weatherwiz Posted Tuesday at 12:47 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 12:47 PM We are just over a week away from the month of May. The snow shovels and snow blowers are put away, trees are budding and blossoming, flowers are growing, and ACs are being installed. We are entering a season of change and pretty soon we'll all be celebrating the three H's. May also begins the increasing risk for thunderstorms as we introduce greater theta-e air into the region with cold fronts making their way through at times. Looking ahead to the first week of May, it looks like April closes on an unseasonably warm note with strong ridging at 500mb coupled with a cold front approaching at the surface helping to aid in unseasonably warm llvl air with a strong southwesterly flow. While there are subtle hints at some weak troughing across the Northeast to begin the first week of May, independent on any small-scale phenomena, we should begin the month above-average with respect to climo with potential for some over the top warmth given the above-average height anomalies extending well into central Canada. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted Tuesday at 01:22 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 01:22 PM Hopefully no cutoffs for weeks 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted Tuesday at 02:20 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 02:20 PM Mayorch looks furnaced 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted Wednesday at 07:33 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 07:33 AM Ensembles show cutoff potential for early May, leaning towards 2nd week. Wouldn't be surprised to see a repeat of April, which was a mixed bag that's ending much warmer. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Wednesday at 11:32 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 11:32 AM Yeah definitely some cutoff potential after May 2-3 or so. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted Wednesday at 12:46 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 12:46 PM funny ... posted that exact same sentiment re the first little while of May over in that April thread 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted Wednesday at 12:51 PM Author Share Posted Wednesday at 12:51 PM 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah definitely some cutoff potential after May 2-3 or so. meh 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted Wednesday at 07:24 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 07:24 PM What a furnace in early Mayorch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted Wednesday at 10:21 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 10:21 PM 2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: What a furnace in early Mayorch first few days look really warm then we cool to cold for this time of year.. 1 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted Thursday at 10:37 PM Share Posted Thursday at 10:37 PM On 4/23/2025 at 10:21 PM, ineedsnow said: first few days look really warm then we cool to cold for this time of year.. First half of May looks back and forth wrt temps. Some AN days and some BN days. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted 21 hours ago Share Posted 21 hours ago Solid model agreement over the extended on this 12z run ... Hey, ... maybe we can get one of those entertaining fights between Kevin and Kdxken going ! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted 20 hours ago Share Posted 20 hours ago 1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said: Solid model agreement over the extended on this 12z run ... Hey, ... maybe we can get one of those entertaining fights between Kevin and Kdxken going ! ACATT will ride the GFS everyday all day , even when it disagrees with its own ens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted 18 hours ago Share Posted 18 hours ago 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: ACATT will ride the GFS everyday all day , even when it disagrees with its own ens Will you ride the NBM bus again for this? 1 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago gfs ruins May 4th-10th 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted 2 hours ago Author Share Posted 2 hours ago Yeah GFS has been quite consistent with that. I guess that period is either going to really suck or be quite warm given how close the warmth is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Euro has sfc door potential too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago On 4/23/2025 at 7:24 PM, Damage In Tolland said: What a furnace in early Mayorch ya looks awesome now.. heat and dews.. oh wait 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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