My First HECS on the Boards.....

[shadow]

Agree. I'm worried about dry slotting east of me... maybe even as far west as GON/IJD.... but HVN/HFD/BDL are going to rock. PERFECT setup.

side ways snow here now visibility dropping

24 deg mod snow

[Gibbsfreeenergy]

Agree. I'm worried about dry slotting east of me... maybe even as far west as GON/IJD.... but HVN/HFD/BDL are going to rock. PERFECT setup.

Highest totals will be from NYC to just east of 91 corridor sitting underneath epically long and strong deformation zone and increasing mid level fronto. I have my popcorn ready and plenty of whiskey on hand! Biggest I have ever seen was 19 inches PD in state college PA my senior year. This may approach that.

[ROOSTA]

Where is Paul Kocin? I surprised he usually posts in here duing the big ones.

[Damage In Tolland]

AWT

AS MENTIONED IN PREVIOUS DISCUSSION MARGINAL WARM BOUNDARY LAYER

ACROSS THE SOUTH COAST IS BEING OFFSET BY PRECIP INTENSITY AND

COLD TEMPS ALOFT. EXPECT MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW TO CONTINUE TO

FALL ACROSS RI AND SOUTHEAST MA UNTIL ABOUT 00Z/7 PM OR SO...THEN

THE DRY SLOT WILL MOVE ACROSS THIS AREA AND BRING A CRASHING END

TO THE SNOW PARTY. HOWEVER BEFORE THEN 2-6 INCHES OF SNOW ARE

LIKELY ACROSS MVY...ACK AND THE OUTER CAPE /E OF HYA/ AND 6-9

INCHES ACROSS THE UPPER CAPE /W OF HYA/ INTO SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH AND

BRISTOL COUNTIES OF MA INCLUDING BID OF RI. SNOWFALL RATES OF 1-2

INCHES PER HOUR WILL COMMON ACROSS RI AND SOUTHEAST THROUGH 00Z.

AN HOUR OR TWO OF NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE BEFORE THE

DRY SLOT APPROACHES.

[nutmegfriar]

Virga under 20dBZ is aggravating lol.

Yes, we know. Your have Virga. Geez.

[powderfreak]

What happened to the old idea of maintain two separate threads, one for SNE and one for NNE/E NY. The back and forth is sort of annoying, honestly.

...or, maybe it's just snowNH.

Its going to happen in every storm. Even within SNE... what you want in PVD is much different from Pete and Mike in the Berkshires. I can be in the great state of Massachusetts in like 15 minutes by car. That's close enough for me.

[Damage In Tolland]

You should come spend the night at my house if you want to see some jackpot totals.

I don't think HFD is jackpot

[Clinch Leatherwood]

Intensity sort of tapered off here in GON for a bit. Is that the dry slot developing on the radar around the CT/RI border?

Not really, probably subsidence between the two bands.

Heavy snow here, 1/2". 300 feet away closer to 2-3" eyeballing, will take a walk and measure. Tough to explain but literally as the road winds away from the ocean the snow on it increases by the foot traveled back.

[moneypitmike]

Vis 1/2 -3/4 of mile..mod snow/blowing snow 19.3

I'm counting on a north wind to blow my driveway clear since my sb is out of ocmmission.

A little nippy.

[TalcottWx]

AWT

AS MENTIONED IN PREVIOUS DISCUSSION MARGINAL WARM BOUNDARY LAYER

ACROSS THE SOUTH COAST IS BEING OFFSET BY PRECIP INTENSITY AND

COLD TEMPS ALOFT. EXPECT MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW TO CONTINUE TO

FALL ACROSS RI AND SOUTHEAST MA UNTIL ABOUT 00Z/7 PM OR SO...THEN

THE DRY SLOT WILL MOVE ACROSS THIS AREA AND BRING A CRASHING END

TO THE SNOW PARTY. HOWEVER BEFORE THEN 2-6 INCHES OF SNOW ARE

LIKELY ACROSS MVY...ACK AND THE OUTER CAPE /E OF HYA/ AND 6-9

INCHES ACROSS THE UPPER CAPE /W OF HYA/ INTO SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH AND

BRISTOL COUNTIES OF MA INCLUDING BID OF RI. SNOWFALL RATES OF 1-2

INCHES PER HOUR WILL COMMON ACROSS RI AND SOUTHEAST THROUGH 00Z.

AN HOUR OR TWO OF NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE BEFORE THE

DRY SLOT APPROACHES.

Ahhhhh.... BOX thinks were safe yay

[hooralph]

Yes. People are "concerned" about the storm stalling the way I am concerned about Scarlett Johannson forcing her way into my bedroom tonight.

[Damage In Tolland]

[dendrite]

Last widespread Blizzard Warnings for NNE was Valentines Day 2007. BTV verified 1/4 +SN for over 8 consecutive hours in that system with temperatures near 0F. Definitely my benchmark for a winter storm.

Definitely a snow bomb, but the winds weren't close to verifying at BTV.

