nycwinter Posted April 3 Share Posted April 3 kinda humid today do not like the way it feels.. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark Star Posted April 3 Share Posted April 3 4 hours ago, SACRUS said: NYC Easter Snow April, 3 1915 : 10 inches of snow - largest of the season Do you mean Easter proper? I do remember having at least a foot of snow on one or two Easters (Union County NJ). I even have a picture of at least one of them with Easter baskets in the snow. (Of course some Easter's do occur earlier). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark Star Posted April 3 Share Posted April 3 4 hours ago, LibertyBell said: It's raining so hard here it could be a damn monsoon!! Whomever said it wasn't going to rain were very obviously wrong. I trust the forecasts put out by our local news stations much more than any individual model, because the news station forecasts tend to be right. Rain for the next 4 days, not all the time, but for a good percentage of the time. Experiencing a deluge right now! I just heard thunder too! These short term precipitation models are sometimes as unreliable as the long term models... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted April 3 Share Posted April 3 29 minutes ago, nycwinter said: kinda humid today do not like the way it feels.. wait til June Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted April 3 Share Posted April 3 At Jones Beady currently, dense fog and a brutal onshore wind. The ocean is a beautiful turquoise, as it often is the time of year with the water still so cold. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted April 3 Share Posted April 3 1 hour ago, FPizz said: Or maybe there wasn't that many years on record yet so "normals" weren't quite figured out? Many places didn't even have stations yet. The Philadelphia "normal" was based on the mean of 44 years. We had plenty of data then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted April 3 Share Posted April 3 Mid to upper 70s in parts of NJ where the sun is out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Feen Posted April 3 Share Posted April 3 does anyone have the euro AI snow map? 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted April 3 Share Posted April 3 72 (from 73) with sun poking through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted April 3 Share Posted April 3 6 hours ago, LibertyBell said: It's raining so hard here it could be a damn monsoon!! Whomever said it wasn't going to rain were very obviously wrong. I trust the forecasts put out by our local news stations much more than any individual model, because the news station forecasts tend to be right. Rain for the next 4 days, not all the time, but for a good percentage of the time. Experiencing a deluge right now! I just heard thunder too! Hopefully, January turns out to be the driest month of 2025 as we continue to see increased rain chances going forward in April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steve392 Posted April 3 Share Posted April 3 When the hell did it get warm out today? Just saw its 70 degrees in Mahwah felt like it was just 48 out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted April 3 Share Posted April 3 41 minutes ago, bluewave said: Hopefully, January turns out to be the driest month of 2025 as we continue to see increased rain chances going forward in April. looks like lots of flooding. I'd rather have April 2002 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted April 3 Share Posted April 3 3 hours ago, bluewave said: Our dry months these days have mostly been the result of record 500mb ridges getting stuck in place like we saw in SEP, OCT, and JAN. But as soon as the blocks fade the rains return. In the old days the drier patterns were more a result of a cooler atmosphere holding less moisture. Now the atmospheric moisture is at record levels with serious flooding occurring in many locations like to our SW recently as the fast Pacific Jet encounters the Southeast Ridge. where do the record 500mb ridges come from? how accurately can we predict them in advance, Chris? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted April 3 Share Posted April 3 1 hour ago, Feen said: does anyone have the euro AI snow map? It has some snow for areas mostly N of 80 on 4/8 in the map below; it also has some more snow on 4/12 for areas N of 84 and then even more on 4/18 for the Catskills/Berkshires and north. Assuming you want the first one that gives you a bit of snow. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted April 3 Share Posted April 3 Tomorrow will remain warm, but showers and perhaps a thundershower are possible as a cold front moves through the region. It will turn cooler on Saturday and then milder again on Sunday. Showers are possible during the weekend.The first half of next week could feature below normal temperatures. Two big stories will likely dominate the U.S. weather this week. First, a major to historic rainfall event is likely to affect parts of the Tennessee Valley tomorrow through Sunday. Excessive rainfall is likely in parts of Arkansas, Kentucky, Missouri, and Tennessee. Second, unseasonable heat is likely in parts of the Southeast. Tampa could experience its earlest four-day heatwave on record during April 2-5. The existing record is April 26-29, 1991. