weathafella Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 and drier. Knowledge failure. When you see qpf maps you'll know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
larvay Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Wouldn't surprise me. This is the kind of KU that crushes the shore and valley. Glad we're on the same page. This is a good reminder to all you people that say I'm a debbie downer... when conditions warrant I go balls to the wall I hope you'll be posting all day, Ryan. You'll always be Debbie Downer to us, but I appreciate your almost-complete objectivity. Got snow in the air now even in the valley!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
friendwh Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 We will likely fall short of blizzard criteria inland. I could see BDR coming close. I think the 00z NAM had BDR with about 9 straight hours of 35mph sustained and about a foot of snow btw 21z and 06z tonight, so makes sense Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 LOL, you western mass and NH peeps are fine. Enjoy the banding. I can't help myself, Scott. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 HUGE qpf bomb around the immediate BOS area. What gives? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 The new NAM is like a wet dream. Raising QPF the day of an event...I love it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 That was a Sunday too if I recall. Yeah it was either a Saturday or a Sunday. Might have been Saturday into Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 I hope you'll be posting all day, Ryan. You'll always be Debbie Downer to us, but I appreciate your almost-complete objectivity. Got snow in the air now even in the valley!! Nice Lars!!! Merry Christmas and Happy New Year!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 BOS-just north of PYM is the max in eastern areas extending SW to Bobbsville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Knowledge failure. When you see qpf maps you'll know. Lol--total failure. I'll just shut up now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 LOL, you western mass and NH peeps are fine. Enjoy the banding. Thank you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Lol--total failure. I'll just shut up now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Knowledge failure. When you see qpf maps you'll know. You get testy when the rain/snow line flirts with you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 26, 2010 Author Share Posted December 26, 2010 You're either going to be the jackpot or just east of it. New NAM slightly warmer later but you can see the banding is setting up just west of the 0c somewhere near or just NW of Bob, same for you. Ray FTW maybe. My guess is that I'm either going to have one of the higher totals from the storm, or susbsidence hell, as the cf is a hair too close to the coast. I think the former.....I know, go figure, but you guys know damn well that when I think I'm going to get screwed that I'm honest and not shy about expressing dissapointment. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Basically...a crushing in all of eastern MA from ORH eastward up to the canal but not east of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 BOS-just north of PYM is the max in eastern areas extending SW to Bobbsville. It's going to be close right on the water for KBOS for a few hours. Literally on the line..lol. Your slight interior local could be big. Keep those winds north baby!! heavy heavy ageo flow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Persistent snow...mdt to heavy through the morning and light to mdt in the afternoon tomorrow. Don't sell this short.....the big ones get VERY big from adding 6+ inches of high ratio snow as the storm slowly churns and deformation bands don't move much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Yeah it was either a Saturday or a Sunday. Might have been Saturday into Sunday. Yeah I remember TSSN on that Sunday morn with that band Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
friendwh Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 an interesting feature of the NAM and pretty much every NCEP model run for the last 24 hours or so is that they've set up a pair of QPF maxes - one for E NJ, LI, SE NY and SW CT, and the other for the BOS metro area...those are probably the best areas for the lollipops Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Still a strong signal for a big time qpf bomb over eastern areas west of the canal down through LI/RI and including all of the BOS/PVD area....968 low crossing what appears to be just inside of ACK I'm comparing 3 hour intervals with the 0z. So timing may cause this to appear differently but it looks colder through the first 12 hours, then actually a touch warmer. Would imply the change verbatim maybe does edge into Boston and Taunton for a short time based on 1000-850mb heights and 850mb temps but it's so freaking close. 3 hours later it fills and we have crashing 850mb temps Might be an instance when the MM5 could be handy. Will be a great test. Verbatim 3-6" here maybe more before a change for 6-7 hours. Change would be about 6-8pm here. Signal is for a lot more snow than that per NAM QPF but usually we get flooded faster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Basically...a crushing in all of eastern MA from ORH eastward up to the canal but not east of it. It's an absolute, unadulterated, crush job. WOW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 26, 2010 Author Share Posted December 26, 2010 The new NAM is like a wet dream. Raising QPF the day of an event...I love it. Yea, I saw a couple jumping the gun because it occludes a bit quicker, but I didn't think that would acts as much of a detriment.....the damage was done as far as conversion of dynamics via bombogenesis into prolific qpf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattlacroix4 Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Does anyone have an thoughts on spots hitting 30 inches from eastern MA or so? Is that still a possibility? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 You're either going to be the jackpot or just east of it. New NAM slightly warmer later but you can see the banding is setting up just west of the 0c somewhere near or just NW of Bob, same for you. Ray FTW maybe. What do you like for totals NE CT out to BDL? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Good luck to all and enjoy it!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 It's going to be close right on the water for KBOS for a few hours. Literally on the line..lol. Your slight interior local could be big. Keep those winds north baby!! heavy heavy ageo flow. I have a flight tomorrow at 10:15....BOS will be either closed or delayed hugely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Holy s*** on the Nam.. kgay to will to dom get smoked! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeVries Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 It's going to be close right on the water for KBOS for a few hours. Literally on the line..lol. Your slight interior local could be big. Keep those winds north baby!! heavy heavy ageo flow. Seriously, is there going to be any reason to get out and try measuring in the city? The winds, the buildings...I don't think it's worth it. I'll keep the obs going though... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Looks like the low does go right near ACK. I like how the models are really pegging the low level convergence over ern mass. This will be fun to follow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Wouldn't surprise me. This is the kind of KU that crushes the shore and valley. Glad we're on the same page. This is a good reminder to all you people that say I'm a debbie downer... when conditions warrant I go balls to the wall Grab em and slam em hard against the wall.. I don't think valley is jackpot though..those meso models still show the shadow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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