Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,881
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    Gilzed378
    Newest Member
    Gilzed378
    Joined

April 2025 Discussion/Obs


Rjay
 Share

Recommended Posts

Morris NJ-

526 PM EDT Tue Apr 15 2025

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM EDT

FOR NORTHEASTERN MORRIS COUNTY...

At 525 PM EDT, a shower capable of producing damaging winds was located over Kinnelon, or near Pompton Lakes, moving east at 40 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Damage to roofs, siding, trees, and power lines is

         possible.

  • Confused 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Somewhat cooler air will move into the region tonight. Highs tomorrow will reach the lower 50s in New York City and then upper 50s on Thursday.

Milder air will likely return to end the week. Saturday could be unseasonably warm with readings soaring into the 70s in the New York City area. Some of the warmer spots in New Jersey could approach or reach 80°. The mild weather will continue into at least the start of next week.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +1.2°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.1°C for the week centered around April 9. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.25°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.33°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely continue through at least late spring.

Early indications are that summer 2025 will be warmer than normal in the New York City and Philadelphia areas. The potential exists for a much warmer than normal summer (more than 1° above normal).

The SOI was +3.03 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.383 today.

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 60% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal April (1991-2020 normal). April will likely finish with a mean temperature near 53.0° (0.7° below normal).

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

×
×
  • Create New...