Dr No Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 It's a weaker version of the NAM... upper support tracks through PA.. Not a good run for the us here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Yes looks west and good for Everyone to the south of us and the north of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VAsnowlvr82 Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 way west nyc looking good Uh I dont think anybody in here gives a bleep about nyc! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Doubt that it will but if that run of the GFS were to verify I might move to mexico...horrible for the mid-Atlantic. We need that phase 100 miles further south. Plenty of time! Not panicking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Can you determine the path of a storm by the curvature of, in this case, the 1020? I can't tell anything by anything. This is just my WAG. It just looks to me like the actual storm is going to be in the OV, at least initially. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Druff Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Sleet fest followed by a dry slot for RIC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 And the rich keep getting richer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathervswife Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Remember when this thing was cutting to the Ohio Valley on Monday and Tuesday? Well once again, short range and long range wins. Mid range guidance screws the pooch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Gotta love the screw dome the GFS is giving us on the 18z. http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/18/images/gfs_p60_090s.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr No Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Nogaps is pretty similar. Bad 18Z suite all around. If there's one positive is that a small shift south would make a world of difference and it's certainly possible given the event is 84 hrs away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Nogaps is pretty similar. Bad 18Z suite all around. If there's one positive is that a small shift south would make a world of difference and it's certainly possible given the event is 84 hrs away. We are boned. These things never look better for us. Go Hoffman. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TowsonWeather Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Gotta love the screw dome the GFS is giving us on the 18z. http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/18/images/gfs_p60_090s.gif If this verifies I might kill myself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Hey Ji, is winter over? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 We might be better off if that OV supercharges and at least gives us a good opening bout of precip coming in from the SW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Nogaps is pretty similar. Bad 18Z suite all around. If there's one positive is that a small shift south would make a world of difference and it's certainly possible given the event is 84 hrs away. Yeah I mean obviously the GFS really is annoying but the NAM shows 2-4 which I'm ok with. If the storm blows up a little faster on either model we are money. Not worried. Looks like snow either way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dalfy Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Yes looks west and good for Everyone to the south of us and the north of us. :lmao: DC snow hole still going strong... If we get screwed over like this again (like we did on the 26th)...... I dont know what Ill do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 good god Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 no doubt the gfs keeps trending toward a screwing with that 500 energy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Mike Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Hey Ji, is winter over? It's all his fault. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 good god You liked this run, huh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 You liked this run, huh? the only real solace is that the gfs has maybe been a little kooky.. though at 500 it's been trending north consistently since yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 This winter is awful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 8, 2011 Author Share Posted January 8, 2011 The euro gives dc .55 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 The euro gives dc .55 usually that would more comforting than it is this season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NinjaWarrior2 Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 18z NAM/DGEX and GFS track Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 at least we've still got this http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/18/images/gfs_pcp_228m.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 This winter is awful. The cold has kept it manageable. 1.5" at BWI since July 1though is pretty.. pathetic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 8, 2011 Author Share Posted January 8, 2011 at least we've still got this http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/18/images/gfs_pcp_228m.gif That's about as realistic as DT becoming a pastor Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Swiscaster Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 If there's one positive is that a small shift south would make a world of difference and it's certainly possible given the event is 84 hrs away. These never trend south. Just north and east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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