Dr No Posted December 31, 2010 Share Posted December 31, 2010 The one thing that is a given is there is going to be a hell of a storm somewhere in the east coast area by mid-late next week. Plenty of northern and southern stream energy lurking out west. The question is going to be who gets screwed over with this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdsnowlover Posted December 31, 2010 Share Posted December 31, 2010 18z gfs show the later storm. Hate to be in the bull eye this early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kurtstack Posted December 31, 2010 Share Posted December 31, 2010 GFS Total precipitation over the 384 hour period looks about right for DC area LOL: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 31, 2010 Share Posted December 31, 2010 On 12/31/2010 at 10:54 PM, kurtstack said: GFS Total precipitation over the 384 hour period looks about right for DC area LOL: the maps from that column are not accurate it does not accurately portray precip over the 384 hr period I'm trying to prevent weenie suicides here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kurtstack Posted December 31, 2010 Share Posted December 31, 2010 Quote I'm trying to prevent weenie suicides here Just for comedic effect. We have plenty of time for mass suicdes if any of the weenies are still alive after last storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 On 12/31/2010 at 10:58 PM, mitchnick said: the maps from that column are not accurate it does not accurately portray precip over the 384 hr period I'm trying to prevent weenie suicides here If you're looking at 384hr maps for anything other than comedy perhaps suicide is the correct choice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 00Z GFS has no storm of note that I can see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginger Wood Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 Hi Phineas! Happy New Year! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 On 1/1/2011 at 4:28 AM, Ginger Wood said: Hi Phineas! Happy New Year! Same to you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted January 1, 2011 Author Share Posted January 1, 2011 Well, the 0z Euro just kicked us in the groin. It just wiped away the southern low it had been advertising for the last 2 runs and replaced it with a New England special Miller B for next weekend. Happy effin New Year. MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdsnowlover Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 canadian shows a low from the gulf to nc/sc border with precip north and west, Can't tell if it gets into dc/bwi or not, at 144 hr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 Looks like the GFS has now jumped on the miller b wagon with the euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 On 1/1/2011 at 6:53 AM, MDstorm said: Well, the 0z Euro just kicked us in the groin. It just wiped away the southern low it had been advertising for the last 2 runs and replaced it with a New England special Miller B for next weekend. Happy effin New Year. MDstorm in case anyone had any doubts, last year's "magic" is gone which is really a pile of cr@p when you consider PHL had a couple inches more than BWI last year and they still got hit nice last week looks to me that based on most models, there aren't any real threats out there for us for some time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 On 1/1/2011 at 2:42 PM, mitchnick said: in case anyone had any doubts, last year's "magic" is gone which is really a pile of cr@p when you consider PHL had a couple inches more than BWI last year and they still got hit nice last week looks to me that based on most models, there aren't any real threats out there for us for some time Well Ender and Wes certainly agree with you on that....or maybe you agree with them. Looks like we get to be on the outside looking in for awhile or forever I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 That will change in a model run or two. You guys need to calm down on storms that show up eight to ten days out and then magically disappear only to return again. On 1/1/2011 at 2:53 PM, leesburg 04 said: Well Ender and Wes certainly agree with you on that....or maybe you agree with them. Looks like we get to be on the outside looking in for awhile or forever I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 On 1/1/2011 at 2:53 PM, leesburg 04 said: Well Ender and Wes certainly agree with you on that....or maybe you agree with them. Looks like we get to be on the outside looking in for awhile or forever I guess. There is a good chance That as we continue to waste precious cold air that we simply do not see a snowstorm this year. My 0.1 prediction for dc may not be too far off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted January 1, 2011 Author Share Posted January 1, 2011 Lol.......You have certain mets talking up the possible threats over the next 2 weeks and then you have Wes and Ender shooting them down. Unfortunately, we know who is going to be correct. Cold and dry FTL. MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 I wonder how many of the mets on this board accurately forecasted the storm last week eight days out? On 1/1/2011 at 3:19 PM, MDstorm said: Lol.......You have certain mets talking up the possible threats over the next 2 weeks and then you have Wes and Ender shooting them down. Unfortunately, we know who is going to be correct. Cold and dry FTL. MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 On 1/1/2011 at 2:53 PM, leesburg 04 said: Well Ender and Wes certainly agree with you on that....or maybe you agree with them. Looks like we get to be on the outside looking in for awhile or forever I guess. Yep, just read that. We're screwed. Soggy Randy is back now. No doubt in my mind we're gonna have to chase to get snow this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 On 1/1/2011 at 3:29 PM, stormtracker said: Yep, just read that. We're screwed. Soggy Randy is back now. No doubt in my mind we're gonna have to chase to get snow this year. Until the next model run anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 Stormtracker, is this your Ji imitation? On 1/1/2011 at 3:29 PM, stormtracker said: Yep, just read that. We're screwed. Soggy Randy is back now. No doubt in my mind we're gonna have to chase to get snow this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 On 1/1/2011 at 4:05 PM, Eagle Man said: Stormtracker, is this your Ji imitation? When you have one of the best mets on the board (wes) telling you its over, then its over (for the next few weeks anyway). Ji just gets stupid and is unrealistic.....I'm just practical and a realist here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr No Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 lol at the GFS... what do you think conditions will be like in the PV? It could happen tomorrow. Sucker gets down to 498dm at 156 hrs. NYC crushed again ... 972MB Surface low over Long Island. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheesyPoofs Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 On 1/1/2011 at 3:47 PM, usedtobe said: Until the next model run anyway. Ha, yeah Wes, 12z GFS looks interesting day 6/7. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 On 1/1/2011 at 4:16 PM, stormtracker said: When you have one of the best mets on the board (wes) telling you its over, then its over (for the next few weeks anyway). Ji just gets stupid and is unrealistic.....I'm just practical and a realist here. Thinking anyone knows what the next few weeks will bring is the furthest thing from being a realist... Basing your thoughts on awful DC climatology would be more practical. I love Wes but even he admits that anything past a few days is a WAG. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr No Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 This is one of the strangest surface/prcp maps I've seen in many years. Looks like a Jackson Pollock masterpiece. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 On 1/1/2011 at 4:33 PM, Yeoman said: Thinking anyone knows what the next few weeks will bring is the furthest thing from being a realist... Basing your thoughts on awful DC climatology would be more practical. I love Wes but even he admits that anything past a few days is a WAG. You see the GFS? Back to our usual Miller B voodoo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 On 1/1/2011 at 4:24 PM, CheesyPoofs said: Ha, yeah Wes, 12z GFS looks interesting day 6/7. 12Z GFS shows a Miller B that gives us some snow climo says forget it folks as the time nears, the precip shield will be cut back and we will be lucky to get a dusting of course, if today's run showed the system going to our south giving us the big snows, we know it would change in later runs to a Miller B so at least this avoids us the heartache feels good for there to be normalcy in the wx world again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 we can't even get the southern system at the end of the run to come up far enough to get us you can bet that will verify lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 No one down here should be rooting for the 12Z GFS depiction. That would be an awful screwing. Don't be fooled by the token snow we get. South of PHL would be totally shafted. We might need to strap in and accept that this could be a huge, huge winter for NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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