Ji Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 All the models have something and Wes likes the pattern after the clipper. I think its worth tracking now in its own thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 3, 2011 Author Share Posted January 3, 2011 JB thought the euro was on drugs last night with the 00z EURO Miller B Bomb so you know when he isnt on board, its a lost cause. However, he is all over the Jan 11-14 threat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 mods, can you pin this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowtrain Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 On 1/3/2011 at 7:59 PM, Ji said: All the models have something and Wes likes the pattern after the clipper. I think its worth tracking now in its own thread You read my mind. I have been intrigued with this time frame since yesterday and I think it has the potential for a major impact storm and starting a thread now is great!!!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 I am already throwing this threat out. 3 inches at most (5% chance). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 On 1/3/2011 at 8:02 PM, PhineasC said: I am already throwing this threat out. 3 inches at most (5% chance). 5% chance is probably good in this range.. 3" at most.. why? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 On 1/3/2011 at 8:04 PM, Ian said: 5% chance is probably good in this range.. 3" at most.. why? Ji started the thread? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 Accuweather forecast gives me like 12-13 inches of snow around the 11th period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 On 1/3/2011 at 8:08 PM, usedtobe said: Ji started the thread? http://instantrimshot.com/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rainstorm Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 DT says it could be big and the euro is likely wrong as the low would form further south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 On 1/3/2011 at 8:11 PM, rainstorm said: DT says it could be big and the euro is likely wrong as the low would form further south. i guess he's due to get one of these day 8-10 things right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 since it keeps getting pushed back should someone start a storm threat thread dated Jan 15-17th just in case Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FrederickWX Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 On 1/3/2011 at 8:02 PM, PhineasC said: I am already throwing this threat out. 3 inches at most (5% chance). Are you trying to make Ji's head explode? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rainstorm Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 Wxrisk.com 12Z EURO for 2nd run in a row and 3rd in last 4.. has significant East Coast low developing along or Just off SC coast JAN 11 then undergoes rapid development so that by JAN 12 it is 100 miles east of CAPE MAY. FULL UPDATE 430-500PM ON WEB SITE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FrederickWX Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 On 1/3/2011 at 8:29 PM, rainstorm said: Wxrisk.com 12Z EURO for 2nd run in a row and 3rd in last 4.. has significant East Coast low developing along or Just off SC coast JAN 11 then undergoes rapid development so that by JAN 12 it is 100 miles east of CAPE MAY. FULL UPDATE 430-500PM ON WEB SITE Saw that. I'm not going to get excited or invested in any model runs until we get a lot closer to the event. However, it is encouraging that there are at least some snow storm threats hanging out on the horizon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 You should change the thread title to "Day 10 threat" and just leave it open throughout the winter.. It will be valid on any given day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 On 1/3/2011 at 8:04 PM, Ian said: 5% chance is probably good in this range.. 3" at most.. why? La Nina climo and my personal research. I cannot share my methods with you. They are proprietary. No storm, deal with it, mark my words, etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 I agree with everything you said except for the La Nina reference. La Nina is a hoax perpetrated upon the masses in hopes of killing all hope. On 1/3/2011 at 9:38 PM, PhineasC said: La Nina climo and my personal research. I cannot share my methods with you. They are proprietary. No storm, deal with it, mark my words, etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
needbiggerboat Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 this region's thread has much open minded discussion regarding the full range of pattern and model outcomes. the nyc/phil threads are very useful for model analysis, but man some are uber-sensitive to any contrary opinion or input against best case scenarios. what gives? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 On 1/3/2011 at 10:07 PM, needbiggerboat said: this region's thread has much open minded discussion regarding the full range of pattern and model outcomes. the nyc/phil threads are very useful for model analysis, but man some are uber-sensitive to any contrary opinion or input against best case scenarios. what gives? it's the same region who has elevated someone who reposts euro output to a godlike status .. not to start regional wars but they got some uber weenies there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 On 1/3/2011 at 10:09 PM, Ian said: it's the same region who has elevated someone who reposts euro output to a godlike status .. not to start regional wars but they got some uber weenies there I think you may have just started our version of the korean wars . Let us hope Kim Jung Il throws us some snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SeanVA Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 By "region" you must mean the DC guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 On 1/3/2011 at 10:15 PM, SeanVA said: By "region" you must mean the DC guys. that's mostly becuase the ric area guys seem to like to keep to themselves -- and the dc crew likes to be loud and obnoxious Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SeanVA Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 On 1/3/2011 at 10:31 PM, Ian said: that's mostly becuase the ric area guys seem to like to keep to themselves -- and the dc crew likes to be loud and obnoxious Haha, that's pretty much all there is to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 18z ric Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 On 1/3/2011 at 10:35 PM, Midlo Snow Maker said: 18z ric your loss my gain http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/18/images/gfs_pcp_216m.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 On 1/3/2011 at 10:38 PM, Ian said: your loss my gain http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/18/images/gfs_pcp_216m.gif congrats atleast it is there thats all that counts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 On 1/3/2011 at 10:39 PM, Midlo Snow Maker said: congrats atleast it is there thats all that counts yeah.. it might be a cold rain here anyway. but im counting on cold air being drawn down and throwing out the surface temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 3, 2011 Author Share Posted January 3, 2011 Omg a storm with real high pressure in Canada. This storm is bring manufactured by a totally different s/w as the one from the southwest that ejects gets squashed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 3, 2011 Author Share Posted January 3, 2011 Can we get this from 216 to 48 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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