Brick Tamland Posted Sunday at 11:48 PM Share Posted Sunday at 11:48 PM Large enhanced threat from VA down to AL for tomorrow. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.html 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayman Posted Monday at 03:29 AM Share Posted Monday at 03:29 AM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayman Posted Monday at 03:29 AM Share Posted Monday at 03:29 AM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted Monday at 11:59 AM Share Posted Monday at 11:59 AM They have cut the tor risk to 5% this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted Monday at 01:38 PM Author Share Posted Monday at 01:38 PM Slight change on the enhanced area. Now from central NC down to the LA coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted Monday at 01:39 PM Author Share Posted Monday at 01:39 PM It's cloudy here. Doubt we'll see much in the way of severe storms if we don't get any sun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sarcean Posted Monday at 02:53 PM Share Posted Monday at 02:53 PM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted Monday at 03:07 PM Author Share Posted Monday at 03:07 PM More of an instability threat here than a sheer threat compared to the other severe storms we have had this year. Going to depend on if we get any clearing today to add the juice needed for severe storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted Monday at 03:26 PM Share Posted Monday at 03:26 PM 19 minutes ago, Brick Tamland said: More of an instability threat here than a sheer threat compared to the other severe storms we have had this year. Going to depend on if we get any clearing today to add the juice needed for severe storms. Sun popping out in garner Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted Monday at 03:29 PM Share Posted Monday at 03:29 PM Compared to previous threats this year it actually feels humid out ahead of storm development 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted Monday at 03:34 PM Author Share Posted Monday at 03:34 PM 7 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: Sun popping out in garner Same here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted Monday at 04:01 PM Share Posted Monday at 04:01 PM We definitely have increasing dewpoints and more sun popping out. Mesoanalysis shows building SB CAPE. 0-6km is around 30 knots for now over Raleigh. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeNormanStormin Posted Monday at 04:08 PM Share Posted Monday at 04:08 PM Sun off and on here this morning on Lake Norman. The air has that 'feel' to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted Monday at 04:11 PM Share Posted Monday at 04:11 PM The cells east of the line are the ones to watch for any real discrete action and to see if they go supercellular or not. THere are a few popping up near GSP and west of Augusta, GA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted Monday at 04:27 PM Share Posted Monday at 04:27 PM It’s downright summery right now. 78 on car thermometer. Gotta think DPs are well into mid 60’s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted Monday at 04:38 PM Share Posted Monday at 04:38 PM SPC cut back the tor risk now to just 2%. Mainly going to be a linear mode so just a shelf cloud opportunity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted Monday at 04:38 PM Author Share Posted Monday at 04:38 PM 11 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: It’s downright summery right now. 78 on car thermometer. Gotta think DPs are well into mid 60’s DP of 66 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted Monday at 04:59 PM Share Posted Monday at 04:59 PM I’m just rooting for enough rain to clean off the pollen 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted Monday at 05:06 PM Author Share Posted Monday at 05:06 PM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted Monday at 05:10 PM Author Share Posted Monday at 05:10 PM Storms with rotation in Henry County, GA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted Monday at 05:21 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:21 PM It’s now in the low 80s here with PC skies. Any potential severe thunderstorms here would be in the early evening most likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted Monday at 05:59 PM Author Share Posted Monday at 05:59 PM 79 here with the sun coming in and out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted Monday at 06:00 PM Author Share Posted Monday at 06:00 PM Mesoscale Discussion 0327 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1254 PM CDT Mon Mar 31 2025 Areas affected...Southern Georgia into North Florida Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 88... Valid 311754Z - 312000Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 88 continues. SUMMARY...Damaging wind potential will likely continue into more of southern Georgia and North Florida. An additional severe thunderstorm watch for parts of these areas is probable this afternoon. DISCUSSION...With surface temperatures ahead of the ongoing convective line reaching the low 80s F, MLCAPE has risen to around 2000 J/kg. As the line progresses east, the expectation is for continued damaging gust potential into southeast Georgia and North Florida. There will be some waning influence of the upper-level trough and shear will remain greater to the north/west. This makes the intensity of the line somewhat uncertain with eastward extent. A severe thunderstorm watch will most likely be considered for portions of southeast Georgia and North Florida. Regarding a QLCS tornado threat, KEOX data suggest that there were two brief TDS in far southeastern Alabama. Regional VAD data continue to show limited low-level hodograph curvature. Trends in the convective line and the environment continue to suggest the possibility of the QLCS tornado, though any circulation should be brief. ..Wendt.. 03/31/2025 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted Monday at 07:28 PM Author Share Posted Monday at 07:28 PM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted Monday at 07:28 PM Author Share Posted Monday at 07:28 PM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueSkyGA Posted Monday at 07:34 PM Share Posted Monday at 07:34 PM 5 minutes ago, Brick Tamland said: This line just went through my area. Winds were pretty bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted Monday at 08:10 PM Author Share Posted Monday at 08:10 PM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted Monday at 08:21 PM Share Posted Monday at 08:21 PM Soon I will be selecting my target which will probably be the cell near Albemarle now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted Monday at 09:46 PM Share Posted Monday at 09:46 PM Incoming here in Savannah area:.A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT BEAUFORT...LIBERTY…EFFINGHAM...JASPER...MCINTOSH...BRYAN...CHATHAM...TATTNALL...BULLOCH AND LONG COUNTIES UNTIL 6 PM EDT... AT 535 PM EDT, DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING FROM OVER STILLWELL TO 11 MILES SOUTHWEST OF DONALD, MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 35 MPH. HAZARD...WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH AND PENNY SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. IMPACT...GUSTY WINDS COULD KNOCK DOWN TREE LIMBS AND BLOW AROUND UNSECURED OBJECTS. MINOR DAMAGE TO OUTDOOR OBJECTS IS POSSIBLE. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... HILTON HEAD ISLAND, HINESVILLE, POOLER, BLUFFTON, RICHMOND HILL, TYBEE ISLAND, SPRINGFIELD, PEMBROKE, DARIEN AND LUDOWICI. THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING HIGHWAYS... I-16 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 140 AND 168. I-95 IN GEORGIA NEAR MILE MARKER 50...AND BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 47 AND 49...AND BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 51 AND 112. I-95 IN SOUTH CAROLINA BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 2 AND 14. I-516 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 3 AND 9. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted Monday at 10:41 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:41 PM Another extraordinarily underwhelming day of severe weather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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