Ottawa Blizzard Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 -33.1c at my place! I got down to -25.3C. Am pleased with this, but there's the urban heat island effect for you! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 the clipper next weekend looks intresting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LES FREAK Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 I can't believe I actually found the forum. its been a looooooonnnnngggggg time!! Hows everyone doing?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 I can't believe I actually found the forum. its been a looooooonnnnngggggg time!! Hows everyone doing?? is that you Ty/ LES Chaser? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdoug Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Finally made it back to the board... we'll see if a westward trend begins with this coastal... The last system prior to the cold outbreak ended up trending nw ward.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 just got out of the hot tub, 104 degree water temp and its 5 degrees outside. Was actually hot getting out, weird feeling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 I can't believe I actually found the forum. its been a looooooonnnnngggggg time!! Hows everyone doing?? Welcome! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 the clipper next weekend looks intresting I was dissapointed with the 12z run though. Seemed to show it weaker around the Ottawa area. Gee, what a surprise! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
woolymammoth Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 I'm finding these storm tracks this winter almost personally insulting! I really had a feeling this one was going to be "ours." Any hope for February? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx4cast Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 the clipper next weekend looks intresting As of now especially for areas along and north of I90...see pboth possible lighter QP south of the Thruway and maybe even some mixing potential there too. I'm finding these storm tracks this winter almost personally insulting! I really had a feeling this one was going to be "ours." Any hope for February? From a climo perspective, while it is possible to happen, January often doesn't produce BIG snowstorms across the Upstate of NY. I think Feb & Mar will be good to us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 The potential storm next Tues. (Feb 1) is looking to be significantly further west than the ones of late, so much so that we have to be concerned it doesn't become a lakes cutter.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNYWxGuy Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 The potential storm next Tues. (Feb 1) is looking to be significantly further west than the ones of late, so much so that we have to be concerned it doesn't become a lakes cutter.... 12z Euro at 168... 12z Canadian at 180... 12z NOGAPS at 180... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 The potential storm next Tues. (Feb 1) is looking to be significantly further west than the ones of late, so much so that we have to be concerned it doesn't become a lakes cutter.... i wouldnt worry about it too much way too far out in the range the pattern does support a cutter, but its supported a cutter for a few weeks now. until it happens.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tornado Girl Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 The potential storm next Tues. (Feb 1) is looking to be significantly further west than the ones of late, so much so that we have to be concerned it doesn't become a lakes cutter.... We will see....But, I would give it a few more days before I got too excited. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 12z Euro at 168... 12z Canadian at 180... 12z NOGAPS at 180... Not too happy with how close the freezing line gets to my area. What happened to the cold shot early next week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Not too happy with how close the freezing line gets to my area. What happened to the cold shot early next week? lol this cold weather is spoiling us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Not too happy with how close the freezing line gets to my area. What happened to the cold shot early next week? you do want snow right? i know youd rather have the cold though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 you do want snow right? i know youd rather have the cold though Like you, snow depth is important to me. However, mean temperature is as well as I want to see if we can (or are starting to) break the pattern of warmer Januaries and Februaries in this region of North America. Is the warmer trend unstoppable? Are we starting to trend colder with January 2009 being the start and last year just being a blip, or will we continue to see warmer means? It is possible to get a lot of snow and extreme cold in the same month. February 1993 is a prime example. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Like you, snow depth is important to me. However, mean temperature is as well as I want to see if we can (or are starting to) break the pattern of warmer Januaries and Februaris in this region of North America. Is the warmer trend unstoppable? Are we starting to trend colder with January 2009 being the start and last year just being a blip, or will we continue to see warmer means? It is possible to get a lot of snow and extreme cold in the same month. February 1993 is a prime example. you should take a look at the day 10 euro, thats about as cold as it gets. its ridiculous and almost certinaly overdone. its posted somewhere on the board, either here or in the central forum Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 you should take a look at the day 10 euro, thats about as cold as it gets. its ridiculous and almost certinaly overdone. its posted somewhere on the board, either here or in the central forum That's interesting given the coldest day ever recorded in the NE US/Ontario/Quebec was February 9th, 1934. What I want is a cold snowstorm. The type of storm that gives us 8-10" with temps in the single digets. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Gfs keeps dropping that clipper further south, its almost becoming a MA clipper Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Gfs keeps dropping that clipper further south, its almost becoming a MA clipper Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 you do want snow right? i know youd rather have the cold though OL, this to me is the ideal winter month (along with February 1993): January 1917. 100 cm of snow (!) with a mean of -12.6C! http://www.climate.weatheroffice.gc.ca/climateData/dailydata_e.html?timeframe=2&Prov=CA&StationID=4333&Year=1917&Month=1&Day=24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 cold wave of 1899 http://www.islandnet.com/~see/weather/almanac/arc2009/alm09feb.htm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNYLakeEffect Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 cold wave of 1899 http://www.islandnet...09/alm09feb.htm Buffalo: MM/DD/YY High Low Precip Snow 02/01/99 14 3 0.01 0.01 02/02/99 23 14 0.01 0.01 02/03/99 24 20 0.09 0.9 02/04/99 24 16 0.07 0.7 02/05/99 23 15 0.01 0.01 02/06/99 20 13 0.01 0.01 02/07/99 18 14 0.05 0.5 02/08/99 16 3 0.1 1 02/09/99 3 -4 0.01 0.1 02/10/99 -3 -8 0.01 0.01 02/11/99 -1 -7 0.01 0.01 02/12/99 5 -4 0.03 0.3 02/13/99 5 0 0.02 0.2 02/14/99 17 1 0.01 0.01 02/15/99 34 14 0.01 0.01 ^^Of course these were taken at the waterfront. Jamestown: YYYY-MM-DD,High,Low,Precip,Snow,Snowdepth 1899-02-01,15.0,-6.0,0,0,5, 1899-02-02,29.0,15.0,0,0,5, 1899-02-03,31.0,19.0,0.31,0.005,5, 1899-02-04,26.0,20.0,0.05,0.5,5, 1899-02-05,26.0,17.0,0.1,1,6, 1899-02-06,23.0,10.0,0,0,6, 1899-02-07,20.0,9.0,0.1,1,7, 1899-02-08,16.0,0.0,0.25,2.5,10, 1899-02-09,0.0,-10.0,0.1,1,11, 1899-02-10,-4.0,-16.0,0,0,11, 1899-02-11,-4.0,-16.0,0,0,11, 1899-02-12,5.0,-12.0,0,0,11, 1899-02-13,3.0,-5.0,0.1,1,12, 1899-02-14,20.0,-1.0,0.005,0.005,12, 1899-02-15,34.0,10.0,0,0,10, ^^Jamestown City Hall (?) Good December that year, but but overall a 'meh' winter. Now the next two winters... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNYWxGuy Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 A nice 7-800 mile shift eastward on the 0z CMC compared to its 12z run for next week... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flying MXZ Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 A nice 7-800 mile shift eastward on the 0z CMC compared to its 12z run for next week... That looks about right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avid6eek Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 That looks about right. If anything, the Euro shifted west a bit and brings mild air into most of NYS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 0Z Euro cuts the Feb. 1 low way west....not looking good.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 0Z Euro cuts the Feb. 1 low way west....not looking good.... Unfortunately this is in keeping with the seasonal trend. We will likely get rain or freezing rain, followed by a flash freeze. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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