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Global Average Temperature 2025


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...Continuation from 'Global Average Temperature 2024'  ( probably should have started this a couple of months ago - )

January 2025   ~ +1.8C above the pre 1850 level,  according to Copernicus

February 2025  ~ +1.8C above the pre 1850 level, according to Copernicus

March 2025 continued the remarkable trend, being the 2nd warmest March in the history of record,   https://phys.org/news/2025-04-global-temperatures-historic-highs-eu.html    

 

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CERES data updated through February. Noisy from month to month. Last month's anomaly came in lower after an upward spike in January. The 12-month average is starting to turn up so the net radiation bottom for this enso cycle has probably been passed. If so net radiation fell to a similar level following the 2015/16 and 2023/24 ninos. The 3-year average remains stubbornly high, indicating that the next big step won't be cooler.

ceres.png

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On 4/8/2025 at 8:43 AM, Typhoon Tip said:

...Continuation from 'Global Average Temperature 2024'  ( probably should have started this a couple of months ago - )

January 2025   ~ +1.8C above the pre 1850 level,  according to Copernicus

February 2025  ~ +1.8C above the pre 1850 level, according to Copernicus

March 2025 continued the remarkable trend, being the 2nd warmest March in the history of record,   https://phys.org/news/2025-04-global-temperatures-historic-highs-eu.html    

 

Thank you for the update. One correction, however, just to be clear... Copernicus uses an 1850-1900 baseline. I know they refer to it as "pre-industrial" which may imply before 1850, but it is, in fact, based on the second half of the 19th century averages [even if a fair amount of industrialization had occurred by that time]. 

Not trying to be critical, just wanted to clarify. A lot of times, the choice of baseline can make a big difference. Of course, in that era, the changes were relatively smaller. Still, a baseline of 1800-1850 could be 0.1 or 0.2C cooler. Just not enough data from that era to say for sure.

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