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April Discobs 2025


George BM
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2 hours ago, MN Transplant said:

The HRRR is extremely aggressive with winds in any convection that develops this afternoon.

Interesting wording by Mount Holly 

Looking at the radar the strong upper level energy is now entering Western PA. and Western VA. moving East quickly.   

 

 

This atmospheric setup will allow for a few things to
occur... 1) A well-mixed boundary layer will allow wind gusts
across the region to reach into the 30-45 mph range... 2) Any
stronger showers that develop will be capable of producing
stronger wind gusts locally given the transporting of stronger
winds aloft down to the surface along with some evaporational
cooling taking place within the downdraft... 3) Any strong
showers or convective cells could be capable of producing some
small hail/graupel given some instability combined with
favorable low and mid level lapse rates along with lower
freezing levels. SPC has introduced a marginal risk across
portions of eastern Pennsylvania and northern New Jersey for
severe weather this afternoon due to the potential for an
isolated thunderstorm producing damaging winds. High
temperatures on Tuesday will be in the upper 50s to mid 60s.

 

 

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