blizzard00 Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 http://www.jetplan.c...gs=12:_9999.gif we should be getting into some real heavy bands around 4pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jefflaw77 Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Jeff, So what do you think this means from Lynbrook to Dix Hills? QPF wise? Maximum snows, ending times of accum snows? I wouldn't be the one to ask.. But my guess is - if the model is right- first off the storm only moves about 150 miles in 9 hours from 10pm tonite to 7am monday.. By 7 am monday it's about 125 miles southeast of Montauk... I would guess that by that time, Long Island is getting raped with some good deformation snows.. Verbatim, this run would i'd imagine crush ENJ,SENY,NYC,WESTERN/CENTRAL LI Jeff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XtremeWx Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Image/link? http://maps.google.com/maps/ms?ie=UTF8&hl=en&t=h&msa=0&msid=212446941656899356005.00049827d64a17799a92e&ll=40.563895,-74.454346&spn=3.980631,7.03125&z=7&source=embed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Gotta love ho at 27 degrees the snow still melts on NYC streets, until it comes down at crazy rates... SG, you called the early start times for us Do you think early start times means more snow? There was 0 virga with this thing, as soon as the white line crossed the coast, I saw my first flakes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 It probably stalls too What is the perfect location for NYC/Western and central Long Island for the storm to stall at? Before it gets past our latitude? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 I wouldn't be the one to ask.. But my guess is - if the model is right- first off the storm only moves about 150 miles in 9 hours from 10pm tonite to 7am monday.. By 7 am monday it's about 125 miles southeast of Montauk... I would guess that by that time, Long Island is getting raped with some good deformation snows.. Verbatim, this run would i'd imagine crush ENJ,SENY,NYC,WESTERN/CENTRAL LI Jeff Do you think the SW nassau Snow hole will be in effect for this one? Can Light snows last till noon tomorrow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 What is the perfect location for NYC/Western and central Long Island for the storm to stall at? Before it gets past our latitude? Somewhere between Cape May and Atlantic City and maybe about 50 miles to the east of the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrodd321 Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 http://maps.google.c...=7&source=embed Thanks man Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jasonli18t Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Somewhere between Cape May and Atlantic City and maybe about 50 miles to the east of the coast. make it 75. for me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesny Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 This system has NO virga whatsoever. It seems like the snow just started falling when the precip hit the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 make it 75. for me Ok deal! It'll probably be about 100 miles east of the coast anyway-- which is fine for pretty much all of Long Island lol. Were you amazed by the 0 virga? I mean, as soon as I saw the radar show white over the coast, I looked outside and I saw snowflakes! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Light Snow just started in newtown, pa Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harbourton Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Snowing at TTN \ a shade early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jasonli18t Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Ok deal! Were you amazed by the 0 virga? I mean, as soon as I saw the radar show white over the coast, I looked outside and I saw snowflakes! Absolutely, and the fact that even under these light echoes it is snowing hard enough to stick everywhere. Very good start. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
green tube Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Steve D just updated his snow map Has all of NYC, LI and NJ (except for NW NJ) in the 15-24 + inch range. steve tends to wear snow goggles. i don't question his knowledge, but sometimes he leads with his heart instead of his head. his site isnt loading for me http://www.nynjpaweather.com/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 steve tends to wear snow goggles. i don't question his knowledge, but sometimes he leads with his heart instead of his head. his site isnt loading for me http://www.nynjpaweather.com/ I think once his link was getting posted everywhere the site crashed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMolineuxLM1 Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 So this Suny MM5 whats its outputs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 yeah he went very bullish last Feb 5th and increased amounts right before the storm. I know he had an 8-12" swath across areas that barely got an inch or two steve tends to wear snow goggles. i don't question his knowledge, but sometimes he leads with his heart instead of his head. his site isnt loading for me http://www.nynjpaweather.com/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 All the forecasts I saw were for snow beginning this morning so I'm not sure why people are saying it started earlier than expected. Am I wrong? Snowing at TTN \ a shade early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Suicides commencing in the Mid-Atlantic thread...this is 12/30/00 redux Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Finally....flakes in West Chester, PA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Two historic points regarding the upcoming storm: 1) It would be only the third KU-type storm to occur with a moderate/strong La Niña (1871-2009). The December 1909 and January 2000 storms are the only ones to date. 2) It would only be the second 9" or greater snowfall at Norfolk (likely figure there) to bring a significant snowfall (10" or more to NYC). The only storm to do so to date is the February 1899 blizzard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harbourton Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 All the forecasts I saw were for snow beginning this morning so I'm not sure why people are saying it started earlier than expected. Am I wrong? Local TV forecasters were calling for snow begining around noon. Steadily increasing in intensity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Suicides commencing in the Mid-Atlantic thread...this is 12/30/00 redux It's not a surprise...this kind of explosive development is going to leave some weenies driving for the nearest bridge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gkrangers Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 PHL is next. Cantore in town is the kiss of death there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goldstar Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Radar returns looking like they are pushing more N than E now, good sign for Lehigh Valley south and north. Sooner it starts the longer the duration obviously, so if I have to drive down to Mid-County and haul that storm on the back of my Kia then I will! 50 miles north baby, you can do it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Upton discussion is considering raising the max totals for Long Island and S CT to over 20 inches. Amazing. It already looks great outside and "serene", I can only imagine what it will be like in 6-8 hours once the intense winds arrive plus much heavier snow rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Two historic points regarding the upcoming storm: 1) It would be only the third KU-type storm to occur with a moderate/strong La Niña (1871-2009). The December 1909 and January 2000 storms are the only ones to date. 2) It would only be the second 9" or greater snowfall at Norfolk (likely figure there) to bring a significant snowfall (10" or more to NYC). The only storm to do so to date is the February 1899 blizzard. I just realized that KORF is at 7 or so inches already...1/16SM 2 of the last 3 obs... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jefflaw77 Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Two historic points regarding the upcoming storm: 1) It would be only the third KU-type storm to occur with a moderate/strong La Niña (1871-2009). The December 1909 and January 2000 storms are the only ones to date. 2) It would only be the second 9" or greater snowfall at Norfolk (likely figure there) to bring a significant snowfall (10" or more to NYC). The only storm to do so to date is the February 1899 blizzard. That second stat is nothing to sneeze about... Insane! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nynjpaweather Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 If you don't understand mesoscale dynamics and the impacts of that on snowfall totals, then you'll never understand the snow map. So I'm not surprised with the snow google BS quotes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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