NYC/PHL Dec 26-27 Boxing Day Blizzard Part 9

[jasperk99]

Lets just get to the next page, I am having the same problem here with slowness from one of the posts

[Collegestudent11]

Very Strong Band on the New Jersey Shoreline. It would be a 2 inch per hour band.

[winterwarlock]

Well I live in Somerset County and we have been having Moderate to Heavy Snow for the past 2 hrs so if it is not bad here hate to see what other places look like..LOL... BTW we have somewhere between 3 and 4 inches here so I think we will do alright since he haven't even gotten into the worst of the storm yet..

where in Somerset County because I just measured and dont have 3, im in the western southern part of the county. Radar really has shown the bands to the east never quite making it and I would catagorize our snow as moderate. You will know heavy snow when you get it

[Dosh]

sad that were losing light as we enter the heaviest bands. Amazing storm so far.

[Delaware]

Im happy for you guys....gettin shafted here near Wilmington, DE....a little too far west for good accumulation...sittin here with about an 1" and its been snowing lightly for at least 4 hours.

[Stormlover74]

Wasn't it similar to this in the wee hours of 2/26/10?

This is without a doubt one of the best storms in recent memory. Visibility is near zero, it is pouring snow, winds are howling.

[Saloo Kaloo]

You cant see anything outside. This is going to be ending up my top 5 fav snowstorms of all time.

[WeatherFox]

This is without a doubt one of the best storms in recent memory. Visibility is near zero, it is pouring snow, winds are howling.

and one for the record books. 26.9 inches is the amount to beat for the all time NYC Central Park record. It could happen if one of those meso-scale bands sets up and trains.

NWS AFD..AS NOTED EARLIER...WIND WILL BE A LIMITING FACTOR ON WHAT WOULD

OTHERWISE HAVE BEEN EXCELLENT SNOW RATIOS OF 15-1 OR 20-1 GIVEN

INTENSE LIFT AT IDEAL SNOW GROWTH TEMPERATURES ALOFT...WITH

ROEBBER NEURAL NET ALGORITHM SUGGESTING GREATER LIKELIHOOD OF

RATIOS UNDER 10-1...SO USED CLIMATOLOGICAL 11-1 RATIO INSTEAD AND

SCALED DOWN WHERE TEMPS RISE ABOVE FREEZING.

[JERSEYSNOWROB]

Near whiteout conditions here in Marlboro NJ, western monmouth county. About to head out to shovel and will take measurements. Wow looks great outside.

[winterwarlock]

Lets just get to the next page, I am having the same problem here with slowness from one of the posts

its the radar image from Folsomwx thats slowing everything down

[ag3]

This is without a doubt one of the best storms in recent memory. Visibility is near zero, it is pouring snow, winds are howling.

Agree. These Bands look wicked. We got some heavy bands forming and engulfing all of us.

This might be one for the record books.

[KEITH L.I]

real nice bands about to come from the south to Nassau county and Western Suffolk

[Sock Puppet]

Yea I remember heavy snow like this last year.

Wasn't it similar to this in the wee hours of 2/26/10?

[gkrangers]

New Mt. Holly map.

[Chris L]

Agree. These Bands look wicked. We got some heavy bands forming and engulfing all of us.

This might be one for the record books.

I haven't seen these type of bands since February 2006 and we all know what that did...

Right now, this storm is better than Feb 10th, although that storm had significant damage due to heavy wet snow; this has FAR better ratios.

[Kingwill]

sad that were losing light as we enter the heaviest bands. Amazing storm so far.

True,,but that is when the Snow will REALLY accumulate..

[blizzardlover]

Im happy for you guys....gettin shafted here near Wilmington, DE....a little too far west for good accumulation...sittin here with about an 1" and its been snowing lightly for at least 4 hours.

Ditto. In NW Delaware here (near where DE, PA, and MD intersect) and we've gotten about the same. Brutal cutoff. 12/30/00 Redux.

[Ray8002]

UNREAL.. Never in my life have I seen it snow this hard on the shore. EVER!

[LVblizzard]

New Mt. Holly map.

Those heavy bands have to make it west pretty quick if the western Lehigh Valley wants to see 7+".

[Jefflaw77]

UNREAL.. Never in my life have I seen it snow this hard on the shore. EVER!

where are u?

[gkrangers]

I really didn't think it would get any better than last year....

[chazman]

Looks like the east end of LI is getting into a break.

