ski MRG Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 lol, I totally agree Will as I am sure almost everyone does. I hope you guys get nailed I agree that perhaps there is a better chance there but that was said last storm as well and we all know how that turned out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 I hope it does this time Yeah, like 3' for me. It'll verify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 lol just took a gander at the 18z op GFS. That's one epic track taken by the surface low. Gotta love it when the dryslot comes in from the northeast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CCPSUSuperstorm2010 Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Because I am a nerd ...can we please refer to them as SPV, because they clearly are not polar vortexes because they are in the sub-domain. PV is essentially the annular ring around the pole I hope it does this time Sure John, anything for a nerd. BTW what does SPV stand for? DGEX shows barely any snow for Cape Cod, MA on that snowfall map. Is it because of the track or is it because the model is not a high resolution model? BTW I think this has a track near 75w/37n and 40n/70w with the H5 low or SPV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Sure John, anything for a nerd. BTW what does SPV stand for? DGEX shows barely any snow for Cape Cod, MA on that snowfall map. Is it because of the track or is it because the model is not a high resolution model? BTW I think this has a track near 75w/37n and 40n/70w with the H5 low or SPV. Too warm. Don't worry it's wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CCPSUSuperstorm2010 Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 As I thought, it has as much to do with the track then anything else with all that snow in PVD and pretty much Cape Cod, MA gets the shaft on this one. Track would be pretty epic, almost shows what I thought would be the track of the SPV. Although maybe more so around 41n/70w. Celtics are on now. GTG. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 What would you say the chances are we see a total miss? % wise. One person was saying he felt pretty confident of a miss Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Some nice solutions amongst the 18z Ensm. Here are just a few. http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/gfsensemble/members/18zf120.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Panel 003 FTW please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 4, 2011 Author Share Posted January 4, 2011 If you can't get naked to this..what can you get naked to? http://www.keyweb3.com/windsong/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 lol. Warren Miller's stuff doesn't really do it for me . Teton Gravity Research is my deal. The model watching is better than anything on TV. not into Level 1 Productions? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 If you can't get naked to this..what can you get naked to? http://www.keyweb3.com/windsong/ Where the heck is Cape Code? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 4, 2011 Author Share Posted January 4, 2011 I'm pretty much now convinced this is going to be a very cold winter wire to wire. If we can get alot of snow to go along with this cold...we could just possibly start thinking about mentioning this with some of the great ones like 76-77...93-94 etc... but we'll need to verify these next 2 snowstorms before we can get serious about that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 I'm pretty much now convinced this is going to be a very cold winter wire to wire. If we can get alot of snow to go along with this cold...we could just possibly start thinking about mentioning this with some of the great like 76-77...93-94 etc... but we'll need to verify these next 2 snowstorms before we can get serious about that I'll take the bold and call me in the morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Hit the weights, and be a man. Done Sir. Reporting for Duty! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Sure John, anything for a nerd. BTW what does SPV stand for? DGEX shows barely any snow for Cape Cod, MA on that snowfall map. Is it because of the track or is it because the model is not a high resolution model? BTW I think this has a track near 75w/37n and 40n/70w with the H5 low or SPV. Sub-Polar Vortex. It shows that because the models is bad idea cobbled together out of egos and dipschittery - I dunno. Don't use it because it doesn't verify schitagainsthewall when it's already on there. I find it just as likely that the 00z runs come back full fury, btw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 I'm pretty much now convinced this is going to be a very cold winter wire to wire. If we can get alot of snow to go along with this cold...we could just possibly start thinking about mentioning this with some of the great ones like 76-77...93-94 etc... but we'll need to verify these next 2 snowstorms before we can get serious about that Torching January FTL it seems we have been unlucky on several occasions thus far during this season. It will change and some will be sick of winter and snow. Boston will have to dump it in the harbor again. Ray will trade in his car for a snowmobile. Pete will need to ride a yak out of his glen, and Tolland Ct will be battered with a succesion of 14" nusiance events Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 4, 2011 Author Share Posted January 4, 2011 I'll take the bold and call me in the morning. Hopefully we can lay down a solid 1-2 foot base these next 10 days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 I'm pretty much now convinced this is going to be a very cold winter wire to wire. If we can get alot of snow to go along with this cold...we could just possibly start thinking about mentioning this with some of the great ones like 76-77...93-94 etc... but we'll need to verify these next 2 snowstorms before we can get serious about that I really have been thinking about the cold winter thing, with the way things have gone I don't see any reason as to why the rest of the cold winter won't stay cold. It would be better though if we could start seeing more snow to come along with it. I haven't read any of the threads over the past week or looked at models into great details and all but what I have read from people today I would seriously take this weekend's potential with great caution...everyone always seems to get so excited and starts swinging for the fences when were in the medium/long range...I mean virtually every threat we see in those ranges there is someone who will start going towards the extreme side of things. My worry right now is that everything just gets it's act together too late. Like I said though, haven't read anything here really the past week so not sure if this has been discussed already or what. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
correnjim1 Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Torching January FTL it seems we have been unlucky on several occasions thus far during this season. It will change and some will be sick of winter and snow. Boston will have to dump it in the harbor again. Ray will trade in his car for a snowmobile. Pete will need to ride a yak out of his glen, and Tolland Ct will be battered with a succesion of 14" nusiance events We will all need one of these. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 not into Level 1 Productions? See the Obs thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Understood, I have many service members in my family and some of them made the ultimate sacrifice as well so I get where you're coming from. One of my closest friends has a son that was recently deployed to Afghanistan. It seems like just yesterday he was a 5 yo we were teaching how to ski. He's a bold guy but his dad said he's pretty freaked out right now. He's in a real hotspot on the Pakistan border, doesn't sound like fun. I'll refrain from poking fun at you via the Marine angle and just call you a total p*ssy for not wanting 3" of snow because you'll have to sweep your car off. This notwithstanding, your still ok in my book.lol It's cool, Pete....I just get moody after not giving this place a break for a few....I'm sorry for the losses that your family suffered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 The Raleigh site on this server comes in just as fast as any,. I like having split windows and watching Ray get nervous, he is doing better but had a huge fail at 18Z LOL Yeah, I like having the H5 and surface up at the same time......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Regarding PV SPV, that is the PV which rotates down as the block displaces it,. No doubt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Yeah, I like having the H5 and surface up at the same time......... Yea......the H5 and SLP overlay; best product. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 We will all need one of these. And I thought they smelled bad on the outside... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Yea......the H5 and SLP overlay; best product. What site does that? Seems like a great product. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 What site does that? Seems like a great product. I'm sure WSI does it, but a cheaper alternative is the SV package. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 What site does that? Seems like a great product. A lot of sites do it.http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/gfs/18zgfs500mbHGHTNA108.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 A lot of sites do it. http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/gfs/18zgfs500mbHGHTNA108.html http://greatlakes.salsite.com/big_ECMWF_plymouth_page.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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