dailylurker Posted Friday at 12:36 AM Author Share Posted Friday at 12:36 AM It's kinda interesting tracking a rainstorm like a snowstorm. It turns out the models waffle exactly the same lol 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted Friday at 12:56 AM Share Posted Friday at 12:56 AM 54 minutes ago, Chris78 said: If this was winter people would be freaking out lol. The difference between 2 to 4 and 12 to 18. This is true lol, especially for this type of setup. It actually looks similar to some of the other storms where we're just having a difficult time getting a true nor'easter. Might have to wait until El Nino settles in...maybe next Fall. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted Friday at 01:16 AM Share Posted Friday at 01:16 AM 39 minutes ago, dailylurker said: It's kinda interesting tracking a rainstorm like a snowstorm. It turns out the models waffle exactly the same lol Yep. I was hoping for a coating to an inch this evening to give a little foundation for the main show tomorrow, but just a few stray flurries. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted Friday at 02:34 AM Share Posted Friday at 02:34 AM Another swing and miss for the NW zones....0Z 3K NAM now pulling a Lucy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted Friday at 02:53 AM Share Posted Friday at 02:53 AM 2 hours ago, dailylurker said: It's kinda interesting tracking a rainstorm like a snowstorm. It turns out the models waffle exactly the same lol A good point here. Folks don't care if we get an inch vs. two inches of rain. Unless it's flooding, there's no big deal to them. Contrast that with winter when a difference of 0.25" liquid means no work/school vs. a nothingburger. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted Friday at 07:30 AM Share Posted Friday at 07:30 AM WB 6Z HRRR 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted Friday at 09:58 AM Share Posted Friday at 09:58 AM Hugging the gfs. I already hate this storm. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted Friday at 10:02 AM Author Share Posted Friday at 10:02 AM I've always loved watching a low developing on radar. The blossoming has begun. It does look DC and east are favored to my weenie eye. I perfer Annopoils over Westminster. Edit: Now that the precipitation field matured a little it looks like everyone is going to get hit. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted Friday at 11:19 AM Share Posted Friday at 11:19 AM Look at that, another non-event for us western folks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted Friday at 11:29 AM Share Posted Friday at 11:29 AM I see the models still suck good to know lol. Cant even get a rainstorm to be right 1 day out now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted Friday at 11:42 AM Author Share Posted Friday at 11:42 AM 10 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: I see the models still suck good to know lol. Cant even get a rainstorm to be right 1 day out now HRRR looks great for most of MD. It clobbered PG and AA County. Models have had a pretty good idea all week. I understand the frustration in your comment. I hope your backyard floods too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted Friday at 11:47 AM Share Posted Friday at 11:47 AM 4 minutes ago, dailylurker said: HRRR looks great for most of MD. It clobbered PG and AA County. Models have had a pretty good idea all week. I understand the frustration in your comment. I hope your backyard floods too. Hrrr gives NW areas like .25 or less so probably not. Models yesterday and prior had me getting 1.5-2” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted Friday at 12:08 PM Share Posted Friday at 12:08 PM 23 minutes ago, dailylurker said: HRRR looks great for most of MD. It clobbered PG and AA County. Models have had a pretty good idea all week. I understand the frustration in your comment. I hope your backyard floods too. I mostly agree, but I would tighten the likely score zone, based on convergence of overnight guidance, to between the Bay and Rt 15. Radar evolution so far this morning suggests that this is on track. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted Friday at 12:08 PM Share Posted Friday at 12:08 PM 44 minutes ago, EastCoast NPZ said: Look at that, another non-event for us western folks. The problem is that this is a small low and the moisture availability is modest at best. PWATs don’t even get close to 1”. Part of the reason why this looked like a region-wide soaker from several days back was that the two parts (wave then low) nicely hit different areas. The wave part ended up being a dud for most of us except for up by Hagerstown. I got a trace. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted Friday at 12:50 PM Share Posted Friday at 12:50 PM Latest HRRR is more encouraging east of US 15. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted Friday at 12:56 PM Share Posted Friday at 12:56 PM Rain has started in Greenbelt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted Friday at 01:00 PM Author Share Posted Friday at 01:00 PM Pouring in the lowlands for the past half hour. Lots more to come according to radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted Friday at 01:01 PM Share Posted Friday at 01:01 PM Up in DC, just started light rain about 30mins ago. Looking at the home cam back in Calvert it's been raining raining moderately there all morning. Definitely good rain for the plants. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted Friday at 01:05 PM Share Posted Friday at 01:05 PM Looks like decent slug of rain coming out of King William, VA towards southern Maryland. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted Friday at 01:10 PM Share Posted Friday at 01:10 PM This can’t fail, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted Friday at 01:10 PM Share Posted Friday at 01:10 PM Just now, nw baltimore wx said: This can’t fail, right? Never underestimate the Baltimore wall this year, lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted Friday at 01:27 PM Share Posted Friday at 01:27 PM 16 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said: This can’t fail, right? In the past year this would usually hit an anti rain force field over Richmond. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardNole Posted Friday at 01:33 PM Share Posted Friday at 01:33 PM 28 minutes ago, IronTy said: Looking at the home cam back in Calvert it's been raining raining moderately there all morning. Definitely good rain for the plants. My parents in Calvert have 11 inches precip on the year compared to 4.9 in Germantown. Their plants are happy while I'm having to water even established shrubs. Going to be a long, drought-stricken summer with expensive water bills with all the sprinkling 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted Friday at 01:34 PM Share Posted Friday at 01:34 PM Moderate rain here inside the beltway since just before 9am. Good ol' fashioned soaker Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted Friday at 01:47 PM Share Posted Friday at 01:47 PM 56 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Latest HRRR is more encouraging east of US 15. 12z HRRR looks great. Even throws 0.5” back to Winchester. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted Friday at 02:13 PM Author Share Posted Friday at 02:13 PM We're starting to see the creeks running and standing water. I think the south river watershed area is going to get some water backing up. I'm headed into Bacon Ridge this afternoon to document the conditions. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted Friday at 02:14 PM Share Posted Friday at 02:14 PM WB 12Z 3K NAM. If you add the .20 I received yesterday, not bad.... 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GATECH Posted Friday at 02:28 PM Share Posted Friday at 02:28 PM .26 in the bucket so far....glad I overseeded the lawn yesterday! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted Friday at 03:06 PM Share Posted Friday at 03:06 PM 1 hour ago, BlizzardNole said: My parents in Calvert have 11 inches precip on the year compared to 4.9 in Germantown. Their plants are happy while I'm having to water even established shrubs. Going to be a long, drought-stricken summer with expensive water bills with all the sprinkling SoMD and Eastern shore were epicenter of the drought last year but that definitely seems to have shifted. I'm not complaining, my caterpillars don't do well in drought due to low leaf water content. Earlier I thought you might get a good rain band into Germantown but it seems to be drying up as it reaches you. Hopefully you get something out of this! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted Friday at 03:10 PM Share Posted Friday at 03:10 PM I'm in Minneapolis flying home shortly into Dulles. I was worried about the rain it looks like a race now. Brutal cutoff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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