40/70 Benchmark Posted January 2, 2011 Share Posted January 2, 2011 Don't even mention it. 2011 is going to throttle SNE while the MA stands with their noses pressed against the window. Payback's a b*tch. Today's 12z Euro is just an affirmation that there is a viable threat still very much alive. The final story is still several days out. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted January 2, 2011 Share Posted January 2, 2011 Doesn't help the models when there are 49 different short waves interacting over eastern NA. Ensembles are the best bet for now. It'll be some time before operational models start building a good, clear, reasonable consensus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hooralph Posted January 2, 2011 Share Posted January 2, 2011 OK, so I have some serious issues. I am out tomorrow to Phoenix, flying back Friday. I'll probably have to get on a miserable red eye connecting through JFK to get back by Friday AM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 2, 2011 Share Posted January 2, 2011 The 12z EURO isn't all that dissimilar from the 06z DGEX, across NNE lol.....but the EURO gets sne better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 2, 2011 Share Posted January 2, 2011 Does that extend right on down to the coast? I'd be satisfied with 8-10 out of this one if it wasn't blown apart. about .75 to 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kbosch Posted January 2, 2011 Share Posted January 2, 2011 about .75 to 1 Thank you very much...figured about that, so yeah, 8-10 is fine. I'll enjoy the 18-24 vicariously through some of you while simultaneously deriving joy from the lack of a MA hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 2, 2011 Share Posted January 2, 2011 The 12z EURO isn't all that dissimilar from the 06z DGEX, across NNE lol.....but the EURO gets sne better. I'm happy to share the wealth as long as it isn't to my detriment. How about those Euro ensembles? Should be out soon, no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted January 2, 2011 Share Posted January 2, 2011 Look carefully at this map. What the heck is that just east of Nova Scotia? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 2, 2011 Share Posted January 2, 2011 I'm happy to share the wealth as long as it isn't to my detriment. How about those Euro ensembles? Should be out soon, no? Will and Scott should have them, soon. Now that we look to head into a cold pattern, I def. would be fine with a series of mod events.....should still be able to build up a decent pack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 2, 2011 Share Posted January 2, 2011 Look carefully at this map. What the heck is that just east of Nova Scotia? :lmao: EURO has a weenie in the 50\50 position. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 2, 2011 Share Posted January 2, 2011 Look carefully at this map. What the heck is that just east of Nova Scotia? Prince Edward Island???? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 2, 2011 Share Posted January 2, 2011 :lmao: EURO has a weenie in the 50\50 position. It's funny it has its back turned away from Nova Scotia. They've been getting the "shaft" for over a year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 2, 2011 Share Posted January 2, 2011 It's funny it has its back turned away from Nova Scotia. They've been getting the "shaft" for over a year. That has to portend something epic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 2, 2011 Share Posted January 2, 2011 Euro ensembles pretty much keep showing the same thing...redevelopment S of LI and then moving the low near the BM and then having an inverted trough extend back from the low as it passes the latitude of BOS and further north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 2, 2011 Share Posted January 2, 2011 The 12z ensembles aren't all that different from 00z at the surface, but it does show the elongated H5 PV that the 12z op had. I can't decide if I like this run better as compared to 00z, but I do like how it tries to elongate the PV. It might mean a few solutions aren't far from the op run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 2, 2011 Share Posted January 2, 2011 Holy cross polar flow, Ens nice hit per the boys. 05 Ray FTW? Liking the fact the Ens like the south of LI evolution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 2, 2011 Share Posted January 2, 2011 Meh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 2, 2011 Share Posted January 2, 2011 Meh. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 2, 2011 Share Posted January 2, 2011 Holy cross polar flow, Ens nice hit per the boys. 05 Ray FTW? Liking the fact the Ens like the south of LI evolution. It really feels like '05....Pats unbeatable and lows modeled to pop s of li from now until the end of time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 2, 2011 Share Posted January 2, 2011 LOL I'm not bit**ing......maybe that was a poor choice of a word.....just meant status quo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 2, 2011 Share Posted January 2, 2011 GGEM ensembles look similar to Euro as well...maybe not quite as stretched at 5h...but basically same idea. We're not even close to resolving this system yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 2, 2011 Author Share Posted January 2, 2011 Wow....2.1" of QPF over 36 hrs......2" of QPF over 30 hrs. I'd take it. Would you bang it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 2, 2011 Share Posted January 2, 2011 Would you bang it? Raw dawg, bareback with bells on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 2, 2011 Share Posted January 2, 2011 Would you bang me? I think he has a FWB Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 2, 2011 Share Posted January 2, 2011 I'm not bit**ing......maybe that was a poor choice of a word.....just meant status quo. No need to take the bait ... just appreciate that a nice storm is modeled and put it on the back burner. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 2, 2011 Share Posted January 2, 2011 I have a feeling this is either going to be 1'+ or P Cloudy+. Probably won't have a good idea which until Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 2, 2011 Author Share Posted January 2, 2011 I have a feeling this is either going to be 1'+ or P Cloudy+. Probably won't have a good idea which until Wednesday. I would say there's a 0% chance or less of partly cloudy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 2, 2011 Share Posted January 2, 2011 I have a feeling this is either going to be 1'+ or P Cloudy+. Probably won't have a good idea which until Wednesday. I do not think total whiff but could be a. 2-6 type or more robust,. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 2, 2011 Share Posted January 2, 2011 I would say there's a 0% chance or less of partly cloudy I think there is a shot. I just hope it's not an inverted 1-3"-over-2-3 days- crap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 2, 2011 Share Posted January 2, 2011 I would say there's a 0% chance or less of partly cloudy I don't know about 0% chance, but its probably fairly low. Even a busted solution might give us a couple inches kind of like the pre-Christmas fiasco (except Cape which got smoked)...when you get those types of ULLs with vorticity rotating underneath New England, you'll usually at least get some light snows. Only way this would produce zippo is if the ULL stayed well north and also had no vort max rotating around the southern end of it below our latitude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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