PhineasC Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 On 1/7/2011 at 5:27 PM, Ian said: not necessarily but i think it might be close -- no waffling here (for now) The Euro is still our daddy, I think. It will be hard to not get a twinge of excitement if it dumps .5 on us at 12Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 On 1/7/2011 at 5:46 PM, PhineasC said: The Euro is still our daddy, I think. It will be hard to not get a twinge of excitement if it dumps .5 on us at 12Z. yeah probably. i dont know if i expect that.. i think it already looks fairly similar to the gfs so hopefully that continues so the forecast is easier than the last few Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 where is Euro play by play going to be? here or SE forum? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quasievil Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 I know we're looking ahead to Tuesday but tomorrow might not be terrible either all things considering. Maybe 1-3. I'll take that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Colonel Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 On 1/7/2011 at 5:48 PM, mitchnick said: where is Euro play by play going to be? here or SE forum? Midlo's done a good job the past few runs here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 On 1/7/2011 at 5:48 PM, Ian said: yeah probably. i dont know if i expect that.. i think it already looks fairly similar to the gfs so hopefully that continues so the forecast is easier than the last few If you are looking for lock-in at 100 hours away, forget it, IMO. I expect the models to all go OTS at some point leaving us watching for the last minute move back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 On 1/7/2011 at 5:48 PM, mitchnick said: where is Euro play by play going to be? here or SE forum? hr 36 about the same as 0z 500 pv backside is further east a little Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 hr 42 s/w stronger south west and north west pv a little east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 DCA-,09" tomorrow AM BWI-.10" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 On 1/7/2011 at 5:57 PM, Midlo Snow Maker said: hr 36 about the same as 0z 500 pv backside is further east a little Give me a SECS or I will cry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 7, 2011 Author Share Posted January 7, 2011 some weenie in the philly board had a thread saying if people thought they would get 3 more KU's this season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 On 1/7/2011 at 5:59 PM, mitchnick said: DCA-,09" tomorrow AM BWI-.10" IAD-.08" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 On 1/7/2011 at 5:59 PM, mitchnick said: DCA-,09" tomorrow AM BWI-.10" 1-2 inches looks locked in for us. Remote chance of 3 NE of me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 On 1/7/2011 at 5:59 PM, PhineasC said: Give me a SECS or I will cry. you're not the first grown man to say that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 48 s/w about the same pv back side east and more ridging ahead of the s/w Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 On 1/7/2011 at 6:00 PM, PhineasC said: 1-2 inches looks locked in for us. Remote chance of 3 NE of me. Martin Airport-.14" BWI picks up an additional .01 so .11" total Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 On 1/7/2011 at 6:01 PM, Midlo Snow Maker said: 48 s/w about the same pv back side east and more ridging ahead of the s/w Sounds good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 On 1/7/2011 at 5:55 PM, PhineasC said: If you are looking for lock-in at 100 hours away, forget it, IMO. I expect the models to all go OTS at some point leaving us watching for the last minute move back. thanks, this is my first storm watching models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 54 s/w a little stronger s/w nw. a little stronger pv more east precip further north in tx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 hr 60 wow s/w much stronger northern branch diving in hard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 On 1/7/2011 at 5:59 PM, mitchnick said: DCA-,09" tomorrow AM BWI-.10" Sounds like a nice 1-2" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 On 1/7/2011 at 6:02 PM, Ian said: thanks, this is my first storm watching models It sounded like it since you were hugging the GFS at 100 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 66 s/w neg tilted a little stromger hair more ridging pv nw stronger atl pv east precip further nort Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 euro looks pretty similar to 0z to me thru 72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Bring this one home, Midlo... and by home, I mean my home, and if it's convenient, your home also, but mostly my home and f- the rest of the universe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 On 1/7/2011 at 6:07 PM, Ian said: euro looks pretty similar to 0z to me thru 72 FWIW, I am reading in the SE thread that its further north at 72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 On 1/7/2011 at 6:04 PM, Midlo Snow Maker said: hr 60 wow s/w much stronger northern branch diving in hard On 1/7/2011 at 6:07 PM, Ian said: euro looks pretty similar to 0z to me thru 72 lol I read midlo and have hope and then there's... I'm going to tune into the midlo channel as the SE folks are backing him up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 On 1/7/2011 at 6:08 PM, yoda said: FWIW, I am reading in the SE thread that its further north at 72 at 78 the precip extension is almost identical.. 500 may be a smidge better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 BTW, aren't we supposed to be doing this in the 12z model thread There is no Euro analysis there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 SE thread boys say the Euro weakens the Gulf Low I think that's good as precip is further north the hanging around and waiting for N stream energy is still on the table Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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