Bostonseminole Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 wow.. i only see up to 138hrs.but.. wow.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 I usually don't get excited about these runs, but WOW. It's showing a PECS. (Pornographic East Coast storm) At least we are under 114 hours now.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 When are people gonna start screaming Blizz of 78 redue. HPC already brought it up, at least the similarities in the upper levels (500mb). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 and anyone NW who thinks they are out of the good stuff just remember the iron clad rule, that played out last storm, the best snows are always NW of the actual bomb. Well when do EM and locals begin prep this time? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 weenie Lol. Obviously kidding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 LOL, do we include the GFS progressive bias. What a complete porno run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 LOL, do we include the GFS progressive bias. What a complete porno run. http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/12/images/gfs_p60_150l.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 Just looped the 850's. Wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 I'm pretty confident my ~70" winter outlook is gonna bust, regardless of what happens this wknd.....Ginx and Jerry ftw.....me ftl less than most. When we can discuss cat 3 HECS like it's cool and have "historic" blocks twice a month, all bets are off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 Well the ensembles and euro should be interesting. Gotta temper the enthusiasm being 4.5+ days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
correnjim1 Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 HPC already brought it up, at least the similarities in the upper levels (500mb). I saw someone posted that i didnt see it in the Bos discussion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 HPC already brought it up, at least the similarities in the upper levels (500mb). Whoa, whoa...you can't say something like that without linkage.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 I'm pretty confident my ~70" winter outlooks is gonna bust, regardless of what happens this wknd.....Ginz and Jerry ftw.....me ftl less than most. When we can discuss cat 3 HECS like it's cool and have "historic" blocks twice a month, all bets are off. I'm still not holding my breath that I can make it to average. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
correnjim1 Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 Well the ensembles and euro should be interesting. Gotta temper the enthusiasm being 4.5+ days out. Just to good to be true lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 Well the 12z GFS would be a Feb 1978 deal. Maybe those HPC guys were onto something... This looks like 1978 without the monster 1060 high dear lord boston and surrounding areas would be buried with something like this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 Whoa, whoa...you can't say something like that without linkage.... I think it was posted in this thread a few pages back.. let me look. PRELIMINARY EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD 900 AM EST MON JAN 03 2011 VALID 12Z FRI JAN 07 2011 - 12Z MON JAN 10 2011 THE MAIN ALTERATION TO THE UPDATED PRELIM PROGS WAS TO ADJUST SWWD A POSSIBLE MAJOR STORM ALONG THE NRN MID ATLANTIC COAST IN THE DAY 4-6 FRI-SUN TIME FRAME. WHILE THE DETERMINISTIC ECMWF IS A RATHER EXTREME SWRN OUTLIER IN DROPPING A PIECE OF POLAR VORTEX SSE ALL THE WAY FROM HUDSON BAY TO VA...THE 06Z/03 GFS HAS TRENDED A BIT TOWARDS THE ECMWF SOLUTION SAT...GIVING A NEWD ADJUSTED ECMWF SCENARIO SOME CREDIBILITY. THIS MAINTAINS REASONABLE HPC CONTINUITY WITH THIS POTENTIAL E COAST SYS OVER THE PAST TWO DAYS. WHILE NOT OVERPLAYING ANALOGS...I STILL WANT TO POINT OUT SOME SIMILARITY IN THE PRESENT HPC SCENARIO THIS WEEKEND TO THAT OF FEB 6 1978...ESPECIALLY AT 500 MILLIBARS...WHICH WAS A MAJOR BLIZZARD FOR ERN PA/NY/NEW ENG. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
correnjim1 Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 Whoa, whoa...you can't say something like that without linkage.... Its like two pages back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 I'm still not holding my breath that I can make it to average. Dude, this winter is a strange byrd..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 Well the ensembles and euro should be interesting. Gotta temper the enthusiasm being 4.5+ days out. Another 24 hours. Can't hold it much longer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
butterfish55 Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 Another 24 hours. Can't hold it much longer. When does Cweat enter the discussion? another 24 hours? less? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 Now we wait to see if the rest of 12z models have something similar............. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 Not biting yet but the trend for the 5h to drop south of us is what I am looking at, good run, hope things stabalize 5h wise then by tomorrow at noon will start thinking more serious about a work stoppage storm, big week here so lots of attention heading forward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 Just to good to be true lol. I do agree, that the H5 setup is pretty dam volatile. Both models really dig the low and cut it off to the south. However, it can still lead to solutions that vastly differ at the surface. I like how both the euro and gfs show a nice pattern in the upper levels. However, we are not at the time where op runs are locked and loaded, so the ensembles and euro will definitely be something to look forward to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 and look as our porn storm (love that PECS! whoever came up with that) moves to 50-50 and a trough approaches the Miss River looking ready to go neutral. jeebus the east coast is going to look like the artic by next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 Whoa, whoa...you can't say something like that without linkage.... You would be very happy with this run taken vebatium.......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 Well i think what we can pretty confidently say is this is a very good change from the 0z GFS run lol (assuming the ensembles also come in more amped which would shock me if they don't given what a big move made by the op.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 LOL, 964 low stalled east of the Cape. 2'+??? If this run ever came even close to verifying, I wouldn't complain again for a long, long time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 Working on things. Peeked at OP GFS. LIke the 2 inches melted for MBY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 Somebody should post the qpf map. I would but I'm mobile Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 just looked at surface...don't like it going so far out and then retrograding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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