SteveB Posted December 27, 2010 Share Posted December 27, 2010 Nice band movings west along the turnpike from Middlesex down That's your true deformation band right there and where the heaviest snow axis will setup for the remained of the storm. Looks like the bullseye will be just West of NYC 20-30 miles-ish. Wouldn't complain in the city though, still an historic event going down. What's the difference of 6" or so when you'll end up with close to 2' regardless! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
billgwx Posted December 27, 2010 Share Posted December 27, 2010 Gusts. Frequent gusts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LocoAko Posted December 27, 2010 Share Posted December 27, 2010 Gusts. Well then here it is! KEWR 262351Z 36030G39KT 1/4SM SN BLSN BKN001 OVC012 M04/M06 A2940 RMK AO2 PK WND 35039/2349 SLP956 SNINCR 2/7 60032 P0007 931015 4/007 T10441061 11028 21044 58043 RVRNO $ KEWR 262251Z 36026G31KT 1/4SM +SN BLSN VV001 M04/M06 A2945 KEWR 262151Z 36022G32KT 1/4SM R04R/2000V2800FT +SN BLSN BKN003 OVC009 M04/M06 A2951 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bobby Posted December 27, 2010 Share Posted December 27, 2010 Out the backdoor at work in Westbury...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted December 27, 2010 Share Posted December 27, 2010 State of emergency just declared in NJ.... Source? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bobby Posted December 27, 2010 Share Posted December 27, 2010 this looks like a line of thunderstorms almost... http://www.wundergro...ls=1&rainsnow=0 Thunderstorms or heavy sleet....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted December 27, 2010 Share Posted December 27, 2010 Well then here it is! KEWR 262351Z 36030G39KT 1/4SM SN BLSN BKN001 OVC012 M04/M06 A2940 RMK AO2 PK WND 35039/2349 SLP956 SNINCR 2/7 60032 P0007 931015 4/007 T10441061 11028 21044 58043 RVRNO $ KEWR 262251Z 36026G31KT 1/4SM +SN BLSN VV001 M04/M06 A2945 KEWR 262151Z 36022G32KT 1/4SM R04R/2000V2800FT +SN BLSN BKN003 OVC009 M04/M06 A2951 Awesome.. there's one zone that verifies. Wonder if there are any others. PVD was close but lost it in the third hour on a SPECI showing visibility back up to 1/2SM. Nice to see the observer adding the hourly snow accumulation too! Don't see that much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gkrangers Posted December 27, 2010 Share Posted December 27, 2010 Source? They've been talking about it on the NYC news channels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
billgwx Posted December 27, 2010 Share Posted December 27, 2010 From http://www.weather.g...ex.php?letter=b : Blizzard(abbrev. BLZD)- A blizzard means that the following conditions are expected to prevail for a period of 3 hours or longer: Sustained wind or frequent gusts to 35 miles an hour or greater; and Considerable falling and/or blowing snow (i.e., reducing visibility frequently to less than ¼ mile) This does not say the wind has to constantly be blowing at 35 mph or the vsby has to constantly be below ¼ mile. The 5-minute ASOS obs may paint a different picture than the hourly or special obs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jwilson Posted December 27, 2010 Share Posted December 27, 2010 I wish those bands would rotate through here, but I know they won't. So far those short-term models have looked pretty bad, most notably the SREFs which were supposed to have a great verification number. Seems like the NAM was closer to being correct with its more Eastern solutions. How far is the surface low off the coast? 100 miles? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidlothianWX Posted December 27, 2010 Share Posted December 27, 2010 Awesome stuff guys! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bobby Posted December 27, 2010 Share Posted December 27, 2010 Source? Was posted on FB by New York Metro Weather but don't see the post anymore.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmb8021 Posted December 27, 2010 Share Posted December 27, 2010 new snow totals: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IceMan5043 Posted December 27, 2010 Share Posted December 27, 2010 That band of yellow radar echos has set up JUST to my west, by maybe 7 miles or so. I went outside just now to try to measure the snow and it's literally impossible. It's blowing and drifting like mad. I got anywhere from 7.5 to 11.5 inches so far, and those 6 measurements were all taken on the most flat surfaces around my house. So let's go with 9-9.5 inches so far, which is pretty amazing since 1.5 hours ago I was at 5 inches flat! Here's to hoping for some THUNDER SNOW before the night is out! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LocoAko Posted December 27, 2010 Share Posted December 27, 2010 My forecast updated: Tonight: Snow and widespread blowing snow before 5am, then areas of blowing snow and a chance of snow after 5am. The snow could be heavy at times. Some thunder is also possible. Low around 20. Wind chill values as low as zero. Windy, with a north wind between 33 and 39 mph, with gusts as high as 55 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Total nighttime snow accumulation of 15 to 21 inches possible. :o Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted December 27, 2010 Share Posted December 27, 2010 Check the latest Upton forecasts: 15-21" just TONIGHT for many of you...