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Thursday/Friday Nor'easter blast?


dailylurker
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Definitely a tight corridor of heavy rainfall across the area. Currently at 0.91" at mi casa, 0.66" at the office, and totals <0.1" west of Rockville. The western edge should expand a little bit as we move into the evening and overnight, but I doubt it gets much further west than Parrs Ridge zone in NoVA up through MoCo/HoCO/Carroll. Tough luck for those areas to the west as they really could use some precip as well. Sigh. I forecasted yesterday and ended up tightening the QPF for today, but this is even a little tighter than my adjustment. Oy vey. Sorry for those that miss out. Us low landers continue to cash. 

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54 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said:

Definitely a tight corridor of heavy rainfall across the area. Currently at 0.91" at mi casa, 0.66" at the office, and totals <0.1" west of Rockville. The western edge should expand a little bit as we move into the evening and overnight, but I doubt it gets much further west than Parrs Ridge zone in NoVA up through MoCo/HoCO/Carroll. Tough luck for those areas to the west as they really could use some precip as well. Sigh. I forecasted yesterday and ended up tightening the QPF for today, but this is even a little tighter than my adjustment. Oy vey. Sorry for those that miss out. Us low landers continue to cash. 

Is there any atmospheric cause you can possibly think of for what's been happening I-95 n & w this year? To my amateur eyes it's hard to believe the same thing repeating itself many times in the exact same spot is just random. Did something setup back in December and just didn't budge?

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9 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said:

Is there any atmospheric cause you can possibly think of for what's been happening I-95 n & w this year? To my amateur eyes it's hard to believe the same thing repeating itself many times in the exact same spot is just random. Did something setup back in December and just didn't budge?

Honestly, it's just incredibly bad luck. Northern stream dominance likely plays some part because in the grand scheme of synoptics, widespread moisture advection is typically best when influenced with some southern stream jet dynamics. It's just incredibly bad luck over the past several years. Not really much else to note off the top of my head. 

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2 hours ago, IronTy said:

On my street in Bloomingdale for some crazy reason the street trees are sycamore.  I can't think of a worse city street tree than sycamore other than tulip trees...which they're actually planting as new trees as well!  Like WTF, tulip trees are one of the largest trees east of the Continental dive...second maybe only to...sycamore.  Who is in charge of these decisions!?  

 

tulip poplars as street trees is nuts lol.

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1 minute ago, dailylurker said:

I can't remember the last time it rained this steady. It's been raining the same intensity ever since it started. Raindrop production must be great because the drops have been big ever since it started. 

.90 with steady moderate rain. I feel for the nw crew. 

gonna be very green in these parts next week.

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3 minutes ago, CAPE said:

That persistent enhanced area of rainfall along and west of the bay esp east and south of DC is impressive. Some guidance had that depicted a couple days ago.

I hope that area moves over the lowlands this evening and overnight. I like the NAM 3k for a lowland special. It likes the flatlands too. 2-3" by tomorrow. 

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1 hour ago, MillvilleWx said:

Honestly, it's just incredibly bad luck. Northern stream dominance likely plays some part because in the grand scheme of synoptics, widespread moisture advection is typically best when influenced with some southern stream jet dynamics. It's just incredibly bad luck over the past several years. Not really much else to note off the top of my head. 

It’s seems like what used to not be suppressive andor be a drying agent has now become such 

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1 hour ago, dailylurker said:

I hope that area moves over the lowlands this evening and overnight. I like the NAM 3k for a lowland special. It likes the flatlands too. 2-3" by tomorrow. 

Looking at radar, it seems to be shifting in this direction. I don't need 2"+ though. Last 2 events combined for 2.5+.

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