[LocoAko]

Reduced quality photo, but it is tough to see anything down even towards the end of my street. It is about 200 feet away...

[WeatherFox]

Agree. These Bands look wicked. We got some heavy bands forming and engulfing all of us.

This might be one for the record books.

this might stop it from happening as per the NWS but subjectively I think we are in the game:

...AS NOTED EARLIER...WIND WILL BE A LIMITING FACTOR ON WHAT WOULD

OTHERWISE HAVE BEEN EXCELLENT SNOW RATIOS OF 15-1 OR 20-1 GIVEN

INTENSE LIFT AT IDEAL SNOW GROWTH TEMPERATURES ALOFT...WITH

ROEBBER NEURAL NET ALGORITHM SUGGESTING GREATER LIKELIHOOD OF

RATIOS UNDER 10-1...SO USED CLIMATOLOGICAL 11-1 RATIO INSTEAD AND

SCALED DOWN WHERE TEMPS RISE ABOVE FREEZING.

[Jefflaw77]

4.5" - Dix Hills, NY

Someone in Central NJ must have 8-10" by now!!

[WeatherFox]

Yes, some dry slotting but it is expected to come back as the storm's moisture shield continues to pivot from the southeast to northwest..

Looks like the east end of LI is getting into a break.

[Jmister]

I think the new Mount Holly map is still a few inches too high across the PHL metro area. The gradient should be sharper like it is in north Jersey. A decent band is making its way west though, so that will enhance rates a good bit if it makes it.

[Juliancolton]

Any idea on what the central pressure is down to? Lowest I can find is 984 hPa off a buoy report.

[_AR_]

000

FXUS61 KPHI 262122

AFDPHI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ

422 PM EST SUN DEC 26 2010

.SYNOPSIS...

-- Changed Discussion --LOW PRESSURE OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY

AS IT MOVES NORTHEAST TO A POSITION OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST ON

MONDAY. HIGH PRESSURE IS THEN EXPECTED TO BUILD ACROSS THE REGION

AND DOMINATE THE WEATHER PATTERN FOR MOST OF THE WEEK. A COLD

FRONT MAY CROSS THE AREA LATE IN THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.-- End Changed Discussion -- &&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY MORNING/...

-- Changed Discussion --SNOW NOW COVERS THE ENTIRE CWA. BANDS OF HEAVY SNOW SPIRALING OUT

FROM THE CENTER OF THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM ARE PRODUCING SNOW AT

RATES OF ONE TO TWO INCHES PER HOUR...AND REDUCING VISIBILITIES TO

ONE QUARTER MILE. SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING

HOURS...HEAVY AT TIMES...BEFORE TAPERING OFF TO LIGHTER SNOW

DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AND ENDING ALL TOGETHER MONDAY MORNING.

WINDS WILL VEER TO THE NORTHWEST FROM SOUTH TO NORTH DURING THE

LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS...WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH

POSSIBLE ALONG THE COAST AND UP TO 40 MPH FURTHER INLAND. BLOWING

AND DRIFTING SNOW WILL OCCUR EVERYWHERE...BUT THESE CONDITIONS

WILL BE WORST NEAR THE COAST WHERE THE STRONGER WINDS AND HEAVIER

SNOW RATES WILL BE LOCATED. THEREFORE A BLIZZARD WARNING HAS BEEN

CONTINUED FOR THE NORTHERN NEW JERSEY COAST...AND A WINTER STORM

WARNING HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO A BLIZZARD WARNING FOR THE SOUTHERN

NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE COASTS.

COLD TEMPERATURES WILL COMBINE WITH THESE STRONG WINDS TO CREATE

WIND CHILL VALUES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS IN MANY PLACES (SOME

NEGATIVE WIND CHILL VALUES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE SOUTHERN POCONOS

AND NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY). WHILE THESE VALUES ARE NOT LOW ENOUGH

FOR A WIND CHILL ADVISORY...IT WILL NEVER-THE-LESS FEEL VERY COLD

AND WINTRY WHEN COMBINED WITH THE SNOW.

USED A BLEND OF MAV/MET TEMPERATURES FOR THE GRIDDED DATABASE..-- End Changed Discussion --

&&

[winterwarlock]

4.5" - Dix Hills, NY

Someone in Central NJ must have 8-10" by now!!

monmouth/ocean shore areas reporting 6 inches plus, but not all of CJ is getting in these heavier bands