the GFS is 'bout to suck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ender Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 The real dilemma for us idiots, excuse me, I meant weather enthusiasts, will be if the Euro still shows us with a good storm and none of the others do. Everyone has so much faith in that model, even if they don't want to believe, they still probably will. If I've read it once, I've read it a thousand times....don't put faith in the NAM beyond 48 and don't trust precip maps. We seem to be doing both. I think this time tomorrow night we'll know. At least that will be different from the Christmas storm. It pumped us up on Christmas morning only to slit our throat after Christmas dinner. Other than a single, quite disturbing, errant run back around 12/16 I haven't seen good reason to question the Euro inside of 84hr. I hope this doesn't shake that confidence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Other than a single, quite disturbing, errant run back around 12/16 I haven't seen good reason to question the Euro inside of 84hr. I hope this doesn't shake that confidence. I'll buy a ticket on that train. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Other than a single, quite disturbing, errant run back around 12/16 I haven't seen good reason to question the Euro inside of 84hr. I hope this doesn't shake that confidence. I will be shocked if the Euro holds tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 I will be shocked if the Euro holds tonight. I'll find out one way or the other in the morning I can;t make another late night over this d@mn thing, that's for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 I didn't actually see the GGEM op, but the ensemble mean still looked pretty good. So we have the Canadians and Euros vs the normal people. Honestly, it's still split down the middle. Having said that, the GFS is 'bout to suck. HA! Well then...let's go socialists!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 I will be shocked if the Euro holds tonight. it'll probably be a slow bleed tonight, qpg goes from .55" to .4-.45", then a little less tomorrow 12Z and by tomorrow night it'll be <.25" just to keep us interested Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SeanVA Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Looking like less energy in the gulf low, more for the what become the OV low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathergeek Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 what are you looking at to say that? I see the opposite,,, Looking like less energy in the gulf low, more for the what become the OV low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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