Ian Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 3:43 PM, mitchnick said: even though he may be right in the I95 corridor, I think the heavier snow in the Shend/Valley than us is absurd yeah the heavier stuff to the west of us kinda sticks out like a sore thumb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 at 36 gfs does look a bit better at least Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TowsonWeather Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 3:44 PM, Ian said: yeah the heavier stuff to the west of us kinda sticks out like a sore thumb And he has NE MD and the Upper Eastern Shore still in the light stuff, too. That map is horrible. Can't believe that was done by a professional...wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 hooray! -5 UVV's at 36! http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/12/images/gfs_700_036l.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 2:42 PM, WxUSAF said: Assuming better than climo ratios (so, 12-13:1)...if LWX is riding the NAM, I'd expect Warnings for Balt City, Balt County, and Harford County and then Advisories for most of the rest of the area (except far west toward Winchester). What else is new? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 3:46 PM, yoda said: hooray! -5 UVV's at 36! http://www.nco.ncep....fs_700_036l.gif better than 6z at least Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 3:40 PM, Ian said: even henry believes in our bad luck EM should be along to defend this any minute Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TowsonWeather Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 500mb actually looks significantly BETTER on this run (the shortwave continues to dig further S)...the surface still looks meh, however. I think the difference is, the GFS lets more of the energy from the southern piece slide a little further away (E) than the NAM, and it subsequently takes a lot longer to get organized. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 3:48 PM, Ian said: better than 6z at least Defiantly seems to took a step toward the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 42.......ouch. EDIT: Well, it's better than 6z..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 GOOD run on the GFS. Just literally need it to bomb about 40 miles south and we're in business. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 nice move toward nam.. or they are moving together. but there is some consistency b/w the two at least!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TowsonWeather Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 42h panel will probably pop based on the upper levels - might be too late for us though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 3:43 PM, mitchnick said: even though he may be right in the I95 corridor, I think the heavier snow in the Shend/Valley than us is absurd I guess i am riding the Henry train. That one is sure to crash though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 3:49 PM, H2O said: EM should be along to defend this any minute Been wondering why he isn't here defending Accuwx's honor. I want to know how this ridiculous map squares with Accuwx's call for "heavy snow" in the DC-BOS corridor from 5 days ago. Oh and also how they had Atlanta and other big Southern cities barely in the "icing" area if anything at all. What's ATL have now, 4"+? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Too late Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 3:46 PM, Ian said: at 36 gfs does look a bit better at least lp closer to coast at 42 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 it's going to be too late.. give up on it hitting us with wraparound etc unless you're way ne you might get in on the first bits of it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 3:52 PM, yoda said: Too late that's so flipping close to a big hit for us it's not even funny!!!!!!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 0.25" line west of the Bay at 42hr...looks to go straight south to RIC as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 I'd expect a better precip shield and surface reflectiOn with the ul's being more namish this run. Good that I still get 3-4 inches this run even without what the run could've been. Hope the surface catches up and I believe it could. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 3:53 PM, MD Snow said: that's so flipping close to a big hit for us it's not even funny!!!!!!!!!! It doesn't help that the 5h and 7h low go through S PA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 3:51 PM, WxUSAF said: Been wondering why he isn't here defending Accuwx's honor. I want to know how this ridiculous map squares with Accuwx's call for "heavy snow" in the DC-BOS corridor from 5 days ago. Oh and also how they had Atlanta and other big Southern cities barely in the "icing" area if anything at all. What's ATL have now, 4"+? To be fair, this map is for the storm starting today. Most of the deep south got their snow last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 3:53 PM, Ian said: it's going to be too late.. give up on it hitting us with wraparound etc unless you're way ne you might get in on the first bits of it On 1/10/2011 at 3:04 PM, stormtracker said: Lets just all accept the fact that we'll get a nice 6 hour period of light to moderate snow and call it a day. No need to be negative, but lets be realistic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 3:43 PM, mitchnick said: even though he may be right in the I95 corridor, I think the heavier snow in the Shend/Valley than us is absurd Watch it, by God! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TowsonWeather Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Good news is, NY/NJ/LI/CT/ENE will get buried. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 3:54 PM, Fozz said: To be fair, this map is for the storm starting today. Most of the deep south got their snow last night. as a whole they gave too little attention to the south imo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 3:54 PM, Fozz said: To be fair, this map is for the storm starting today. Most of the deep south got their snow last night. I know...I'm speaking about their map from several days ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 3:55 PM, TowsonWeather said: Good news is, NY/NJ/LI/CT will get buried. the look of boston getting crushed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 3:51 PM, WxUSAF said: Been wondering why he isn't here defending Accuwx's honor. I want to know how this ridiculous map squares with Accuwx's call for "heavy snow" in the DC-BOS corridor from 5 days ago. Oh and also how they had Atlanta and other big Southern cities barely in the "icing" area if anything at all. What's ATL have now, 4"+? I thought i read they 8 or 9" in spots Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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