Tornado Girl Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 What are you implying here? Inply something....What little old me....Why I would never do that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FEFD17 Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Miller A’s If you look up and compare Costal Miller A"s and B's You will see that it seems that Miller A's seem to need to track closer to the coast then their cousin. In a Miller A the rain-snow transition zone is relatively narrow due to the storm's structure. Whereas, a Miller B's have multiple above freezing layers. Because of this, it is common tol see various precipitation types not only across the whole regi and often in a specific location as well ( sleet, snow, freezing rain or a wintry mix) Also, if you look at the tracks of costals over the last 50-75 years you will notice that Miller B's are much more common that their cousin Miller A I never would have guessed that. It would seem that with 2 fronts for a MillerB vs a single for Miller A it would be way more common for a Miller A. Now one last dumb question for now, does the general term " Noreaster" get applied to one or the other or is that a totally different type storm? It just seems like a cliche' hype word used by people.to hype a storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNYLakeEffect Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 4" for today. I didn't think we'd gotten that much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Maybe getting re-energized by this new offshore low forming. I see a trough extending nw up through CT into W. MA now..... Then nw from there.... inverted trough still going strong in ottawa, in fact the radar is lighting up like a christmas tree after dying down for a bit Logan was right when he said 'rot in place' the other day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
roady Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Nice graupel storm from the cooling tower at work. Some angry looking clouds over the lake... Driving into Syracuse early this morning for a meeting I could see the cooling towers and steam rising straight up from Pompey. Pretty cool sight. Had to be 30-40 miles of visibility. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Couchsachraga Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Just back from grooming ski trails up north. Nice to finally have some snow to work with:) For the records - 8" in Johnsburg, NY as of 10 am this morning (base of Crane Mountain) 7" in Riparius aka Riverside as of 9:15 or so. I'm looking forward to next week already:) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNYLakeEffect Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Insanely heavy snow right now. It's not going to stay like this, but if it did, it would put a foot down in no time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Insanely heavy snow right now. It's not going to stay like this, but if it did, it would put a foot down in no time. congrats man enjoy... Whats your elevation down there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ontario squalls Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 A beautiful, sun shiny day today. Time to go icefishing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tornado Girl Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 I never would have guessed that. It would seem that with 2 fronts for a MillerB vs a single for Miller A it would be way more common for a Miller A. Now one last dumb question for now, does the general term " Noreaster" get applied to one or the other or is that a totally different type storm? It just seems like a cliche' hype word used by people.to hype a storm. A "nor'easter" applies to both a Miller A or B. Meteorologist basically just use the A or B reference to show the distinction on how the Nor'easter forms. It gets its name from the strong northeasterly winds it produces; while these type of storms are normally associated with Winter they can form anytime of the year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNYLakeEffect Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 congrats man enjoy... Whats your elevation down there? 1350 feet give or take 25. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 The skies appear to have (briefly?) cleared out here in Ottawa after a day of steady snow. Will be interesting to see what this upcoming week brings, with two snow possibilities possibly on offer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gorizer Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Nice patch of snow beginning to pop over western Schenectady county as the moisture from the coastal backs up into eastern NY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ENYsnow Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 The skies appear to have (briefly?) cleared out here in Ottawa after a day of steady snow. Will be interesting to see what this upcoming week brings, with two snow possibilities possibly on offer. I wonder if it fizzles out so to speak or drops a couple inches out your way. Either way Its starting to look snowy for ENY tuesday night especially if you believe the 00z nam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Nam has a coastal hugger that would prob crash into SNE..Gfs is further east but still give 1/4-1/2" qpf to most... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tornado Girl Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Nam has a coastal hugger that would prob crash into SNE..Gfs is further east but still give 1/4-1/2" qpf to most... Time will tell on were the final track will sets up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tornado Girl Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 .5 on 12 = 24:1 ratio You're not my Mommy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNYWxGuy Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 What a band off Cayuga Lake at the moment. Just in the past 15 minutes, it has shifted ever so slightly to the east and my conditions have gone from flurries to a full-fledged ~1.5" / Hr rate. This band extends well into Northeast PA, and I think BGM should consider including Broome-Susquehanna in the LES Advisory... