BostonWX Posted December 27, 2010 Share Posted December 27, 2010 Her'es the GFS 2m temps at the peak of the "torch" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 27, 2010 Share Posted December 27, 2010 Only for 1 run It had a cad "signal" for two or three I believe, with one run showing a clear ice storm. Either way, big deal...we torch and then cool off. It happens..and will always happen in winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 27, 2010 Share Posted December 27, 2010 Her'es the GFS 2m temps at the peak of the "torch" Jan '96 had 3' of snow down to nrn VA and we had two cutters and coastal hugger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 27, 2010 Share Posted December 27, 2010 Euro has a brutal torch. GFS is always way too cold for these torchs. Watch numbers come way up this week I think the interior in CNE may hold the cold on Friday with the sfc ridge axis holding over us during the day. We may struggle to mix out. MOS is high right now, but it'll do that with warm 850/900mb temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 27, 2010 Share Posted December 27, 2010 Worst beach/storm damage here in the 8 years I've lived here. Beaches are just ruined, the stairs for multiple homeowners on the water are GONE. Literally GONE. They made it through 05 no problem, this one, gone, floating in the ocean somewhere. Erosion epic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 27, 2010 Share Posted December 27, 2010 Euro has low lvl temps damned cold d4 despite the H5 config. Deep snow cover ftw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted December 27, 2010 Share Posted December 27, 2010 Jan '96 had 3' of snow down to nrn VA and we had two cutters and coastal hugger. Verbatim with full sun and no snow pack the GFS would support lower 60's in SNE. (8*c 850+5+3 for downsloping) But with the snowpack I'd take away at least 4 C. SO Full sun and snowpack lower-mid 50's. And if we taint with clouds, which looks like we will, we're stuck in the lower 40's, and thats just one day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 27, 2010 Share Posted December 27, 2010 I think we do have one torch day with showers and the other lead ins...(Friday,Sat) mildly above normal (Fri) and maybe 5F above (Sat). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 27, 2010 Share Posted December 27, 2010 Euro has low lvl temps damned cold d4 despite the H5 config. Deep snow cover ftw. how does it look in ski country western maine for tue-sunday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 27, 2010 Share Posted December 27, 2010 Euro is trying to crimp the torch east of the apps... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 27, 2010 Share Posted December 27, 2010 how does it look in ski country western maine for tue-sunday? Like tomorrow through Sunday? It looks danmed perfect. Not too cold, plenty of snow...maybe milder by the weekend but nothing severe and Sun may be ugly with rain but you'll be on the way home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted December 27, 2010 Share Posted December 27, 2010 I think we do have one torch day with showers and the other lead ins...(Friday,Sat) mildly above normal (Fri) and maybe 5F above (Sat). It doesn't really have that signature torch signal that we really need to give us a legit torch. It spreads the mild air and diffuses it far north of SNE. To torch near 60 with high dews I think we'd need to see a stronger temp gradient over southern Quebec with stronger SW winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 27, 2010 Share Posted December 27, 2010 I think we do have one torch day with showers and the other lead ins...(Friday,Sat) mildly above normal (Fri) and maybe 5F above (Sat). The big temp departures where both day and night departures are warm will probably be 24-36 hrs. With the high nearby..you may have a mild day cool night type deal. Afterwards the pattern gets better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 27, 2010 Share Posted December 27, 2010 Everyone's snowpack except maybe Moneypits and MRG;s will get mostly wiped out by Sunday LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted December 27, 2010 Share Posted December 27, 2010 The big temp departures where both day and night departures are warm will probably be 24-36 hrs. With the high nearby..you may have a mild day cool night type deal. Afterwards the pattern gets better. I think the real torch will stay west of SNE into NY state. I could see a place like Watertown NY getting torched and points south and certainly over areas Philly points SW and maybe NYC or the CT valley at the furthest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 27, 2010 Share Posted December 27, 2010 Euro has highs in the low 40s at best here Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 27, 2010 Share Posted December 27, 2010 lol. I think I will enjoy the mountains of snow everywhere for a few days, embrace a warmup, then look forward to some fun times towards the middle of Jan. Way too much snow out there to even think about the warm up this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 27, 2010 Share Posted December 27, 2010 I think the real torch will stay west of SNE into NY state. I could see a place like Watertown NY getting torched and points south and certainly over areas Philly points SW I think Sat may be relatively toasty as we get into the SW flow. It'll be hard to hold off 8-10C 925mb temps from mixing down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 27, 2010 Share Posted December 27, 2010 1 day torch...but it may be a strong one.