ace0927 Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Gotta love ho at 27 degrees the snow still melts on NYC streets, until it comes down at crazy rates... i was just about to post in Woodmere the streets are WET not white....i dont get it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 I just realized that KORF is at 7 or so inches already...1/16SM 2 of the last 3 obs... The snow has been incredibly intense down there. It's a real treat for SE VA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 If you don't understand mesoscale dynamics and the impacts of that on snowfall totals, then you'll never understand the snow map. So I'm not surprised with the snow google BS quotes. Hi Steve, Are you confident in your totals west of Philly? I assume yes as you put the map out public. Only qustion is all recent runs of the GFS/NAM drop totals rapidly out towarrds coatesville Reading zone New GFS dropped a big turn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anyweather Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Not to clutter things up, but I wanted to tell you all lucky folks that I hope you enjoy this storm and it turns out to be everything it is slated to be. Have fun! Good luck! Stay safe! Andy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 HRRR absolutely clobbers LI with deformation bands later this afternoon and tonight. Snow already starting to pick up here on Western LI. An inch of qpf for most of the coastal areas by 1z tonight. Probably overdoing it, but interesting none the less. LOL- that has a 968 slp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrodd321 Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Hi Steve, Are you confident in your totals west of Philly? I assume yes as you put the map out public. Only qustion is all recent runs of the GFS/NAM drop totals rapidly out towarrds coatesville Reading zone New GFS dropped a big turn Why are you still looking at models? Its nowcasting time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 i was just about to post in Woodmere the streets are WET not white....i dont get it This is about the highest sun angle right now, also the snow is not terribly heavy yet...most main highways are wet but once the rates reach 1 inch per hour they'll get bad quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Why are you still looking at models? Its nowcasting time. well just heard accu weather met live. They are only going with around 3-4 inches out near West Chester to Pottstown around 6-10 immediate PHL area. 12-18 NJ east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJHurricane Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 just remember folks...we are still a few hours away from what was progged to be the heart of the storm..."bust" calls without solid analysis clutter the board, will be deleted, and make it more likely to get put on post limit. Save em for Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDemon Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Quickly accumulated a nice dusting in Rockland County. Light snow right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Pushing north\ \ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Why are you still looking at models? Its nowcasting time. You got that right. Sit back the show is about to begin. 21.9/14 NE wind @15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 This is about the highest sun angle right now, also the snow is not terribly heavy yet...most main highways are wet but once the rates reach 1 inch per hour they'll get bad quickly. gotcha....BTW- HOLY B-TCHES- check the link http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/ETAPA_12z/etaloop.html#picture Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 PHL mayor called for a state of emergency beginning at 3pm today, but no word on the game as of yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Radar looks stunning. NYC and LI and Jersey are gonna be in heavy snow by 2pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
_AR_ Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 If you want to make bust calls already, sorry to be blunt but, you are DUMB. 00Z NAM composite radar reflectivity had radar returns not getting moderate snows past the delaware river into E PA until 00Z. So calm down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Hopefully other posters are right about there being no virga. I see the snow is almost to Lansdale now, can anyone confirm anything? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 gotcha....BTW- HOLY B-TCHES- check the link http://www.meteo.psu...op.html#picture Just based on its first 6 hours evolution I think its too far east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goldstar Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Anyone see any evidence of the low starting to 'hook' or come due north, the surface features look pretty far east, just wondering what everyone else thinks right now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Yes, no virga. Having been tracking this from the coast, westward through NJ. There has been no virga anywhere. Starts immediately as the radar returns are over you. Snowing already in Hopatcong, Sussex County, NJ. Hopefully other posters are right about there being no virga. I see the snow is almost to Lansdale now, can anyone confirm anything? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 PHL mayor called for a state of emergency beginning at 3pm today, but no word on the game as of yet IMO, they should play. This is not an emergency situation like in Minnesota when the game had to be postponed and moved. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jefflaw77 Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 gotcha....BTW- HOLY B-TCHES- check the link http://www.meteo.psu...op.html#picture F21 and F24 images remind me of 12/25/02- when we had that insane backlash snows.. The configuration of the snow bands as depected in these images appear similar.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
_AR_ Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Its clearly east. WSW have been dropped in Balt. Only flurrying in Delaware. This could be a major bust! They were only progged to get a few inches if you discount the very few model runs that gave them more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Just based on its first 6 hours evolution I think its too far east. question for you- take a look at the SUNY MM5 link http://cheget.msrc.sunysb.edu/html/alt_mm5.cgi the 24 hour qpf map starts at hr 36, does that mean the FIRSt 12 hours arent accounted for on that map? If so it appears as if NYC/LI gets .70 or so BEFORE hour 12 and about an 1" after....can you confirm that is what the MM5 is showing. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 gotcha....BTW- HOLY B-TCHES- check the link http://www.meteo.psu...op.html#picture Showes a nice deform band setting up in the hudsonvalley Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Two historic points regarding the upcoming storm: 1) It would be only the third KU-type storm to occur with a moderate/strong La Niña (1871-2009). The December 1909 and January 2000 storms are the only ones to date. 2) It would only be the second 9" or greater snowfall at Norfolk (likely figure there) to bring a significant snowfall (10" or more to NYC). The only storm to do so to date is the February 1899 blizzard. Don, what does it take to qualify as a KU event? I've been a bit confused about this-- if I remember right is it three of the five big east coast cities have to get 10" or more? (3 of the following: DCA, BWI, PHL, NYC, BOS). I call a "limited" KU, one that only drops 10" plus in one of those cities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 question for you- take a look at the SUNY MM5 link http://cheget.msrc.s...tml/alt_mm5.cgi the 24 hour qpf map starts at hr 36, does that mean the FIRSt 12 hours arent accounted for on that map? If so it appears as if NYC/LI gets .70 or so BEFORE hour 12 and about an 1" after....can you confirm that is what the MM5 is showing. Thanks. The 36 hour total precip is precip from 00Z Monday to 12Z Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Its clearly east. WSW have been dropped in Balt. Only flurrying in Delaware. This could be a major bust! i think Goose was saying the MODEL was too far east, not the storm itself Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 IMO, they should play. This is not an emergency situation like in Minnesota when the game had to be postponed and moved. Theyve played in worse weather in Buffalo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Upton discussion is considering raising the max totals for Long Island and S CT to over 20 inches. Amazing. It already looks great outside and "serene", I can only imagine what it will be like in 6-8 hours once the intense winds arrive plus much heavier snow rates. I already think this is going to better than ANYTHING that happened last winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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