KEITH L.I Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 GFS mmmmmm...miller B bomb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RowanBrandon Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 These type of bombing clippers 'usually' screw the MA fwiw. Yup. NYC-BOS special. Philly Metro would be lucky for a couple of inches in this setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 Total Precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RowanBrandon Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 Total QPF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rossi Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 Yup. NYC-BOS special. Philly Metro would be lucky for a couple of inches in this setup. Philli 2 to 4\C. NJ 4 TO 8 NYC on North 8 Plus Rossi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 1.50" for NYC and Northern Jersey. SNE gets 2"+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 Philli 2 to 4\C. NJ 4 TO 8 NYC on North 8 Plus Rossi 8"? NYC gets 1.50" QPF. That's 14"-20". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
masomenos Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 Bergen County Special :snowman: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RowanBrandon Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 Philli 2 to 4\C. NJ 4 TO 8 NYC on North 8 Plus Rossi Yes, I understand what this run shows verbatim(it actually shows more than that, btw). I'm just saying, these things usually end up screwing Philly and especially areas south of that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 Guys it wont happen. We don't get big snowstorms in January anymore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrodd321 Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 Philli 2 to 4\C. NJ 4 TO 8 NYC on North 8 Plus Rossi Philly is in the .5-.75. A little more than 2-4 verbatim. More like 5-7. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RowanBrandon Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 At the least, this raises the signal that there will be some type of snow on the east coast towards the end of next week. How it gets there, and how it evolves remains to be seen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sampson Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 Was the 0z Euro anything like the 12z GFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 Storm on GFS is for January 6-7, fwiw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rossi Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 At the least, this raises the signal that there will be some type of snow on the east coast towards the end of next week. How it gets there, and how it evolves remains to be seen. Agreed some more wild weather on the way!!! Rossi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RowanBrandon Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 Was the 0z Euro anything like the 12z GFS? Similar to an extent, but very light on the precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 Similar to an extent, but very light on the precip. The Euro showed a normal clipper evolution, versus the GFS bomb. I haven't looked at either solution closely, but I'm more apt to buy the Euro solution just based on pattern recognition. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tiburon Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 I especially like how at H5, the GooFuS phases the s/w (which is actually a lobe of the polar vortex) with the remnants of the 50/50 low. All northern stream? With no cold air supply except the aforementioned polar vortex that explodes into a Miller B? Not to mention the verbatim p-type issues from Long Island north and east and from PHL south--how can you legitimately get snow with an H85 low to your north and west? I'm not discounting that a significant threat exists for the next 15 days. But if this evolves the way the GFS has it here, I'll eat my hat. I could also be totally off base and clueless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm Clouds Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 My Wxsim module has a little over 1" of snow on Thursday morning for the NW Philly burbs Off topic, but what is a wxsim module? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rossi Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 I think last nights GEM was similar. Is the 12Z GEM out as yet? Rossi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 0Z UKMET hinted at redevelopment in the same area big time. Was the 0z Euro anything like the 12z GFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 To be clear, I don't mean a Miller B evolution is impossible, but the 12z GFS bomb is pretty unlikely, imo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 I would take that; I'd feel bad for DC again, though. It's far out, but the GFS consistently is showing some kind of storm for the middle of Jan, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 12z Canadian looks VERY interesting. But hard to tell what exactly happened with the 24 hr. jump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 All I can say is these types of setups are very risky for NYC south, most Miller B's are and this one would be no exception. If the setup does evolve close to what the gfs suggests than New England will probably get hammered while we get side swept. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 All I can say is these types of setups are very risky for NYC south, most Miller B's are and this one would be no exception. If the setup does evolve close to what the gfs suggests than New England will probably get hammered while we get side swept. I disagree. Having lived many years in the PHL area, it is not uncommon to get 6-10 inches out this set up. Sure you don't get the 12 + totals, but I am sure anyone in the PHL will agree PHL does not typically get screwed the hardest. I Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrodd321 Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 I disagree. Having lived many years in the PHL area, it is not uncommon to get 6-10 inches out this set up. Sure you don't get the 12 + totals, but I am sure anyone in the PHL will agree PHL does not typically get screwed the hardest. I Strongly agree. Its usually the dc crew who gets screwed. We make out well with these most times, don't really know why everyone is saying nyc south gets screwed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 12 Z GGEM..couple frames missing because they are not updated yet on my end or just have the older images ..anyone has the new feel free to post them... 114 120 132 144 Missing 126 and 138 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 Strongly agree. Its usually the dc crew who gets screwed. We make out well with these most times, don't really know why everyone is saying nyc south gets screwed. I disagree with both observations, PHL, NYC and DC all get screwed and the NW suburbs, Poconos and LV are the jackpot in this setup. Mixing issues are the issue Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris L Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 I disagree with both observations, PHL, NYC and DC all get screwed and the NW suburbs, Poconos and LV are the jackpot in this setup. Mixing issues are the issue You might want to check out one of the greatest Miller Bs of all time, such as February 1978 and January 2005, where PHL-North raked up 12+ totals..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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