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 27, 2010 Share Posted December 27, 2010 Like tomorrow through Sunday? It looks danmed perfect. Not too cold, plenty of snow...maybe milder by the weekend but nothing severe and Sun may be ugly with rain but you'll be on the way home. Okay just dropped back in and saw the comments about torches. I'm figuring 25-30 up there thurs fri maybe 30-35 saturday. They have almost 100 trails open right now double last christmas week. White gold FTW! Webcam shows it's wild up there right now but should wind down soon. I'm guessing 20" they'll end up with, at least that worked out, they went from ~50 to ~100 trails in two days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 27, 2010 Share Posted December 27, 2010 Okay just dropped back in and saw the comments about torches. I'm figuring 25-30 up there thurs fri maybe 30-35 saturday. They have almost 100 trails open right now double last christmas week. White gold FTW! Webcam shows it's wild up there right now but should wind down soon. I'm guessing 20" they'll end up with, at least that worked out, they went from ~50 to ~100 trails in two days. Woot woot they will be full open, good timing cept for the massive ants. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 27, 2010 Share Posted December 27, 2010 18" ... Very awesome storm here overall.. megaband delivered overnight. Fell asleep about 4am. Pix to come! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 27, 2010 Share Posted December 27, 2010 Woot woot they will be full open, good timing cept for the massive ants. LOL, ski early ski often. I found last year I get more skiing in from 759 to 10 then I do the rest of the day. Looking at the lines right now not terrible on the webcam. Plus we're staying on the mountain so we come and go with the lines/warm up/cocoa. Day 7 with snow on the ground. Not bad for 12/27. I'll probably lose most of mine, but the 18" of concrete to the NW wont go anywhere save a 5-7 day warmup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 27, 2010 Share Posted December 27, 2010 LOL, ski early ski often. I found last year I get more skiing in from 759 to 10 then I do the rest of the day. Looking at the lines right now not terrible on the webcam. Plus we're staying on the mountain so we come and go with the lines/warm up/cocoa. Day 7 with snow on the ground. Not bad for 12/27. I'll probably lose most of mine, but the 18" of concrete to the NW wont go anywhere save a 5-7 day warmup And that's not in sight at this time. Euro has 40s for 2 days and that's it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted December 27, 2010 Share Posted December 27, 2010 And that's not in sight at this time. Euro has 40s for 2 days and that's it. I think thats reasonable. In these huge torches usually there is a large thermal gradient above New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 27, 2010 Share Posted December 27, 2010 Everyone's snowpack except maybe Moneypits and MRG;s will get mostly wiped out by Sunday Not sure about Pete but I don't think the totals up at MP's will be that impressive. Towns in the N.E. part of the Berks only reporting 9-12" where as the west side got crushed. After walking through the 'hood and woods with the dog I'm lowering our totals (compacted) to 5-6". Probably more total but it really settled. That should help the staying power. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 27, 2010 Share Posted December 27, 2010 Warmup over the weekend, normally cold (AOB normal) next week. Winter's here....all with snow cover now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted December 27, 2010 Share Posted December 27, 2010 Was thinking about buying NE Snowstorms as a Christmas present to myself...I'm going to assume you all think it's worth getting? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 27, 2010 Share Posted December 27, 2010 Was thinking about buying NE Snowstorms as a Christmas present to myself...I'm going to assume you all think it's worth getting? Worth it. You'll read it all the time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 27, 2010 Share Posted December 27, 2010 Here's my pix from the storm's aftermath : Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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