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4/28 and 4/29 Severe Weather


nvck
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Figure it's probably time to start a thread for what looks to be a 2-day severe weather event across the region. CSU (per usual) is pretty aggressive with it's probabilities, but is outlining much of the same area as the SPC has. It's looking like all severe modes are possible on both Monday and Tuesday, and Tuesday has been uptrending over the past couple days, so I'd expect higher probs coming from the SPC.

Screenshot 2025-04-25 at 09-20-18 Models EPS — Pivotal Weather.png

Screenshot 2025-04-25 at 09-19-35 CSU-MLP Severe.png

Screenshot 2025-04-25 at 09-19-28 CSU-MLP Severe.png

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As of this past Monday the signal was strong enough for me to book PTO for this coming Monday-Wednesday so that I can chase Sunday-Monday and perhaps Tuesday.

Based on modeling over the last few days, currently will probably target somewhere along the central to western KS/NE border on Sunday and north-central to northeast Iowa for Monday, although tornado parameters look potentially dangerous into Wisconsin.

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