[Kbosch]

Highest totals will be from NYC to just east of 91 corridor sitting underneath epically long and strong deformation zone and increasing mid level fronto. I have my popcorn ready and plenty of whiskey on hand! Biggest I have ever seen was 19 inches PD in state college PA my senior year. This may approach that.

I may need to take some medication. Cracking 20 would be unbelievable.

[Bryan]

AWT

AS MENTIONED IN PREVIOUS DISCUSSION MARGINAL WARM BOUNDARY LAYER

ACROSS THE SOUTH COAST IS BEING OFFSET BY PRECIP INTENSITY AND

COLD TEMPS ALOFT. EXPECT MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW TO CONTINUE TO

FALL ACROSS RI AND SOUTHEAST MA UNTIL ABOUT 00Z/7 PM OR SO...THEN

THE DRY SLOT WILL MOVE ACROSS THIS AREA AND BRING A CRASHING END

TO THE SNOW PARTY. HOWEVER BEFORE THEN 2-6 INCHES OF SNOW ARE

LIKELY ACROSS MVY...ACK AND THE OUTER CAPE /E OF HYA/ AND 6-9

INCHES ACROSS THE UPPER CAPE /W OF HYA/ INTO SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH AND

BRISTOL COUNTIES OF MA INCLUDING BID OF RI. SNOWFALL RATES OF 1-2

INCHES PER HOUR WILL COMMON ACROSS RI AND SOUTHEAST THROUGH 00Z.

AN HOUR OR TWO OF NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE BEFORE THE

DRY SLOT APPROACHES.

[CoastalWx]

That banding is sick off of NJ. You guys in western NE should rock. Deformation and mid level frontogenesis always rocks.

[Clinch Leatherwood]

They've done a great job on the coast here. It's accumulating now as the sun sets, but we'll need that heavy stuff to the south to make hay.

The NWS has cut totals by 7-10" just since last evening on that map, you should call them out for cutting precip totals by 1/2

[Damage In Tolland]

Couple of gusts to 35 the last 20 minutes

[DomNH]

Couple of gusts to 35 the last 20 minutes

Winds are starting to pick up a bit here for the first time today...hopefully a sign of things to come.

[CoastalWx]

This is the one thing concerning eastern areas. Both models indicate lack of deep moisture over this area. It does get better after 06z, but something to watch. I've seen it before.

[wxnut]

Yes. People are "concerned" about the storm stalling the way I am concerned about Scarlett Johannson forcing her way into my bedroom tonight.

LOL! Post of the day!

[wxmanmitch]

1/2 mile visibility and SN here now. Solid coating of snow. It has really picked up in the past 30 minutes. Temperature dropping into the upper teens, paving the way for some great ratios out here. It wouldn't surprise me if we see 15 to 20 to 1 ratios. Deformation banding should be great in W MA, NW CT, and SW VT.

[Mr Torchey]

S+

nuggetage

near whiteout conditions prevail, with sick banding occuring over eastern nj western ct and li............going to be a wonderful night.

[powderfreak]

Not really, probably subsidence between the two bands.

Heavy snow here, 1/2". 300 feet away closer to 2-3" eyeballing, will take a walk and measure. Tough to explain but literally as the road winds away from the ocean the snow on it increases by the foot traveled back.

That's awesome... very much like an elevation event but instead of snow increasing with each vertical foot, you've got snow increasing with each horizontal foot. I love seeing that stuff up close and reminds me of plenty of elevation events where you can be standing at a wet coating and walk 20 feet uphill and watch the snow increase with each step.

[isnice]

Here in Boston's western suburbs:

Larger flakes and moderate snow beginning to fall. I would guess about 0.3" accumulation so far. Temperatures have gone from 26.6 degrees to 23.9 degrees in less than an hour. I'm thinking that dry slot affects us but not as much as the RUC is suggesting. I would bet a shiny penny on seeing 15 inches out here, no more, no less.

[Damage In Tolland]

Winds are starting to pick up a bit here for the first time today...hopefully a sign of things to come.

They ramp up quick..Went from occasional gusts 10-20..up to 35 very quickly.

Very close o S+ here, but not quite. Huge ratios FTW with temps in the teens

[CT Rain]

I'm thinking 12-18 CT/NYC/W & C Mass.

10-15" from Boston on south into SE Mass including PVD and points S & E in RI.

Someone gets 20"+ in western NE.

[CT Rain]

KFOK 262035Z 03031G42KT 1/4SM SN FZFG

BKN008 OVC014 M02/M04 A2944 RMK AO2 PK WND

04042/2030 PRESFR P0002

[Logan11]

Hey it looks like the edge of some snow much be on your doorstep if you are in Delmar now. I'm sure some is virga initially. Two hours ago -SN at begun down at Kingston, NY. I see ALB has upgraded to Dutchess to a Blizzard Warning.

That's awesome... very much like an elevation event but instead of snow increasing with each vertical foot, you've got snow increasing with each horizontal foot. I love seeing that stuff up close and reminds me of plenty of elevation events where you can be standing at a wet coating and walk 20 feet uphill and watch the snow increase with each step.

[ctsnowstorm628]

how does the situation look for southern ct in southern middlesex county? like dry slot concerns/mesoscale banding? thanks guys. great discussion.