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Spartman
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April kicks off on a chilly note on April Fool's Day, but we're going to a warm, but very wet stretch the day after that will last through the first weekend of the month. A stretch so wet that many places could risk making it to the top 10 wettest Aprils ever during the first days of the month right before we start dealing with the effects of the March SSW the week after. Models have actually had such a wet start to the month zeroed in for the past several days.

GFS 18z:
qpf_acc-imp.us_ov.png

Euro 12z:
qpf_acc-imp.us_ov.png

https://x.com/webberweather/status/1904243702932918584
vT0HwIX.png

610temp.new.gif

814temp.new.gif

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7 minutes ago, Spartman said:

K7S0aI.jpg

April has certainly turned into flood season around the Ohio Valley. This is well illustrated from the graphic below of Cincinnati Area precipitation for the month of April, which shows a strong secular (or progressive) wetting trend since the late 19th century. The linear regression implies an increase in precipitation equal to 1.66 inches [4.41 inches - 2.75 inches] since 1872.

12bpLL4.png

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Winter. The season that just keeps on giving. 11th headline for snow/ice with a fair risk of power outages. No thanks!

GRR:

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 352 PM EDT Tue Apr 1 2025

- Winter Weather Tonight

A Winter Weather Advisory has been issued for areas north of I-96
tonight through noon on Wednesday for a wintry mix of snow
changing to sleet and freezing rain. Ice accumulations may
approach a quarter inch across parts of Osceola, Clare and
Isabella Counties by late Wednesday morning before temperatures
get above freezing.

Warm advection/isentropic ascent increases this evening with snow
expected to break out after midnight generally north of I-96.
Thermal profiles show that snow will mix with sleet and freezing
rain by daybreak with generally 1 to 3 inches of snow across the
advisory area. Elevated instability during the morning could lead
to some heavier precip rates, with ice pellets and heavy freezing
rain causing travel impacts, primarily across the higher
elevations of Osceola and Clare Counties. We will have to watch
precip trends during the morning for the potential for heavy
freezing rain causing power outages.

Many of my work associates have been on generators since Saturday and some don't expect power restored for weeks. Gaylord's pretty much a disaster zone. Ice sucks.

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27 minutes ago, mnchaserguy said:

Grass has quickly gotten covered in snow. Roads should remain mostly ok. Big band moving in to my backyard soon.

Edit. After looking at DOT cameras in the south metro it looks like the roads are getting bad quick under that heavy band moving my way.

Can confirm roads are snow covered here. This band means business. We are going to end up with ~2” 

 

Edit: Monster flakes. Biggest of the season easily. 

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The crush is coming, just 1 hr from heavy snow and insanely WUN is showing at 12pm of 7cm/2.75" in 1 hour!! I've never seen that rate forecast here. Radar showing in Sarnia/Lake St Claire area the heaviest snow band I've seen in a few years.

Its going to be 1 hr of freezing rain, then heavy rain soon after with a tstorm by 11pm. 7-12cm of snow, then 16mm of rain same day, then sunny and 13C tomorrow. Dynamic is an understatement.

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