weathafella Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 I hope you enjoyed your KU in December of 1992. And March 2001. It was a great storm actually! Never did I see the r/s line crash so violently to the coast and crank all day after like 3 inches of rain. Memorable in every way and totally enjoyable even though I "only" received about 9 inches. That winter overall was quite bountiful. I will never deny the veracity of that incredible event. March 01 was less robust but the biggest storm of the year nonetheless and 10 inches is never anything to sneeze at. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 I jackpotted in neither Jan 2005, April 1997, December 1992 or March 2001....loved 'em all. Jan 1996.....and so on. None of them did I jackpot.....A-1 in my book. What was your single biggest event? Sounds like you get shafted more than I thought Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 It was a great storm actually! Never did I see the r/s line crash so violently to the coast and crank all day after like 3 inches of rain. Memorable in every way and totally enjoyable even though I "only" received about 9 inches. That winter overall was quite bountiful. I will never deny the veracity of that incredible event. Nor would I last wknd's event....one of the most phenomenal ever.....just nothing overly impressive imby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 The other aspect of this whole thing is the light easterly flow with 522 thicknesses. That's gonna bring some oes snows well before any synoptic stuff comes to play, and not just the coast either. great stuff. how far inland do these sn- usually make it in such a set up (128-495)? down in bridgewater with the KU we got about an inch from a nice OES Bands about an hour before the main band rotated up. big flakes in that band Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 What was your single biggest event? Sounds like you get shafted more than I thought I got shafted in none of those, though I didn't jackpot in any.....which is my point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Dec 1997....no jackpot, though I'll take that again in a second. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 great stuff. how far inland do these sn- usually make it in such a set up (128-495)? down in bridgewater with the KU we got about an inch from a nice OES Bands about an hour before the main band rotated up. big flakes in that band It's not like a big deal or anything, but take the euro for instance. You already have erly flow developing on the coast. You know that winds inland will be more n or ne. That alone may cause some snow to develop...we even saw this prior to the last storm. Those can penetrate pretty far inland sometimes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Yeppers that's why I compared with the GFS 5 H at the same time, if that PV yes PV not SPV, rotates down then Ray gets his long lost fetish and we can shut him up for five more years. LOL Not that the atmosphere cares but would seem to me it'll be a harder task to get the entire vortex under us and not just over us/through sne. I'd prefer to just see a nice vm rip down through the mw/ov and off nj. What we don't want is for it to get all mucked up with multiple energy centers and too much lead pva killing our chances Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 I got shafted in none of those, though I didn't jackpot in any.....which is my point. gotcha... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Dec 1997....no jackpot, though I'll take that again in a second. So you only take events where you get walloped. Is this breaking news? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Jerry et al call me crazy but that sure looks like a developing bomb on the 7h 8h off shore getting ready to get lit by the Vorticity screaming down the center of the nation, PV rotates in in tandem, boom, now that's an extrapolation of a useless model at 84. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 It's not like a big deal or anything, but take the euro for instance. You already have erly flow developing on the coast. You know that winds inland will be more n or ne. That alone may cause some snow to develop...we even saw this prior to the last storm. Those can penetrate pretty far inland sometimes. Even I pre-gamed with an inch of OES with the last event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 The edginess here today is almost like we're in last year mode.....hasn't snowed yet....everyone hundreds of miles from us getting slaughtered with snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 So you only take events where you get walloped. Is this breaking news? No....which my point; this notion that I must "jackpot" is a fallacy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Not that the atmosphere cares but would seem to me it'll be a harder task to get the entire vortex under us and not just over us/through sne. I'd prefer to just see a nice vm rip down through the mw/ov and off nj. What we don't want is for it to get all mucked up with multiple energy centers and too much lead pva killing our chances Yeah you would ideally want a nice vm to rip underneath sne at first. That way, you get the good PVA downwind of the vm. That vm eventually develops into a new closed H5 low and helps pull the SPV underneath sne. This is basically what the gfs does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SC48 Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 :rolleyes:You guys know that the 500 MB set up is that of the Blizzard of 1978. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Not that the atmosphere cares but would seem to me it'll be a harder task to get the entire vortex under us and not just over us/through sne. I'd prefer to just see a nice vm rip down through the mw/ov and off nj. What we don't want is for it to get all mucked up with multiple energy centers and too much lead pva killing our chances Agree much better for me that way too, classic way to do it. Many many good 8-12 evolve that way. Rays Hec needs to happen, getting old listening to the same crap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Not that the atmosphere cares but would seem to me it'll be a harder task to get the entire vortex under us and not just over us/through sne. I'd prefer to just see a nice vm rip down through the mw/ov and off nj. What we don't want is for it to get all mucked up with multiple energy centers and too much lead pva killing our chances Thanks....clears up some confusion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 The edginess here today is almost like we're in last year mode.....hasn't snowed yet....everyone hundreds of miles from us getting slaughtered with snow. people need to have a brew at Funky Murphy's! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 The edginess here today is almost like we're in last year mode.....hasn't snowed yet....everyone hundreds of miles from us getting slaughtered with snow. NAM gives me 2-4" through 84h. It's a start. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Agree much better for me that way too, classic way to do it. Many many good 8-12 evolve that way. Rays Hec needs to happen, getting old listening to the same crap. I still think Ray will find things to complain about though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Agree much better for me that way too, classic way to do it. Many many good 8-12 evolve that way. Rays Hec needs to happen, getting old listening to the same crap. All of this started because I made one comment that I ddin't think it looked good and people gang raped me....you know what I am looking for...just leave it be and it would have died. Though I love the reminiscing about about pasts KUs that resulted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 The edginess here today is almost like we're in last year mode.....hasn't snowed yet....everyone hundreds of miles from us getting slaughtered with snow. I am of great mind and mood, one guy here is pulling the crew down with silly historical rhetoric, we all will be happy with a nice cover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Not sure what to make of the early returns of the GFS..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Not that the atmosphere cares but would seem to me it'll be a harder task to get the entire vortex under us and not just over us/through sne. I'd prefer to just see a nice vm rip down through the mw/ov and off nj. What we don't want is for it to get all mucked up with multiple energy centers and too much lead pva killing our chances Agree whole-heatedly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 I am of great mind and mood, one guy here is pulling the crew down with silly historical rhetoric, we all will be happy with a nice cover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 LOL, you guys are nuts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Not sure what to make of the early returns of the GFS..... Through 30 hrs.?? Jerry you got mad skills if you can figure out hr100 already Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Through 30 hrs.?? Jerry you got mad skills if you can figure out hr100 already My guess is there will be minimal if any changes from 12z/18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Through 30 hrs.?? Jerry you got mad skills if you can figure out hr100 already It does not look that different than 18z or 12z fwiw thru 24h. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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