PhineasC Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 On 1/9/2011 at 2:28 AM, 33andrain said: Sorry if you have a hard time dealing with the truth guy. This Michigan transplant loves the snow as much as the next guy, but it is what is. Go away. We have enough trolls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Through 54HR looks like a step back from the ledge for the NAM. Might be a little better down here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 On 1/9/2011 at 2:25 AM, 33andrain said: Not going to happen again for the Baltimore area. Next. storm mode! this will get you 5 posts per day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 On 1/9/2011 at 2:28 AM, 33andrain said: Sorry if you have a hard time dealing with the truth guy. This Michigan transplant loves the snow as much as the next guy, but it is what is. Okay dude. Whatever. Troll. The model isn't even out to a reasonable point yet. It's about to be but not yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 there's no Surface Low off the SE coast at 60 hrs it won;t work with that scenario http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/nam/00/images/nam_pcp_060l.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 On 1/9/2011 at 2:29 AM, mattie g said: Throw it out. The throw it out comments are getting to be a little much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathervswife Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Looks to me like the coastal is a little stronger, but unfortunately it's consolidating most of the moisture off shore. How can we make this one work? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
33andrain Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Time will tell. This will be my last meaningless post, ok. Sorry guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 on this run, at least, its ova' http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/nam/00/images/nam_ref_060l.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Eh, looks bad at 66HR. We are cooked on the NAM, I suspect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 On 1/9/2011 at 2:33 AM, mitchnick said: on this run, at least, its ova' http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/nam/00/images/nam_ref_060l.gif Once the models latch onto this OV jump crap they rarely back off enough for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Good initially at H5 and H85, but I see some weird solutions at the surface. I kinda suspect there are some CFI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 On 1/9/2011 at 2:33 AM, PhineasC said: Eh, looks bad at 66HR. We are cooked on the NAM, I suspect. the western vort has been delayed little by little to a point that we just have a completely different solution than before today its probably because all the vorts are on shore it probably ain't in the cards again, that's all better to know sooner than later and stop wasting time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 On 1/9/2011 at 2:35 AM, ddweatherman said: Good initially at H5 and H85, but I see some weird solutions at the surface. I kinda suspect there are some CFI. No, it just sucks. Move on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 man, you're gonna need to go pretty far north up the coast to make this work Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathervswife Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 On 1/9/2011 at 2:33 AM, PhineasC said: Eh, looks bad at 66HR. We are cooked on the NAM, I suspect. There is virtually nothing on the coast. The long range guidance from earlier this week will likely be correct. There's a storm in the OH valley....and that's about it, for us anyway. GFS wins this?????? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 72, We're dryslotted and it hasn't even started yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 On 1/9/2011 at 2:38 AM, weathervswife said: There is virtually nothing on the coast. The long range guidance from earlier this week will likely be correct. There's a storm in the OH valley....and that's about it, for us anyway. GFS wins this?????? Euro will surely cave and prove again its uselessness in the medium range this winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 If this continues this will suck up the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 On 1/9/2011 at 2:38 AM, Mad Cheese said: 72, We're dryslotted and it hasn't even started yet well, the mets can't screw up this forecast of course, forecasts for no snow around here have a way of working out 99 times out of 100 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
33andrain Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 So, like I was saying when i was killed here a few minutes ago. It's not in the cards AGAIN for Baltimore, damn it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathervswife Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 On 1/9/2011 at 2:38 AM, mitchnick said: Euro will surely cave and prove again its uselessness in the medium range this winter I will wave my flag late tonight and fart in the Euro's general direction....if/when it caves. What in the world has happened to the Euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 On 1/9/2011 at 2:40 AM, mitchnick said: well, the mets can't screw up this forecast of course, forecasts for no snow around here have a way of working out 99 times out of 100 They'll call for a chance of flurries and everyone will race to the supermarkets. Then they'll be shocked when it's just flurries. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr No Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 I didn't think it was possible for future runs to be anymore north in the OV than the 18Z runs... and yet this one is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 a slp finally shows up off the coast at 72 hours, but by that time, its way too late for us looks like the 5H vort never dug like previously progged and took a left at Buckeye's house oh yeah, congrats Buckeye! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pojrzsho Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 such a strange run...looked horrible til 78, and then a decent comeback Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Should bomb just in time to slam NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 On 1/9/2011 at 2:43 AM, pojrzsho said: such a strange run...looked horrible til 78, and then a decent comeback Still looks terrible to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 78 some light stuff magically pops up. H5 is horrible, closed over Cleveland and moving NE.. This will surely be less than a 3hr event before the dryslot. Edit: with Ptype issues.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SeanVA Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Well **** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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