H2Otown_WX Posted December 31, 2010 Share Posted December 31, 2010 ill take it. Its been really boring lately, nothing to track or anything. All you can take from tonights run is that there is potential. We're 4-5 days removed from a mammoth nor'easter what do you expect? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 31, 2010 Author Share Posted December 31, 2010 We're 4-5 days removed from a mammoth nor'easter what do you expect? yes very true...but we only get 3 months out of the year to track snow storms...i want like the pineapple express here with storms basically growing off each other like worts lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted December 31, 2010 Share Posted December 31, 2010 NP. BTW, I don't have battery on my phone right now... I probably should charge it... so if u sent a text, it's the reason I haven't responded. I have selected my schedule for winter term (which begins on Tuesday) to not have a class earlier than 1:45 p.m. so I can stay on late night crew. Ugh, I have a class earlier than 11 am for the first time (besides my class last semester that was at 9:30 every Friday) and it's at 8 am Tuesday and Thursday. What's worse is it's Calculus II. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted December 31, 2010 Share Posted December 31, 2010 yes very true...but we only get 3 months out of the year to track snow storms...i want like the pineapple express here with storms basically growing off each other like worts lol I hear ya, last year was pretty good for that being an El Nino. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 31, 2010 Author Share Posted December 31, 2010 Ugh, I have a class earlier than 11 am for the first time (besides my class last semester that was at 9:30 every Friday) and it's at 8 am Tuesday and Thursday. What's worse is it's Calculus II. yea, i go back to work feb 1, the post 2am shenanagians end jan 30... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted December 31, 2010 Share Posted December 31, 2010 Ugh, I have a class earlier than 11 am for the first time (besides my class last semester that was at 9:30 every Friday) and it's at 8 am Tuesday and Thursday. What's worse is it's Calculus II. Calculus II at 8 AM is not a good way to start the day. At least it isn't ODE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 31, 2010 Author Share Posted December 31, 2010 yea, the calculus at 8am would be horrifying. When i was in college i had 8am turf labs mon-thurs. Then again in my field 8am is like waking up at noon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted December 31, 2010 Share Posted December 31, 2010 yea, i go back to work feb 1, the post 2am shenanagians end jan 30... Oh you have a shift work type job? That can be good and bad I suppose. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 31, 2010 Share Posted December 31, 2010 Oh man, I hadn't really checked this out until now. The first s/w really robs the entire setup. Check out the vorticity with the second stronger s/w as it rounds the corner. Very impressive..but only a ~996mb surface low and light to moderate precipitation in the Dakotas. http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/AVN_0z/f24.gif Somebody's still going to enjoy a blizzard there..but the potential def. went out the window with the first s/w. Anyways..im out. Later dudes! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted December 31, 2010 Share Posted December 31, 2010 Calculus II at 8 AM is not a good way to start the day. At least it isn't ODE. At our university you don't even have to take ODE if you're on the "broadcast" track for Meteorology. Seems like a joke to me but that's the track option I'm on as of right now. I have a feeling I may be dropping this 8 am Calc. and switching to the 6 pm one if there are openings.Only reason I'm in this one is because I heard horrible things about the professor that teaches the 6 pm class. They're both adjuncts though so I guess it's a lose-lose situation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 31, 2010 Author Share Posted December 31, 2010 Oh you have a shift work type job? That can be good and bad I suppose. nah, i used to work at a priv golf course for 3 yrs i was the asst. superintendent, basically right when i got out of college. Last yr i decided to see what else was out there, so i took another job that was full time seasonal. With that job you work march-thanksgiving, then you get laid off from thanksgiving to march. After being there i didn't really enjoy it so im going back to the golf course feb 1, as the asst. again when there new budget kicks in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted December 31, 2010 Share Posted December 31, 2010 nah, i used to work at a priv golf course for 3 yrs i was the asst. superintendent, basically right when i got out of college. Last yr i decided to see what else was out there, so i took another job that was full time seasonal. With that job you work march-thanksgiving, then you get laid off from thanksgiving to march. After being there i didn't really enjoy it so im going back to the golf course feb 1, as the asst. again when there new budget kicks in. Not bad..golf starts in February or just personnel show up? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted December 31, 2010 Share Posted December 31, 2010 Oh man, I hadn't really checked this out until now. The first s/w really robs the entire setup. Check out the vorticity with the second stronger s/w as it rounds the corner. Very impressive..but only a ~996mb surface low and light to moderate precipitation in the Dakotas. http://www.meteo.psu.../AVN_0z/f24.gif Somebody's still going to enjoy a blizzard there..but the potential def. went out the window with the first s/w. Anyways..im out. Later dudes! Yeah, a waste of such an amped low level baroclinic zone. That first S/W, which looks rather pathetic compared to the beast ejecting out of the Rockies, developed a 985 hpa low this afternoon! Models failed big time and had something like a 993 low. Blizzard warnings were hoisted in the Dakotas as a result. Now this second storm will be pretty measly compared to what it could have been. Look at the size of that ejecting S/W! Even then it still wraps up into an impressive comma. It will look gorgeous tomorrow on WV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 31, 2010 Author Share Posted December 31, 2010 Not bad..golf starts in February or just personnel show up? golf season starts first week in april and goes to 2nd to last week in october around here....Honestly, im not sure why the budget