Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,604
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    ArlyDude
    Newest Member
    ArlyDude
    Joined

NYC/PHL Dec 26-27 Boxing Day Blizzard Part 10


yhbrooklyn

Recommended Posts

ok- i measured in 4 spots as i was shoveling my sidewalk and walkway...ranged from 17.5 to 22"

biggest snowstorm in Nassau Cty since I moved here in 2005. Probably my second biggest ever behind 1996. BTW- Shoveling is futile...after i was thru 60pct of my walkway I turned around and realized 3 inches of wind blown snow was covering the freaken pavement....and I still havent found my blackberry...FML

That 20" average for our area looks really good-- basically what you, me, Doug and JM came up with.

If you want to be exact:

Doug 18.9"

Me 19.4"

You 19.8"

JM 20.5"

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Replies 738
  • Created
  • Last Reply

12Z GFS LOOKS LIKE SHORT WARMUP AND BACK TO SNOW CHANCES NEXT WEEK - Where is La Nina

Rossi

It is la nina-- 1916-17 style :thumbsup:

If it becomes weak, maybe more like 1966-67 or 1995-96 lol

The analogs are looking good for another KU event and NYC should get over 30 inches of snowfall this winter. Personally, Im going for 40"

Link to comment
Share on other sites

It is la nina-- 1916-17 style :thumbsup:

If it becomes weak, maybe more like 1966-67 or 1995-96 lol

The analogs are looking good for another KU event and NYC should get over 30 inches of snowfall this winter. Personally, Im going for 40"

as of today we are ahead of 95-96....that should change in about 12 days

fyi- Nick Gregory, just made mention that this winter is starting to look a lot like 95-96...he actually went into the -nao in a la nina...LOL

Link to comment
Share on other sites

22 inches in Butler, NJ...amazing.

Official total for Jefferson is 8 inches. The official station for my area (Sussex) is reporting six inches, but I think totals are slightly higher here in Vernon.

Now crazy winds and blowing snow, but some clear blue skies. Frigid temperatures. Sad that its expected to warm up next weekend.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

It is la nina-- 1916-17 style :thumbsup:

If it becomes weak, maybe more like 1966-67 or 1995-96 lol

The analogs are looking good for another KU event and NYC should get over 30 inches of snowfall this winter. Personally, Im going for 40"

We had 31" in Manalapan, nj yesterday - wow

Link to comment
Share on other sites

BW, how strong did the low get? 963 mb?

Also, how much snow did you measure?

The latest analysis has it all the way down to 961 mb now.

I live in a neighborhood where all the houses are really close together here down by the beach

so I don't have a good spot to measure.Many of the drifts around my house are around 3 feet high

or so.Some spots around here where the winds were blowing around the condos and apartment

buildings have drifts to around 5 feet high.The condo owners contracted guys with small bulldozers

to begin clearing the snow.I spent the morning taking pictures and am going out later in the

afternoon to get some shots from down around the boardwalk.I haven't worked the exposure

compensation dial so hard since I got the camera due to the challenge of getting the exposures

correct with all the snow.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Well I guess one thing we learned here is that we cannot simply rely on model QPF spit out.....More important is always the banding that occurs, usually 20-30 miles per hour WEST of the heaviest model output QPF. I do have a question, though, for either a met or someone in the area that had that "super band" over new jersey western passaic, morris, somerset counties, etc.....I was EAST of that band near newark....we never got into the yellows and oranges. You guys had that band persist ALL night (seems like 3-5 hours of 2-4 inch per hour snows). Somehow, though....We got around 20-23 inches here. Yet the reports of those that were in the heart of the band seem to be the same amounts, though even the radar accumulated precip shows much more in those areas. Any explanation for this?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Well I guess one thing we learned here is that we cannot simply rely on model QPF spit out.....More important is always the banding that occurs, usually 20-30 miles per hour WEST of the heaviest model output QPF. I do have a question, though, for either a met or someone in the area that had that "super band" over new jersey western passaic, morris, somerset counties, etc.....I was EAST of that band near newark....we never got into the yellows and oranges. You guys had that band persist ALL night (seems like 3-5 hours of 2-4 inch per hour snows). Somehow, though....We got around 20-23 inches here. Yet the reports of those that were in the heart of the band seem to be the same amounts, though even the radar accumulated precip shows much more in those areas. Any explanation for this?

I was in the heart of that band in eastern morris and I can say we had less than five before that band showed up and finished around twenty. Youvon the other hand were in a moderate snow for a longer duration

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Pattern on GFS looks great after this brief warmup.

People I believe overestimated the Nina's negative effect.

I think most people, myself included, were banking on the Nina/+QBO combo to lead to a neutral to positive AO/NAO. The solar guys, like Isotherm and A-L-E-X, were ahead of the curve on the tremendous blocking this winter has produced.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

some places too far south missed the late feb storm and too far north missed the early feb storm. In between got both, plus the 2/10 event plus this storm and last Dec. so 5 events of over a foot in just over 1 year

I would have thought even more than that.

Here in Vernon, it looks like the year will finish out with approximately 90 inches total and we didn't get the brunt of last winter's storms (with exception to the blizzard in late Feb).

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I think most people, myself included, were banking on the Nina/+QBO combo to lead to a neutral to positive AO/NAO. The solar guys, like Isotherm and A-L-E-X, were ahead of the curve on the tremendous blocking this winter has produced.

Do you foresee blocking returning the way GFS is advertising for most of January? If it does, NYC might be gearing up for a mega winter.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

posting from the middle of the caribbean sea here...absolutely amazing storm from what I've read. I'm real jealous of you guys but I'm happy the storm performed as it did. I am also amazed that this La Nina as strong as it is isn't negating the other signals that are allowing this major blocking to occur. I think we're in for a memorable winter here folks...

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Do you foresee blocking returning the way GFS is advertising for most of January? If it does, NYC might be gearing up for a mega winter.

Yeah, but I'm not good at forecasting the NAO (I'm a tropical guy, remember), so I'm riding the Don S train until it gets derailed.

EDIT: That said, there are signs of a stratospheric disruption occurring in the first week in January. That's why I went for Jan 15 in the next snowstorm thread.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...