jlewis1111 Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 gfs east but dosnt really matter now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwinter23 Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 im set up- got single malt scotch (glenlivet 15 and glenmorngie nectar dior) and some car bombs..... Very nice, I'm thinking about going with the captain today. Enjoy the storm it's already a memorable one regardless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Here we go.....Steve D increasing snow amounts!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goldstar Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Here we go.....Steve D increasing snow amounts!!!! Do you have any further info about this or a link? Thank you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jefflaw77 Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Snowing very steadily here in Dix Hills.. 1/5 of an inch probably - lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 It sounds like he's thinking colder temps aloft meaning higher ratios so increased amount? Here we go.....Steve D increasing snow amounts!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vandy Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Interesting to see that snow has begun in NYC before PHL. I am a little discouraged looking at the radar trends here in PHL, but it looks like it is slowly creeping northward. I am not very experienced at nowcasting though. Time will tell how we do in Philly... I agree with this. I think PHL and NW burbs still see say 6-10", but the movement and alignment of the precip shield doesn't look good for 12+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 The GFS up to its usual precip cutting tricks in the near term of an event....it looked like .60-.75 the entire event, that might fall in the next 7 hours alone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwinter23 Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 I'd figure this morning it would be insane given that most stores were closed yesterday. Exactly Tony I'd imagine it was a true mad-rush this morning at the supermarkets Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gkrangers Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Some people storm the grocery store before big snowstorms, I prefer to storm the liquor store . Light snow here in Holmdel with tiny flakes already coating everything nicely. It is relieving to start right away with no virga I have a case of Winter Lager on standby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 i know they say the ruc is not that great, but by hr 3 on the ruc compared to the gfs, the gfs surface low pressure is way east of where the ruc has it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jefflaw77 Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 It sounds like he's thinking colder temps aloft meaning higher ratios so increased amount? Where did you see this - and/or what'd he up his amounts to? Map? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KEITH L.I Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 The GFS up to its usual precip cutting tricks in the near term of an event....it looked like .60-.75 the entire event, that might fall in the next 7 hours alone. go with the NAM now..much more accurate in this range and the short term models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 It's been snowing here since 9:30am and the roads are already snowcovered and the snow is blowing and drifting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gkrangers Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 best ratings are snow games..Why?..they used to play in blizzards..what's going on with football? The safety of the fans/employees attending should be paramount. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 The GFS has the low at 992 at 1pm when it was like that an hour ago. I wouldn't freak out about what a model shows inside 12 hours when we have radar, satellite, and current surface maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gkrangers Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Gotta love an event where every last flake sticks from the start! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 GFS sliced my QPF as the NAM increased it... ouch. Anyway, looks like snow is about to start based on KDIX so I'll see y'al in the obs threads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
green tube Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 The GFS up to its usual precip cutting tricks in the near term of an event.... is that really a trait of the gfs? i'm not doubting... just asking. it is annoying because the gfs has been the most bullish model since it started the trend back to the coast days ago. then on game day, it wimps out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Euripides Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Exactly Tony I'd imagine it was a true mad-rush this morning at the supermarkets Went at 6am when the supermarket opened. They were very quiet, but I am sure that changed by 8 and 9am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Gotta love an event where every last flake sticks from the start! My favorite! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Whiting up the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Here we go.....Steve D increasing snow amounts!!!! thats usually the KOD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 i know they say the ruc is not that great, but by hr 3 on the ruc compared to the gfs, the gfs surface low pressure is way east of where the ruc has it. Models now aren't the best tool to use now, the radar is much better for nowcasting purposes. BTW, awesome job with the Euro updates for this storm. Enjoy this one, you deserve it bud!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Euripides Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 is that really a trait of the gfs? i'm not doubting... just asking. it is annoying because the gfs has been the most bullish model since it started the trend back to the coast days ago. then on game day, it wimps out. Not sure but at this point it is nowcast. Sit back and watch the radar bloosem..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 The SUNY MM5 is rolling in now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jefflaw77 Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Whiting up the ground. Can you please cut and paste the link to this site.. thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jwilson Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Whiting up the ground. Cape May must be getting lambasted right now. Thunder? Also it looks like the precip shield bends to match the shape of New Jersey haha...it must hate PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bluescat1 Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 GFS sliced my QPF as the NAM increased it... ouch. Anyway, looks like snow is about to start based on KDIX so I'll see y'al in the obs threads. Ray I am going to be nice it's Christmas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 i know they say the ruc is not that great, but by hr 3 on the ruc compared to the gfs, the gfs surface low pressure is way east of where the ruc has it. Tom, Rob Guarino, a well respected Philly met, mentioned in his blog that pressure falls are west of the modeling. Just something to watch throughout the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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