Damage In Tolland Posted January 2, 2011 Share Posted January 2, 2011 As we track the new cold pattern, and impending snowstorm Jan 7th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoeD Posted January 2, 2011 Share Posted January 2, 2011 As we track the new cold pattern, and impending snowstorm Jan 7th. What time is mass, Rev Kev????? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 2, 2011 Author Share Posted January 2, 2011 What time is mass, Rev Kev????? As soon as we get this stale, putrid torched airmass the hell outta here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 2, 2011 Share Posted January 2, 2011 Here's 132h GFS ensemble mean The long range looks frigid with that -EPO developing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 2, 2011 Share Posted January 2, 2011 We gotta hope for that vortmax to really dig or it's a quick advisory event as the low moves north of our latitude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoeD Posted January 2, 2011 Share Posted January 2, 2011 Here's a snapshot of the latest 8 GEFS runs centered on 18z Jan 7. Good consistency so far. Checked the 850mb/250 mb wind anomalies and they aren't too impressive, but that should be expected since there is a fair amount of spread among the members. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Girl 22 Posted January 2, 2011 Share Posted January 2, 2011 Looks like the -NAO is not so severe in the longer range. however, -EPO rages. and sends arctic air into CONUS and east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted January 2, 2011 Share Posted January 2, 2011 Looks like the -NAO is not so severe in the longer range. however, -EPO rages. and sends arctic air into CONUS and east Post more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 2, 2011 Share Posted January 2, 2011 Looks like the -NAO is not so severe in the longer range. hoever, -EPO rages. and sends artic air into CONUS and east It retrogrades west and weakens, but that's been the MO for the last two months. After it retrogrades and weakens, another ridge builds over Greenland. Pretty remarkable stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 2, 2011 Share Posted January 2, 2011 So does the -EPO mean some chances for SWFE? My call for this month was a big storm as the blocking returns, a pulse in the blocking which brings SWFEs and then another big storm as blocking returns again. I don't think we had a -EPO last winter and of course it never got really cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Girl 22 Posted January 2, 2011 Share Posted January 2, 2011 Post more. Thank you I'll try.. but still learning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 2, 2011 Share Posted January 2, 2011 What time is mass, Rev Kev????? i seriously had to tip my head to one side squint my eyes and ask what the heck this meant Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 2, 2011 Share Posted January 2, 2011 So does the -EPO mean some chances for SWFE? My call for this month was a big storm as the blocking returns, a pulse in the blocking which brings SWFEs and then another big storm as blocking returns again. I don't think we had a -EPO last winter and of course it never got really cold I suppose it's possible if we get a big trough to develop in the west, like some of the models try to show. It looks like we'll have a big high anchored out west, with maybe one of those deals where the high branches over to the east. If that happens, and the trough deepens in the west..it could be overrunning/swfe type stuff/ Way too early to tell though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 2, 2011 Share Posted January 2, 2011 Wow, even the 12z NOGAPS trended toward a big deal - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 2, 2011 Share Posted January 2, 2011 This winter is a classic setup in the medium and long range. Weenie heaven. Combination between 1995-96 (NAO) and 1993-94 (overrunning delight, bitter cold). We're going to the races. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 2, 2011 Share Posted January 2, 2011 Been a while since the arctic has visited here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 2, 2011 Share Posted January 2, 2011 If you love snow this place is the best place to live in my opinion!! Ive seen snow in the woods of this mountain in early july! http://www.summitpost.org/the-summit-of-mount-pinnacle/112250 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 2, 2011 Share Posted January 2, 2011 Been a while since the arctic has visited here A few pieces of it would be ok, But don't need the supression........ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 2, 2011 Share Posted January 2, 2011 A few pieces of it would be ok, But don't need the supression........ Yeah, I'm all set with DCA and RIC getting big snows while my oil bill goes through the roof. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 2, 2011 Share Posted January 2, 2011 Yeah, I'm all set with DCA and RIC getting big snows while my oil bill goes through the roof. You know it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Girl 22 Posted January 2, 2011 Share Posted January 2, 2011 It retrogrades west and weakens, but that's been the MO for the last two months. After it retrogrades and weakens, another ridge builds over Greenland. Pretty remarkable stuff. With the NAO waxing and waning and the western trof possibly devoloping later on. You'd have to thing the Heather Archambault transitional NE storms will occur too. Wow, i like that -EPO Arctic air after the 8th storm ( possible storm) pulls east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 2, 2011 Share Posted January 2, 2011 A few pieces of it would be ok, But don't need the supression........ From what I'm seeing/reading this is not a setup that overwhelms...the mets have been talking about possibly a trough just to our west which would be awesome. By the way I think we get a 1-3 dealio on Tues night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 2, 2011 Share Posted January 2, 2011 From what I'm seeing/reading this is not a setup that overwhelms...the mets have been talking about possibly a trough just to our west which would be awesome. By the way I think we get a 1-3 dealio on Tues night. Thats good we don't need storm tracks surpressed over the south, 1-3" might be a stretch but we could use some snow to cover up the brown spots before a good dumping Friday..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoeD Posted January 2, 2011 Share Posted January 2, 2011 With the NAO waxing and waning and the western trof possibly devoloping later on. You'd have to thing the Heather Archambault transitional NE storms will occur too. Wow, i like that -EPO Arctic air after the 8th storm ( possible storm) pulls east Good point...goes to show you that you don't necessarily need the classic -NAO/+PNA setup for big snows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted January 2, 2011 Share Posted January 2, 2011 The long range looks frigid with that -EPO developing Finally, Will, a chance to rid Canada of the moderate Pacific air we've had for a while. I know Canada hasn't been nearly as warm as last winter, but it seems as if we haven't had anything really arctic up there for a while, except in AK and the Yukon. The models are advertising a very amplified pattern with the monster -EPO block bringing a PV into the Canadian Prairies, something we saw briefly in mid-February last winter but which wasn't at all sustained. It's interesting to see the ensembles are showing the AK block as basically the only area of above normal heights in the Northern Hemisphere; it does seem as if overall hemispheric temperatures have been declining with the strong La Niña but that's still very impressive. Also, I'm extremely impressed with the GFS for sniffing out the -EPO block in the extreme LR; it started showing in almost a week ago out at like 336 hrs, and now it appears all the models have latched onto the concept. Overall, the GFS has done very well with pattern recognition this winter and seems much improved from days gone by. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 2, 2011 Share Posted January 2, 2011 OT but the blizzard pictures thread in teh NYC subforum is hilarious. The last 4 pages are spent trashing Analog's snowfall measurement lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 2, 2011 Share Posted January 2, 2011 Good point...goes to show you that you don't necessarily need the classic -NAO/+PNA setup for big snows. not to be an ass but i have been trying to hammer this point for some time, and also that a persistent -NAO is not a good thing... You need the ebb and tide cyclic nature of the block and the events take place at the bookend temporal intervals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 2, 2011 Share Posted January 2, 2011 We gotta hope for that vortmax to really dig or it's a quick advisory event as the low moves north of our latitude. Which day? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted January 2, 2011 Share Posted January 2, 2011 A few pieces of it would be ok, But don't need the supression........ Would still be preferable (to me, anyway) than last year when we had mega suppression and no arctic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 2, 2011 Share Posted January 2, 2011 not to be an ass but i have been trying to hammer this point for some time, and also that a persistent -NAO is not a good thing... You need the ebb and tide cyclic nature of the block and the events take place at the bookend temporal intervals. Tell tale sign that someone is about to be an ass lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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