dailylurker Posted Monday at 10:13 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:13 PM It's been a long time since we've seen a good coastal storm. The euro looks like a potential drought buster. As usual.. the heaviest as of now looks to be along the bay and Eastern Shore. I'm sure this thread will do great lol. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted Monday at 10:28 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:28 PM Man I hope so. Been a long time... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted Monday at 10:29 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:29 PM The 4"+ on the Euro would be kind of fun. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted Tuesday at 12:36 AM Share Posted Tuesday at 12:36 AM Initial O/U for MBY: 0.6” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted Tuesday at 01:09 AM Share Posted Tuesday at 01:09 AM The GFS is kind of all over the place, but the other systems and their ensembles seem to be converging on the idea of at least a modest if not a more significant soaker. Looks like a good test of the theory that good rains progged in dry patterns can often fail. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted Tuesday at 01:33 AM Share Posted Tuesday at 01:33 AM 3 hours ago, dailylurker said: It's been a long time since we've seen a good coastal storm. The euro looks like a potential drought buster. As usual.. the heaviest as of now looks to be along the bay and Eastern Shore. I'm sure this thread will do great lol. Glad I put the larvicide down yesterday when my wetland area was largely dry. After today's rain, many places now with a couple inches of water lying. If that comes to fruition, it will become pretty expansive. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted Tuesday at 05:14 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 05:14 PM WB 12Z globals 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted Tuesday at 05:50 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 05:50 PM Been awhile since we had a 24hour type soaking like what’s being advertised. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardNole Posted Tuesday at 06:07 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 06:07 PM I am going with 0.5 in Germantown Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted Tuesday at 06:34 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 06:34 PM 1 hour ago, WxUSAF said: Been awhile since we had a 24hour type soaking like what’s being advertised. Have not been paying close attention - onset later on Thursday and lasting through Saturday morning what is being generally depicted? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted Tuesday at 07:46 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 07:46 PM Really hope the Euro D3 wet bias isn't kicking in here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted Tuesday at 08:47 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 08:47 PM WB 18Z 12K NAM at range....and still raining. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted Tuesday at 09:41 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 09:41 PM The 18z NAM paints high elevation snows for western areas Friday night. With a wrapped up system this is likely. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted Wednesday at 01:35 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 01:35 AM Lol. It figures I'm going to be in Myrtle Beach and miss (maybe) the best storm in years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted Wednesday at 01:40 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 01:40 AM 4 minutes ago, EastCoast NPZ said: Lol. It figures I'm going to be in Myrtle Beach and miss (maybe) the best storm in years. Don't worry . It will end up being .00 in the desert 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted Wednesday at 01:44 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 01:44 AM 8 minutes ago, EastCoast NPZ said: Lol. It figures I'm going to be in Myrtle Beach and miss (maybe) the best storm in years. It's kind of a weak low, but it is taking a premium track. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted Wednesday at 02:44 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 02:44 AM 18z GFS had a legit 1" - 2.5" of rain from I-81 to I-95. That would be perfect. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted Wednesday at 03:30 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 03:30 AM Concerns: 1) The axis of heaviest rainfall will be relatively narrow; it's not some huge coastal low-induced rain shield 2) We've been in a dry pattern 3) Precipitable water amounts will be decent but not overly impressive Pros: 1) Ensemble agreement is quite healthy 2) There will be a zone of healthy frontogenesis with good flow off of the Atlantic that has potential to target our nicely quite effectively Hoping that the good model agreement that favors us holds overnight. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted Wednesday at 09:45 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 09:45 AM Euro and gfs hold overnight. Euro favors I81 corridor, GFS the metro areas. GGEM lost it and went to the icon solution where the new low scoots out to sea…still about 0.5-1.25” though. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted Wednesday at 09:55 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 09:55 AM I am trying to keep expectations in check, but expecting the dry slot to be over the metros seems about right. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted Wednesday at 01:19 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 01:19 PM 06z GFS runs a solid 1" - 2.5" for everyone east of I-81. Maybe a few 3" spots NW of Baltimore? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted Wednesday at 02:43 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 02:43 PM WB 12Z model runs....12k NAM off to a great start. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted Wednesday at 02:51 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 02:51 PM WB 9Z SREF NBM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted Wednesday at 02:54 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 02:54 PM Maybe we finally will have a storm strengthen inside 48 hours rather than fizzle out. (Now that I'm retired I have plenty of time to watch...) 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted Wednesday at 03:17 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 03:17 PM WB 12Z ICON evolution is much further east and north.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted Wednesday at 03:54 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 03:54 PM WB 12Z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted Wednesday at 04:14 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:14 PM 1 hour ago, Weather Will said: Maybe we finally will have a storm strengthen inside 48 hours rather than fizzle out. (Now that I'm retired I have plenty of time to watch...) Congratulations. I'm looking forward to a lot more maps next winter. 4 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted Wednesday at 04:18 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:18 PM GFS is about 30 miles too far northwest. Once it slips southeast a hair and that < .50" contour is over Baltimore, it'll be dead on accurate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted Wednesday at 05:26 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 05:26 PM 1 hour ago, Weather Will said: WB 12Z GFS Yea that tracks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted Wednesday at 06:23 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 06:23 PM WB 12Z EURO 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now