Bostonseminole Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 looks like snowing at 84hrs already.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 I think I like this run.....different, but good.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 I think I like this run.....different, but good.... Appears more plausible as a setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Wow, that OH valley vortmax really strengthens and kicks off the se coast. Hopefully, it's not too far east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 This is going to crush someone with a retro again... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Wow, that OH valley vortmax really strengthens and kicks off the se coast. Hopefully, it's not too far east. Yea close.....NNE def. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Wow, that OH valley vortmax really strengthens and kicks off the se coast. Hopefully, it's not too far east. Looks fine to me, similar theme to the NAM. The big dog gets rolling about 78 hours off NC and rolls straight up NNE, IMO. I really like this trend and I think we are locking into a solution set and will dump the silly Norlun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 This is going to crush someone with a retro again... Yes, Its retro west again........ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Man that thing dove SE pretty hard...its trying to capture the low but its not quite doing it...but instead its ripping back the moisture via inverted trough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 I think it escapes a hair too far east before getting captured to be HUGE, but ene still lookes to get hit good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 978 mb at 108 hours? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Man that thing dove SE pretty hard...its trying to capture the low but its not quite doing it...but instead its ripping back the moisture via inverted trough. It looks like 18z only farther east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Man that thing dove SE pretty hard...its trying to capture the low but its not quite doing it...but instead its ripping back the moisture via inverted trough. I think we'll see the norlun go poof in the next run or two in favor a bowling ball curving left. I see a surface trajectory similar to the last low, NE N NNW before it moves out. The good news is it probably happens in a much better position for some of us than this last one. Very positive run, it's still early but it's a good trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 1+ qpf MA Pike northward. 0.75 line to almost Rev-ville. And not quite done yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Hate to say it, but right now guidance is converging on a EURO type deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 It looks like 18z only farther east. When you see the ULL do that, you can envision how this could be a monster event....but when you see how damn complex it is just to get it to that position, you can also envision just nuisance snow too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 It looks like 18z only farther east. Hate to say it, but right now guidance is converging on a EURO type deal. This is what I mean.....18z trended east from 12z, now 00z from 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Hate to say it, but right now guidance is converging on a EURO type deal. But I think this dug much further south vs Euro. And of course much more robust. Euro qpf max at 12Z was well SE. Opposite of this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 not a bad run, still gives us 12"+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 The thing is, when I watched it evolve at H5, I was sure it was going to absolutely crush us. And it's not far from that evolution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 But I think this dug much further south vs Euro. And of course much more robust. Euro qpf max at 12Z was well SE. Opposite of this one. I understand that it's not to the EURO yet, but it's trending that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 MaineJayhawk gets buried alive? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
capecod04 Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Remember with the last storm GFS waited till the last minute to shift west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Hate to say it, but right now guidance is converging on a EURO type deal. 5 h LOL could not be more perfect, hopefully the surface responds , time will tell but the GFS still wants to produce a great storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 It's so weird. Snowy Friday and then refiring Saturday. I have to think in the end it will be one event consolidated vs what is being depicted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 MaineJayhawk gets buried alive? No much different than the Pike northward. But Keene, NH gets clobbered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 5 h LOL could not be more perfect, hopefully the surface responds , time will tell but the GFS still wants to produce a great storm. IMHO, H5 demonstrated incredible potential, but the capture was a day late and a $ short of realizing that potential and is trending int he wrong direction attm....JMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Sunday pretty windy? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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