georgiawx11 Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Larry could verify but I think you are right abou atl not having a 6" snow. I live 35 miles nw and have had a few. 88 was great. I think I got around 8" with that one. In 93 my uncle measured 18. I measured 14 but I didnt get outside to measure the first day. We had another good one in 91 or 92 as well. Also, downtown got 6 or 7 in 93 so thats what they get for putting the station down at the airport. The only 6" snows I remember are Jan 92 and Mar 93. Those were 2 great back to back years !! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Any experts want to comment on the lake of the NAM in regards to the Sun/Mon threat? It looks to me like the vortex to our north is much further west and there is more separation between our southern s/w and s/w in the northwest. Edit: Thanks phil! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Last thoughts before heading out... the 00z nam is showing a major change in the orientation of the 500mb low... with it centered over the great lakes at 78 hours. This is very similar to the Euro depiction at 96 hours. It won't surprise me in the least to see the 00z gfs trend in that direction, which is a positive direction for the late weekend threat. I was just getting ready to post the same thing. The 84 hour plot from the NAM looks very similar to the 96 hour 12Z EURO. That is a great sign indeed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Local Yokel Wx Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Thats what I was wandering, Between you 3 this is pretty big potential being only 24 hrs out, You and the sylva/Jackson County crowd, Chattanooga poster and Rosie/Dawson ought to be loving this Im here and having to shake off the denial. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Last thoughts before heading out... the 00z nam is showing a major change in the orientation of the 500mb low... with it centered over the great lakes at 78 hours. This is very similar to the Euro depiction at 96 hours. It won't surprise me in the least to see the 00z gfs trend in that direction, which is a positive direction for the late weekend threat. True. I just looked again at the NAM. Its thickness are pretty low for n. Ga and the Upstate to Nc, even without the low 850s. Kind of unusual , but I'd lean toward more snow than rain based on that. And the best qpf is in GA, so for those guys this may be a surprise 3" snowfall or so. Maybe more if the wetter trends continue. The RUC is leaning toward it as well. As for my area to CLT, its always too close to call practically until it occurs. LOL it could be snowing on Crowders or Kings Mtn. while raining on the lower elevations. Its that close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCMetroWinston Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 And Georgia has a higher population than NC, yet for some reason it seems like there are WAY more people from NC on this forum. And the Talkweather forum is dominated by people from GA, TN, MS, and AL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MotoWeatherman Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 The only 6" snows I remember are Jan 92 and Mar 93. Those were 2 great back to back years !! January 92 was awesome as we got just under 8" south of Atlanta in Jonesboro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
georgiawx11 Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 And the Talkweather forum is dominated by people from GA, TN, MS, and AL. I know, but I like the people on here better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MotoWeatherman Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 That .5 is right over Rosie and Dawsons house. LOL.. where is he at? Thats what I was wandering, Between you 3 this is pretty big potential being only 24 hrs out, You and the sylva/Jackson County crowd, Chattanooga poster and Rosie/Dawson ought to be loving this Been doing family duties of cleaning up dinner and putting the kids to bed. Set to go now. LOL. Just checked out the 0z NAM and boy oh boy is it so close for me and points north of me in GA. NAM puts best Omegas (lift) over far N GA at 7pm to 10pm. As Robert mentioned, thicknesses are pretty low yet 850's are razor thin on this but NAM does have 850's below zero for most areas about Lake Lanier northward shortly after dark tomorrow. Awaiting the GFS.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MotoWeatherman Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 OK...I started the new thread since this is 50+ pages... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 You are aware that this thread is an OBS thread also. The posts you listed really do not brother me. It pisses others off. I just choose not to read the post. It sucks when I an following on my Black Berry, but its cool. This set up has worked great for me for many years now.. But I understand 100% what you are saying. Nothing personal taken! "I got .004" last night and its 33.5 now" posts. Or - let's start a forum for serious questions and answers - not "What am I going to get?" but rather "Here's what I'm seeing and based on that, why am I going to or not going to get ....?" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Larry could verify but I think you are right abou atl not having a 6" snow. I live 35 miles nw and have had a few. 88 was great. I think I got around 8" with that one. In 93 my uncle measured 18. I measured 14 but I didnt get outside to measure the first day. We had another good one in 91 or 92 as well. Also, downtown got 6 or 7 in 93 so thats what they get for putting the station down at the airport. - KATL hasn't had a 6"+ snow since the great 3/24/1983 storm's 7.9" (1.71" liquid..so very wet snow). - As has been stated, most of ATL area had 6"+ S in the 3/1993 blizzard due to changing to snow earlier. - KATL just missed it with 5" of S 1/18/1992 from 0.53" liquid. However, I know of a friend south of town who had ~8"! - The 3/1/2009 storm had enough liquid equiv. (0.87") for 6"+ but it was way too wet a snow and they got 4.2". - The great 1/7/1988 sleet storm yielded 4.2" of mainly IP from 0.82" liquid. So, this was equivalent to ~8" of snow. 4.2" of IP is easily more impressive than 6" of snow as far as staying power is concerned. Tony's favorite kind of wx. - 1/22/1987 just missed as it was just a little too warm. They got 3.6" of snow from a storm total liquid amount of 1.14". I recalled there being flash flood warnings for heavy rain in the immediate SE burbs while it was snowing heavlily in the NW burbs! I got nearly 5" of S in Doraville. - "Snowjam '82" produced a solid 7" of S/IP 1/12-14 (from 0.91" liquid) that didn't budge for days! That was an incredible storm. - The Great 2/17-18/1979 sleetstorm produced a solid 4.2" of nearly pure IP (another Tony special) from a whopping 1.53" liquid. So, this was far more impressive than 6" of snow and was another incredible storm - So, the period 1979-1993 was an incredible period for KATL S/IP lovers. This was the snowiest/sleetiest period for KATL since the late 1800's/early 1900's! However, after the 2/1979 major ZR, the ATL area didn't have another MAJOR ZR storm until 1/2000! So, all KATL major storms were S/IP from the 2/1979 IP storm through the 3/1993 blizzard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthWake33 Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Robert...Thanks for all of your insight...Are you referring to the Thursday event or Sunday/Monday event? I was under the impression that Phil was referring to the latter. True. I just looked again at the NAM. Its thickness are pretty low for n. Ga and the Upstate to Nc, even without the low 850s. Kind of unusual , but I'd lean toward more snow than rain based on that. And the best qpf is in GA, so for those guys this may be a surprise 3" snowfall or so. Maybe more if the wetter trends continue. The RUC is leaning toward it as well. As for my area to CLT, its always too close to call practically until it occurs. LOL it could be snowing on Crowders or Kings Mtn. while raining on the lower elevations. Its that close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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