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scratch Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 yes, we are very lucky we had that surprise storm in december.....imagine if we didnt i do think we have made some positive strides in breaking things down this week. hopefully that pays off in the not too distant future. as to your last point, why cant those epic coastals that hammer everyone from buffalo to montreal on the 384 GFS ever verify?? LOL! Now that would be awesome, just like why can't I ever win the Super Max lotto? Haha.. Oh well.. Here's hoping that we get nailed with a nice synoptic event soon.. Cheers, Scratch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 God long range looks super awesome storm after storm! march 07 repeat? : :snowman: :snowman: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andyace Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Is tuesday storm still up in the air as far as the track etc.? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNYLakeEffect Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Last night sort of underperformed, about 3.1". Most probably fell in that one squall. So 7.1" in the past 24 hours, 11.9" in the past 60 hours.11" on the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Last night sort of underperformed, about 3.1". Most probably fell in that one squall. So 7.1" in the past 24 hours, 11.9" in the past 60 hours.11" on the ground. Not bad, I've recieved 2.6 inches of snow in the past 24 hours, 6.2 inches of snow in the past 3 days, and 11.3 inches so far this month. Current snow depth is an estimated 5 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danno Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 4" in Western Onondaga since 10 pm last night. And now from NWS Buffalo - ALSO OF NOTE...THE GEFS ENSEMBLE MEAN IS FORECASTING A SIGNIFICANT MJO EPISODE TO MOVE EAST ACROSS THE PACIFIC DURING THE MIDDLE OF THE MONTH. MEAN OLR ANOMALIES OVER THE PAST WEEK SHOW ENHANCED CONVECTION CONCENTRATING OVER TROPICAL SOUTHEAST ASIA. GEFS ENSEMBLE MEMBERS ARE ALL IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT IN MOVING THIS AREA OF ENHANCED CONVECTION EAST ACROSS THE PACIFIC...WITH WHEELER PHASE SPACE PLOTS BASED ON THE GEFS ENSEMBLES SHOWING A MODERATE TO STRONG MJO SIGNAL ORBITING INTO THE WESTERN HEMISPHERE AFTER ABOUT 20-JAN. IF THIS VERIFIES...THAT WOULD PUT US INTO PHASE 8 AND PHASE 1 OF THE MJO CYCLE FOR THE LAST 10 DAYS OR SO OF JANUARY...WITH COMPOSITE ANALOGS SHOWING A STRONG CORRELATION TOWARDS BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES AND ABOVE AVERAGE PRECIP IN THE GREAT LAKES WHEN IN THESE PHASES. THUS...IF THE MJO FORECAST VERIFIES WE MAY SEE A PERIOD OF WELL BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES AND LAKE EFFECT SNOW FOR THE LAST 10 DAYS OR SO OF JANUARY...ESPECIALLY GIVEN THE CONTINUANCE OF THE GREENLAND BLOCK. BEFORE THIS HAPPENS...THE MJO CYCLE ALSO SUPPORTS A BRIEF BUT POSSIBLY SIGNIFICANT WARM-UP AS WE PASS THROUGH PHASE 5 AND 6 IN A WEEK TO 10 DAYS. THIS HAS SOME SUPPORT WITH THE ECMWF AND GFS...ALTHOUGH THERE ARE MAJOR DIFFERENCES IN TIMING AND AMPLITUDE. STAY TUNED. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FEFD17 Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Any preliminary thoughts on the upcoming storm? I see the NWS has already posted a HWO for the lower Hudson Valley but nothing this way......... Yet. I am just wondering is all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Any preliminary thoughts on the upcoming storm? I see the NWS has already posted a HWO for the lower Hudson Valley but nothing this way......... Yet. I am just wondering is all. http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php?/topic/7912-jan-11th-12th-snow-threat/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tornado Girl Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Is tuesday storm still up in the air as far as the track etc.? Yes things aren't looking all that bad...Right most of the major models Show Eastern and Central New York getting moderate snow....We still have 60 hours before things really get started so the track will adjust....If you look at satellite this today you will see that the storm over the Gulf is much larger than the models had predicted it would be at this time....all that moisture is a good thing....I still think this will be a big storm for the Mid Atlantic and North East. Tonight's and tomorrow runs will look a lot better I'm sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StotaRattler Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Yes things aren't looking all that bad...Right most of the major models Show Eastern and Central New York getting moderate snow....We still have 60 hours before things really get started so the track will adjust....If you look at satellite this today you will see that the storm over the Gulf is much larger than the models had predicted it would be at this time....all that moisture is a good thing....I still think this will be a big storm for the Mid Atlantic and North East. Tonight's and tomorrow runs will look a lot better I'm sure Each run is looking better and better. GFS still too far east IMO, but that will change in the next 24 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tornado Girl Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Each run is looking better and better. GFS still too far east IMO, but that will change in the next 24 hours. Yes, baby steps (I see that smile Andy) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2Slick Posted January 9, 2011 Share Posted January 9, 2011 Statement as of 3:24 PM EST on January 09, 2011 ... Lake effect Snow Advisory now in effect until 5 am EST Monday... The lake effect Snow Advisory is now in effect until 5 am EST Monday. * Locations: Cortland... Chenango... Onondaga... Madison and southern Cayuga counties including Syracuse... Cazenovia... Sherburne... Norwich... Truxton... Auburn and Moravia. * Hazards: moderate lake effect snow showers. * Accumulations: tonight... snowfall accumulations will range from 3 to 5 inches * winds: northwest winds at 10 to 20 mph will cause blowing and drifting snow along with poor visibilities at times. * Impacts: snow covered and slippery roads. Precautionary/preparedness actions... A lake effect Snow Advisory Means Lake effect snow is forecast that will make travel difficult in some areas. Lake effect snow showers typically align themselves in bands and will likely be intense enough to drop several inches in localized areas. Use caution when traveling. Please report snowfall amounts to the National Weather Service by calling toll free at 1-877-633-6772... or by email at [email protected]. Mundschenk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.