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April Discobs 2025


George BM
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1 hour ago, konksw said:

 I’m honestly not sure what late April is supposed to feel like. While trending warmer, spring has always been super swingy so the averages we arrive at are from half the days feeling like early march and the other half like Memorial Day weekend. 

True, looking back at my records I have 5 50 degree or greater nights and 5 30 degree or lower nights for this date!

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1 hour ago, WxUSAF said:

1”? Looks more like about 0.2” averages across the LWX zone…

Yeah. Looks like it went poof faster than a snowstorm 3 days out. I'm sure it will just end up cloudy and windy. Looks dry after that for the rest of April. I wonder when the water restrictions will start. 

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41 minutes ago, dailylurker said:

Yeah. Looks like it went poof faster than a snowstorm 3 days out. I'm sure it will just end up cloudy and windy. Looks dry after that for the rest of April. I wonder when the water restrictions will start. 

Every time there's a big rain in the forecast it gets walked back to practically nothing in the days leading up to it, every time....

What went wrong with our advertised wet pattern? Is it something with the ENSO state? Will it ever properly rain again?

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4 hours ago, JenkinsJinkies said:

What went wrong with our advertised wet pattern? Is it something with the ENSO state? Will it ever properly rain again?

We are in more of a La Nina pattern right now. This started in May 2024. A good indicator is the ENSO subsurface, when there is below average water at -200m (the thermocline), below Nino 3/3.4, that translates to more of a La Nina pattern. Right now the indicator is weakish La Nina, where it's been for 14 months.  The long term Hadley Cell state in the Pacific Ocean is also La Ninaish. 

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14 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

WB 18Z EURO most people would also take for the weekend.

IMG_5666.png

Central/N central MD is in a severe drought. It would take a inch+ to move the needle. A half inch or less is pretty meh unless its a prelude to a wetter period.

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1 minute ago, nj2va said:

10/10 day and 11/10 right now. 

Got a solid first burn of the year walking around on a landfill and some cattle pasture in Albemarle today.

Windows open now. Sucks that we're so dry but I don't hate this SoCal weather

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1 hour ago, CAPE said:

Central/N central MD is in a severe drought. It would take a inch+ to move the needle. A half inch or less is pretty meh unless its a prelude to a wetter period.

My lawn is the greenest it has been in over a year. .5 a week all summer I will take in a heartbeat.  

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27 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said:

What the 18z giveth, the 0z taketh away.

        Yeah, widespread heavy convection Friday night (as depicted on that one NAM Nest run) just doesn't seem likely, although there could be a few good downpours for some lucky areas.      After that, I'm glad to see some ensemble agreement for a strong trough passage the following weekend, but I don't like seeing the prolonged signal for northwest flow after that.

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2 hours ago, Weather Will said:

My lawn is the greenest it has been in over a year. .5 a week all summer I will take in a heartbeat.  

Grass is always green in Spring. Even in a drought.

Okay, but what makes you think that is a possibility?

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