begins feb 1st but thats there "recognized" new fiscal year. They have full time workers all year round and management like myself and 2 others all yr round. The seasonal guys get laid off starting in late october...then they get brought back on in late feb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Manny Posted December 31, 2010 Share Posted December 31, 2010 Great to be looking at another potential threat, it keeps me busy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted December 31, 2010 Share Posted December 31, 2010 I guess I'm just not as much of a weenie as some of the rest of you. I just can't get interested in any thread out at 162, 240, 120 hours, etc, when even 24-48 is still a crap shoot. Last week was full of joy and heartbreak so to speak, so for me, I'll get interested when I finally see heavy snow actually falling from the sky and accumulating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted December 31, 2010 Share Posted December 31, 2010 you work march-thanksgiving, then you get laid off from thanksgiving to march. A skiers dream. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted December 31, 2010 Share Posted December 31, 2010 I guess I'm just not as much of a weenie as some of the rest of you. I just can't get interested in any thread out at 162, 240, 120 hours, etc, when even 24-48 is still a crap shoot. Last week was full of joy and heartbreak so to speak, so for me, I'll get interested when I finally see heavy snow actually falling from the sky and accumulating. I hear ya we went through 6 hrs of light snow and when all was said and done I could still see the grass Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha5 Posted December 31, 2010 Share Posted December 31, 2010 The 0z models around hrs 190-210 show a good deal of phasing potential between some northern energy diving down a newly established PNA ridged and energy over the Gulf which was previously a large ULL trapped near the coast of California. On both models, the phasing happens a bit to late and do to the unfavorable position of the ULL over New England, the storm passes OTS. However, were once again seeing all the players take the field: Depicted on the 0z Euro/GFS -Phasing potential -Developing PNA ridge, currently not as strong as the 26/27 one, but a bit further west -NAO block moving into a favorable position...again -50/50, although modeled to far south at this time. Naturally the 6z GFS has an entirely different situation, but its something that obviously needs watching. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Patrick Posted December 31, 2010 Share Posted December 31, 2010 OKX mentions the threat in their recent AFD: PATTERN SEEMS TO BE RELOADING FOR A REPEAT OF MUCH OF MID TO LATE DECEMBER...AND WE MAY HAVE TO WATCH OUT FOR A STORM NOT TOO FAR BEYOND THE FORECAST PERIOD...SOME TIME LATE NEXT WEEK OR EARLY THE FOLLOWING WEEK...AS A SOUTHERN STREAM DISTURBANCE EJECTS FROM THE DESERT SOUTHWEST. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atlas Posted December 31, 2010 Share Posted December 31, 2010 The storm on the EURO VERY closely resembles the 500mb pattern of the Dec 2009 snowstorm. Also at 240 hours the pattern looks ripe for another one. (evergy in the SW) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rib Posted December 31, 2010 Share Posted December 31, 2010 So now time to analyze every run from now until day 10? Not sure how you guys do it. Agreed the pattern looks favorable for a storm by then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atlas Posted December 31, 2010 Share Posted December 31, 2010 So now time to analyze every run from now until day 10? Not sure how you guys do it. Agreed the pattern looks favorable for a storm by then. Common Rob you know us weenies, if theres a threat on the models we track it, thats what this board is all about baby! lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted December 31, 2010 Share Posted December 31, 2010 I guess I'm just not as much of a weenie as some of the rest of you. I just can't get interested in any thread out at 162, 240, 120 hours, etc, when even 24-48 is still a crap shoot. Last week was full of joy and heartbreak so to speak, so for me, I'll get interested when I finally see heavy snow actually falling from the sky and accumulating. And mostly heartbreak...I would expect a repeat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 31, 2010 Share Posted December 31, 2010 I'm not quite ready to talk about another storm just yet, too many sleepless nights for me. I'll would wait until the middle of next week before discussing the next threat. The Gfs and Euro show some kind of storm but they are not on the same page right now, but the threat does exist for another big storm by the 2nd week of January. Hard to believe we're in a moderately strong Nina where the forecasts in October and November were for January to feature an epic torch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted December 31, 2010 Share Posted December 31, 2010 nah, i used to work at a priv golf course for 3 yrs i was the asst. superintendent, basically right when i got out of college. Last yr i decided to see what else was out there, so i took another job that was full time seasonal. With that job you work march-thanksgiving, then you get laid off from thanksgiving to march. After being there i didn't really enjoy it so im going back to the golf course feb 1, as the asst. again when there new budget kicks in. when i saw you had a 'turf lab"..i knew it was going to be golf course related....do you play? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RowanBrandon Posted December 31, 2010 Share Posted December 31, 2010 GFS has a bit of a clipper from hour 162-174. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 31, 2010 Share Posted December 31, 2010 GFS has a bit of a clipper from hour 162-174. Looks like it wants to try to develop a Miller B. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted December 31, 2010 Share Posted December 31, 2010 The GFS has modeled 500mb heights in northern Maine/New Brunswick near or below 522dm from hrs 72-252. That's annoying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted December 31, 2010 Share Posted December 31, 2010 So now time to analyze every run from now until day 10? Not sure how you guys do it. Agreed the pattern looks favorable for a storm by then. Meh if there ain't any sleet in it, I'm not going to set my alarm clock for the overnight ecmwf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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