mitchnick Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 1:49 AM, mitchnick said: much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Pretty monstrous shift on the SREFs. Could be an interesting 00Z suite. Strap in, weenies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 1:52 AM, PhineasC said: Pretty monstrous shift on the SREFs. Could be an interesting 00Z suite. Strap in on weenies. fixed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 1:52 AM, PhineasC said: Pretty monstrous shift on the SREFs. Could be an interesting 00Z suite. Strap in, weenies. This winter, we're all already strapped for snow.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tcutter Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 1:52 AM, PhineasC said: Pretty monstrous shift on the SREFs. Could be an interesting 00Z suite. Strap in, weenies. earthlight seems pretty excited about that.......hope it happens for you guys!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 It will be important that people need to recognize that the ceiling for this event should be pretty low....the question to me is have the models shown that ceiling yet....I certainly know they have shown the basement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 1:52 AM, PhineasC said: Pretty monstrous shift on the SREFs. Could be an interesting 00Z suite. Strap in, weenies. Just you wait for the WRF-ARW and WRF-NMM tomorrow. They are going to be freaking epic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 very nice shift on the SREFs hope its a good trend and not a fluke Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 1:55 AM, leesburg 04 said: It will be important that people need to recognize that the ceiling for this event should be pretty low....the question to me is have the models shown that ceiling yet....I certainly know they have shown the basement. People like to fall intro traps they just got out of. This is a good post tho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 1:55 AM, leesburg 04 said: It will be important that people need to recognize that the ceiling for this event should be pretty low....the question to me is have the models shown that ceiling yet....I certainly know they have shown the basement. Yes, I think we are scrounging for a solid 4 inches across the area with lollipops to 5 as a very top-end. Don't need much really. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Colonel Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 1:55 AM, WxUSAF said: Just you wait for the WRF-ARW and WRF-NMM tomorrow. They are going to be freaking epic. while we are at it..lets resurrect the MM5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 1:59 AM, Ian said: People like to fall intro traps they just got out of. This is a good post tho. I feel like every time I make a post you are watching me shaking your head. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 nam is rolling out to 18 hrs, looks a touch deeper Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 24 hrs NAM definitely has more intense precip off the SE coast than 18Z 30hrs suggesting earlier developement Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 2:00 AM, PhineasC said: I feel like every time I make a post you are watching me shaking your head. there's something to be said about the emotional swings in these threads. we need positive people. this one might still surprise people who have given up on winter for the last 6 hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lsukev Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Looks like the SREF's have the coastal low at 1008mb about six hours sooner than 15Z. That's the same trend the 18Z GFS seemed to show. That is, quicker development of the coastal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Hey. Hi. How you been? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 oh yeah, I like NAM at 24 decent uvv's in the SE looks to be a tad slower, which is great, giving it more time to develop further south hope the trend continues Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
derecho Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Nam looks slower at 30, interesting stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 2:02 AM, stormtracker said: Hey. Hi. How you been? Hi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 2:02 AM, Ian said: there's something to be said about the emotional swings in these threads. we need positive people. this one might still surprise people who have given up on winter for the last 6 hrs. Hi Turns out, all I needed was the laughter of children. And gettin' some. Not at the same time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 1016 Low popped off SE coast at 30 hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 2:04 AM, leesburg 04 said: Hi Hi there friend. I'm back to my normal self. I was the incredible hulk last night. Did I miss anything? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 2:04 AM, stormtracker said: Hi Turns out, all I needed was the laughter of children. And gettin' some. Not at the same time. I'm glad that you qualified your statement. I heard that Chris Hansen from Dateline monitors this forum. MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 2:05 AM, stormtracker said: Hi there friend. I'm back to my normal self. I was the incredible hulk last night. Did I miss anything? I think mostly positive trends today...we started out pretty good this morning and had a few up and down moments but mostly a two step forward one step back kind of day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 2:04 AM, stormtracker said: Hi Turns out, all I needed was the laughter of children. And gettin' some. Not at the same time. lol nam looks pretty similar at lvls.. i think it might fill in a bit moisture wise around here tho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 30 hrs precip in SE is further south and more of it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 2:04 AM, stormtracker said: Hi Turns out, all I needed was the laughter of children. And gettin' some. Not at the same time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 SREFs were a c***tease on Christmas. I can't take them seriously this go round. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 2:07 AM, Ian said: lol nam looks pretty similar at lvls.. i think it might fill in a bit moisture wise around here tho I tried going back in this thread to see what the earlier models said. I aint reading all that. I'll take leesburg word for it. I honestly didn't look at anything today. I'm going to assume we're primmed for an inch or two of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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