TheTrials Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Here is some pure model porn for next weeks event. Warning, do not loop this if you have a pre-existing medical condition and/or are currently hospitalized http://www.meteo.psu...z/dgexloop.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Time to watch the second storm next Monday is more like it i meant on the model run, you dont have to watch it/track it if you dont want to right now lmao Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rossi Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 1st storm is boring on the gfs, very light snow event and the inverted trof sets up in new england...Time to watch the 2nd storm Wrong 2 to 4 for ny/nj if correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm Clouds Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Here is some pure model porn for next weeks event. Warning, do not loop this if you have a pre-existing medical condition and/or are currently hospitalized http://www.meteo.psu...z/dgexloop.html OH MAN! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Here is some pure model porn for next weeks event. Warning, do not loop this if you have a pre-existing medical condition and/or are currently hospitalized http://www.meteo.psu...z/dgexloop.html oh my god, that would be a hecs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yes_Probably_Maybe_No Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Here is some pure model porn for next weeks event. Warning, do not loop this if you have a pre-existing medical condition and/or are currently hospitalized http://www.meteo.psu...z/dgexloop.html Lock it in.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yes_Probably_Maybe_No Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Looks bad through144 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Looks bad through144 Details? I'm not up that far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Now it updated - looks like it's getting organized at hr. 150. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 through hr 162 one low over eastern ky, another forming off hse...cad over the area.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bobby Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Man 186 gives me wood...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 hr 168 primary dying secondary taking over...850s and frz line along i 95...no real precip into the area yet, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yes_Probably_Maybe_No Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Now it updated - looks like it's getting organized at hr. 150. I thought I was seeing a SE Ridge~C Canada connection, but it turns out the 500mb trough undercuts it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 im not sure why everyone is so gung ho about the second system.... 2 1/2 weeks ago I was gung ho about the prospects of our blizzard when it first showed up on the models (200+ hrs out)....the trough was in a very good position over the central part of the country. Here the trough is over the west and its broad...this system, IF THE GFS is correct in its depiction at h5, is DOA. i see only two possibilities. It phases with the energy over S Canada and runs thru the lakes (or even further west) or both pieces of energy stay separate and the southern one just runs straight out to sea off the atlantic coast...Flame away.....ill be happy if I am wrong, but I dont think I will be.... mods- please dont give me a 5 a-day limit for this post. Thank you. EDIT- all my ideas are for the timeframe of 150hrs in..not after 150....i see 168 is a nice miller b ;-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 hr 174 sub 1004 low about 50 miles east of orf mod precip along i95 where the frz and 850s lines are Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 18Z NOGAPS puts a 964mb at the Benchmark at 96 hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 coastal hugger on the run here...40 or so miles outside the cities get hammered... sub 984 at hr 186 over li Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 With a very strong high being forecasted over western Canada, you would probably think that MSLP's would be quite low for the east coast system which would probably lead to a track over the littoral. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yes_Probably_Maybe_No Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 coastal hugger on the run here...40 or so miles outside the cities get hammered... sub 984 at hr 186 over li gets kinda toasty for philly...should be a fun week ahead Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 coastal hugger on the run here...40 or so miles outside the cities get hammered... sub 984 at hr 186 over li Might be a better storm out my way than east this time.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 im not sure why everyone is so gung ho about the second system.... 2 1/2 weeks ago I was gung ho about the prospects of our blizzard when it first showed up on the models (200+ hrs out)....the trough was in a very good position over the central part of the country. Here the trough is over the west and its broad...this system, IF THE GFS is correct in its depiction at h5, is DOA. i see only two possibilities. It phases with the energy over S Canada and runs thru the lakes (or even further west) or both pieces of energy stay separate and the southern one just runs straight out to sea off the atlantic coast...Flame away.....ill be happy if I am wrong, but I dont think I will be.... mods- please dont give me a 5 a-day limit for this post. Thank you. EDIT- all my ideas are for the timeframe of 150hrs in..not after 150....i see 168 is a nice miller b ;-) i think you reasoning is very warranted. I can deff see this thing cutting to the lakes if the block weakens a little, or rides a primary to far north. No, options are off the table. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Total precip with 2nd storm for next Tuesday/Wednesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 west of the Ches Bay in MD gets a nice hit this run, though it was a close one for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jasonli18t Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 2nd storm would likely be a small amount of snow on the front and tail ends with copious rain in the middle for most of long island; as depicted on this run of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Another storm at hr. 324.. a noreaster that grazes us, but it shows how much potential there is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 hour 286, 474 thickness witht he PV associated in south central canda above lake Huron.. thats cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluehens Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Tough to tell but looks like PHL stays close to all snow there from 168 on.......probably see some sleet verbatim. Slightly further north and west of I-95 are golden this run. I like it. Some good precip totals. We seem to do well when the primary dies of Kentucky. Sadly it will change in 4.5 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrodd321 Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Dear God that DGEX run is beautiful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Total precip with 2nd storm for next Tuesday/Wednesday I think that might be missing the 6hr period from 180-186, at the height of the storm - per NWS bulletin floating around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrodd321 Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Epic, epic cold at the end of this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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