2010 extreme Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 And it supposedly now has a "warm bias" in that range too. lol... what the heck is this crap... is this what Feb 1899 would look like on the GFS? Jesus... now that is an Arctic outbreak! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 Didn't Chuck go blowtorch this winter? He kept saying he was going to issue an "update" to his forecast in the fall and never did. All I know is he is always calling for the "most" or "least" of something. That guy has never met a record he didn't see being broken very soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 Didn't Chuck go blowtorch this winter? He said 3.4 would be positive by September. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted January 3, 2011 Author Share Posted January 3, 2011 Ride the GGEM----if you dare. It actually gives us a bit of snow with the clipper and then does NOT crush the southern s/w at 180 hours like the GFS does. From 180-240 hours, it's a great run. It's too early to give up. http://www.meteo.psu...0z/cmcloop.html MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr No Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 Any one see the Euro? I don't buy it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 Any one see the Euro? I don't buy it. nails dc 1"qpf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 1"-2" qpf from SNE to DC west to near pitt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MichaelScott Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 1"-2" qpf from SNE to DC west to near pitt I'm guessing central VA gets the shaft on this one? Can't believe this type of model fun is happening again. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 Oh no......another EURO HECS........not this sh-t again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 ugh i just got up to cut the heat back some. i figured i would take a little peaky at the euro, now i'm up storm #2 on the heals but seems to fizzle at 180hr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 I'm guessing central VA gets the shaft on this one? Can't believe this type of model fun is happening again. lol 0.50" near ric to cho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 storm #2 on the heals but seems to fizzle at 180hr scratch that ric getting nailed at 204 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 WOW ric to dc gettting pounded hr210 sub 992 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr No Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 An EPIC Euro run tonight.... 12 hours to enjoy it, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 1" so far at ric to bad it's la la land Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 hr 216 984mb drifting ENE off of the va capes rdu to winchester all points east 1"+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nikolai Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 hr 216 984mb drifting ENE off of the va capes rdu to winchester all points east 1"+ Strong Nina FTW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted January 3, 2011 Author Share Posted January 3, 2011 Deja vu? I remember staying up late to catch the play-by-play of a Euro run on early Monday, December 20. An epic run of the Euro ensued and I was pumped up for days. It did turn out to be epic for some (Dec 25-27), but central MD was screwed. Now I did start this thread in hopes of changing the luck for the DC/BWI crew. Here's hoping to a genuine Mid-Atlantic thumping. MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWC Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 Deja vu? I remember staying up late to catch the play-by-play of a Euro run on early Monday, December 20. An epic run of the Euro ensued and I was pumped up for days. It did turn out to be epic for some (Dec 25-27), but central MD was screwed. Now I did start this thread in hopes of changing the luck for the DC/BWI crew. Here's hoping to a genuine Mid-Atlantic thumping. MDstorm I just came up from SE Thread to see what you guy thought I guess your just as excited ! I'll but rolling around in N Va. playing in the snow... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 To me the second event later in the period shown on the Euro is the "real" threat for this area. The first one is a miller B style and largely would favor those in the North East than this area of the Mid-Atlantic. The second one is on more than just the Euro. The details and evolution of course very per model. The GFS, GGEM, and the Euro have some storm in the general 180 to 240 hour range coming from the south and swinging off the coast of the south east and then up the coast. The Canadian is the furtherst north with the trajectory through the upper south through the southern Mid-Atlantic. The GFS the further south.. riding along the gulf coast. And the Euro with a low riding the gulf coast.. then getting aided by the northern branch and bombing up the coast to just off the Va/Capes before moving off the coast in a north-easterly direction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 incredible how in 12 hours how things look for DCA/BWI and its the Euro and Canadian that give us snow in the medium range not the GFS maybe these storms will be different Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 incredible how in 12 hours how things look for DCA/BWI and its the Euro and Canadian that give us snow in the medium range not the GFS maybe these storms will be different Does the Canadian? Just looked at it and the only snow I could find was at 132 and its not much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NattyBo Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 I must not hug the Euro, I must not hug the Euro...ahhh, who am I kidding Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 Does the Canadian? Just looked at it and the only snow I could find was at 132 and its not much. yep take a look at 180hrs+ http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/CMC_0z/cmcloop.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 Euro has become a joke giving us hecs after hecs yet my ground is brown Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluehens Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 Does anyone with a red tag around here even think that 0z Euro run has a 2% chance of happening. I doubt it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr No Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 Well, the Euro Ensembles seem to have a Day 5 mean centered east of the Del Marva. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 Well, the Euro Ensembles seem to have a Day 5 mean centered east of the Del Marva. Already know the answer to this but I didn't think it would hurt to ask anyway. Is there any free site that gives you access to the individual ensemble members of the Euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 lol... what the heck is this crap... is this what Feb 1899 would look like on the GFS? I thought that yesterday but now that you said it I feel like a weenie. Euro.. Let's see some continuity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 The Euro is without a doubt bull****. If you get suckered in by it, you deserved the crushing disappointment that's coming in 4 hours. The PV dropping to VA/Carolinas, spawning a crushing low that gives us 1" QPF THe second storm is more believable, but with such run to run volatility, I don't trust any models. I'm a bitter mofo after our swipe last week. If the 12z Euro shows the same thing, I'll make Ji an administrator. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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