mdsnowlover Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 1:47 PM, mitchnick said: SREF are now absolutely screaming rerun of 12/26 it would be funny if there is a complete repeat of 12/26. A lot of people will look incompetent , again. Let's hope not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lsukev Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 1:47 PM, mitchnick said: SREF are now absolutely screaming rerun of 12/26 B-O-R-I-N-G Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 10, 2011 Author Share Posted January 10, 2011 this pattern is not really that surprising for DC Balt. when storms have to redevelop over our latitude(Miller , we get screwed every time. Nothing has really changed. Miller B's screw me and DT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 1:47 PM, mitchnick said: SREF are now absolutely screaming rerun of 12/26 Screaming it so loud I can't hear anything else. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
budice2002 Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 NAM is running Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 The NAM will probably look good, but I will no longer believe it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SNO Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 1:48 PM, Fozz said: Do you think we don't know all of this already? Fozz just trying to put a positive spin on the situation. I want 3 feet of snow, but that will not happen with this storm. Plus it is educational and fun to track any storm and see how the weather plays out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Before the next model runs, a quick question...there is a low tracking along the GOM, and it is what is bringing the goodness to TN, MS, AL, GA and NC. Do I understand this set-up right in that that low will die out or wash out before heading this way and the low that will eventually probably bury SNE is going to be the result of energy hopping from the Midwest to the coast but developing too far north for us? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 SREF actually has the low closer to the coast but starts phasing much farther to the north then the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 1:54 PM, NE Balti Zen said: Before the next model runs, a quick question...there is a low tracking along the GOM, and it is what is bringing the goodness to TN, MS, AL, GA and NC. Do I understand this set-up right in that that low will die out or wash out before heading this way and the low that will eventually probably bury SNE is going to be the result of energy hopping from the Midwest to the coast but developing too far north for us? pretty much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 1:52 PM, Fozz said: The NAM will probably look good, but I will no longer believe it. Yeah the NAM will probably show something better than the other models again, but its not really a surprise, it often overdoes QPF...take it with a compromise of the GFS and EURO, way to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 10, 2011 Author Share Posted January 10, 2011 NAM loooks a bit more west than 6z? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 SREF looks like it has the OV low running more to the west and deeper into the OV up into the lakes then the other models. Also shows very little interaction between that low and the coastal low for over 15 hours so you have to wonder if that is a viable solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On the NAM it appears to be digging just as deep at H5 as 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 10, 2011 Author Share Posted January 10, 2011 NAM is really digging a strong s/w Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ovechkin Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 2:08 PM, Ji said: NAM is really digging a strong s/w I'm sure that will please the folks in NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdsnowlover Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 I wish someone who knew what they were analyzing was giving pbp of the nam run. Any other takers/?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 10, 2011 Author Share Posted January 10, 2011 very impressive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhiteoutMD Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 looks like an eye on the sim radar at 36? On 1/10/2011 at 2:08 PM, Ji said: NAM is really digging a strong s/w Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 2:06 PM, Fozz said: On the NAM it appears to be digging just as deep at H5 as 0z. Did you expect it to be different? it will continue to be a little different than the other models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdsnowlover Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 does that sim radar make any sense/???It looks very healthy for cent va, dc and cent md. yet I think dt is saying that cent va may get dryslot???It would veryify lwx wsw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 2:11 PM, Ji said: very impressive explosion from 6 hours earlier Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdsnowlover Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 2:12 PM, Midlo Snow Maker said: explosion from 6 hours earlier Midlo it looks like both lows intensify at the same time. Is that possible or likely? Maybe this is why the nam is screwy?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 2:12 PM, Midlo Snow Maker said: explosion from 6 hours earlier Not unlike what the two WRFs had from 00z. Pretty good early interaction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Phase is happening Quicker on this run 10 mb drop from 36 hr to 42. This is what we want to see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
needbiggerboat Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 looks a bit better @42 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdsnowlover Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 2:14 PM, showmethesnow said: Phase is happening Quicker on this run 10 mb drop from 36 hr to 42. This is what we want to see. but is it accurrate??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 I'll take .25 QPF and run screaming for the hills that the 12z NAM gives me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Its fairly similar in terms of QPF to last nights run, at least for MD anyway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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