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted December 27, 2010 Share Posted December 27, 2010 With such persistent banding, I wouldn't be surprised to hear about 30"+ totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bobby Posted December 27, 2010 Share Posted December 27, 2010 Newark closed as of 30 minutes ago...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted December 27, 2010 Share Posted December 27, 2010 As an aside, I like Philadelphia's NWSFO's color table for forecast snow accumulation better than OKX's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted December 27, 2010 Share Posted December 27, 2010 My forecast updated: Tonight: Snow and widespread blowing snow before 5am, then areas of blowing snow and a chance of snow after 5am. The snow could be heavy at times. Some thunder is also possible. Low around 20. Wind chill values as low as zero. Windy, with a north wind between 33 and 39 mph, with gusts as high as 55 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Total nighttime snow accumulation of 15 to 21 inches possible. :o That is just insane. I don't think I've seen that around here before. 15-21 inches overnight?? That's Sierra-Nevada-like accumulations for a single forecast period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Diego Posted December 27, 2010 Share Posted December 27, 2010 55mph wind gusts at Nantucket at 7PM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted December 27, 2010 Share Posted December 27, 2010 This is going to be THE rival to the 96 blizzard if we get ANOTHER 15-20" tonight! The problem is that it isn't a huge storm for the entire East coast. The mid-Atlantic surpassed January 1996 back in Feb, and NYC metro will probably surpass it with this storm, but neither of these storms are bringing such heavy snow to so many people. This is a NYC-Boston HECS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riverrat Posted December 27, 2010 Share Posted December 27, 2010 That's your true deformation band right there and where the heaviest snow axis will setup for the remained of the storm. Looks like the bullseye will be just West of NYC 20-30 miles-ish. Wouldn't complain in the city though, still an historic event going down. What's the difference of 6" or so when you'll end up with close to 2' regardless! That would be me. Tried to clear - but 2 inches an hour, thunder, and the dog wouldn't come out is when I quit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted December 27, 2010 Share Posted December 27, 2010 KISP is now reporting a gust to 54 mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted December 27, 2010 Share Posted December 27, 2010 SPECI KISP 270011Z COR 36038G47KT 1/8SM R06/2800V4500FT +SNPL FZFG BLSN BKN001 OVC013 M03/M06 A2919 RMK AO2 PK WND 36047/0011 PLB11 PRESFR P0000 $ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted December 27, 2010 Share Posted December 27, 2010 Some of these forecasts are going 17 to 23" for tonight for areas north of the city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted December 27, 2010 Share Posted December 27, 2010 The governor's mouth. Radar shows the deformation band creeping west. Looks like a slight V-shape extending from Poughkeepsie to Atlantic City with a vertex in New Brunswick What I mean is there any official link to it? Or an article about it? It affects whether I go to work at 2am or not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted December 27, 2010 Share Posted December 27, 2010 Awesome.. there's one zone that verifies. Wonder if there are any others. PVD was close but lost it in the third hour on a SPECI showing visibility back up to 1/2SM. Nice to see the observer adding the hourly snow accumulation too! Don't see that much. I have a feeling EWR may win the local area snowfall sweepstakes with this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 27, 2010 Share Posted December 27, 2010 Honestly I wouldn't be surprised to hear of totals near 36", it doesn't get more textbook then it is right now. The dynamics and banding that is taking place right now is beyond amazing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted December 27, 2010 Share Posted December 27, 2010 My forecast updated: Tonight: Snow and widespread blowing snow before 5am, then areas of blowing snow and a chance of snow after 5am. The snow could be heavy at times. Some thunder is also possible. Low around 20. Wind chill values as low as zero. Windy, with a north wind between 33 and 39 mph, with gusts as high as 55 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Total nighttime snow accumulation of 15 to 21 inches possible. :o 22-26 inches total areawide Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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