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.9°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.1°C for the week centered around March 19. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.00°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.18°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely continue into at least late spring. Early indications are that summer 2025 will be warmer than normal in the New York City and Philadelphia areas. The potential exists for a much warmer than normal summer (more than 1° above normal). The SOI was +26.82 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.527 today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted April 3 Share Posted April 3 2 hours ago, LibertyBell said: where do the record 500mb ridges come from? how accurately can we predict them in advance, Chris? As the atmosphere continues to warm, the 500mb heights have been increasing to record levels. So it leads to weather patterns getting stuck in place over extended periods of time. The trough areas have been shrinking also so we don’t see the really deep troughs like we used to get which were very cold. Even though we had impressive -EPO +PNA -AO blocking this past winter, the cold never was able to approach levels we saw during past winters with similar teleconnections. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted April 3 Share Posted April 3 64 today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted April 3 Share Posted April 3 37 minutes ago, bluewave said: As the atmosphere continues to warm, the 500mb heights have been increasing to record levels. So it leads to weather patterns getting stuck in place over extended periods of time. The trough areas have been shrinking also so we don’t see the really deep troughs like we used to get which were very cold. Even though we had impressive -EPO +PNA -AO blocking this past winter, the cold never was able to approach levels we saw during past winters with similar teleconnections. Must be all that UHI at 500mb! Haha People forget that all levels of the troposphere are rapidly warming. Hard to blame the airport tarmac when the record heating is also happening at 850mb, 500mb, etc. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted April 4 Share Posted April 4 Temp actually at the high for today right now at 72 degrees here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted April 4 Share Posted April 4 Still 71 and muggy Dews in the mid 60s 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted April 4 Share Posted April 4 74/63 in Jersey City 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Picard Posted April 4 Share Posted April 4 Christ, this is almost like a summer night. Temp 67, DP 63. Looks like temps are still in the mid 70s to the south. It's a good cure for dry skin. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted April 4 Share Posted April 4 On 4/2/2025 at 8:14 AM, jm1220 said: Here we get to 70 if we have a westerly flow. South all day won’t do it. That’s 50s on the barrier islands and maybe mid 60s where I am. About right. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted April 4 Share Posted April 4 Pretty warm for 10 p.m. on April 3rd. with dp's in the mid to some upper 60's. A bit much honestly. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STORMANLI Posted April 4 Share Posted April 4 1 hour ago, MANDA said: Pretty warm for 10 p.m. on April 3rd. with dp's in the mid to some upper 60's. A bit much honestly. Agreed. 57/55 here now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted April 4 Share Posted April 4 59/57 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted April 4 Share Posted April 4 After all the SSWE hype the end of February and throughout March, the mid-March event failed to couple, as was the case with every other stratospheric wave reflection and stretching event that has occurred since November. The stratosphere and troposphere have remained totally uncoupled 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted April 4 Share Posted April 4 36 minutes ago, snowman19 said: After all the SSWE hype the end of February and throughout March, the mid-March event failed to couple, as was the case with every other stratospheric wave reflection and stretching event that has occurred since November. The stratosphere and troposphere have remained totally uncoupled The SSWE thing is overhyped in general-I feel it works about 25% of the time for our part of the world 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted April 4 Share Posted April 4 7 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: The SSWE thing is overhyped in general-I feel it works about 25% of the time for our part of the world I think it’s more like 10%. Tends to dump cold into Eurasia. Seems like grasping for straws. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark Star Posted April 4 Share Posted April 4 22 hours ago, SACRUS said: NYC Easter Snow April, 3 1915 : 10 inches of snow - largest of the season I found an article where it said New York City received about 10" of snow in Central Park on April 07, 1982, nearby suburbs up to 20". These photos were from April 07, 1982 in my backyard in Union Township. Judging by the top of the garbage can, we had at least 12", probably more. Easter was on April 11, 1982. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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