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April 2025 Discussion/Obs


Rjay
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Today was another warm day before the sea breeze pushed in. Temperatures rose into the 70s across much of the area.

The warm weather will continue through the week. It will turn somewhat cooler but remain mild during the weekend. A moderate rainfall is possible during the weekend. Sunday will also be the coolest day with readings topping out in the lower and middle 60s.

Temperatures will rebound into the 70s early next week.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.6°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.2°C for the week centered around April 16. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.08°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged 0.00°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely continue through at least early summer.

Early indications are that summer 2025 will be warmer than normal in the New York City and Philadelphia areas. The potential exists for a much warmer than normal summer (more than 1° above normal).

The SOI was -5.91 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.666 today.

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 92% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal April (1991-2020 normal). April will likely finish with a mean temperature near 55.0° (1.3° above normal).

 

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5 hours ago, LibertyBell said:

The Soviet Union was horrible but they weren't even remotely close to socialism. China is also pretty bad but not anywhere close to the system I envision.

The Nordic nations are at the top of every benchmark, including life expectancy.  Those are the best, and they don't use corrupt crony capitalism like this cesspool of a nation does.  A mixed economy is the best system.

The US is very mediocre in every way.

If you’re not afraid of socialism, you can’t be afraid of anything.  Humans don’t do well under socialism. People have different desires, whims, goals, tastes, religions, etc. and socialism doesn’t allow for that, so you get concentration camps and gulags.  Like in China and North Korea.  Everyone is supposed to be equal (poor), or more equal (the communist party members).  
 

there is a lot of heavy industry up there in the nordics, and Norway is as much a petro state as any with few peers. The largest gas rigs on esrth are norwegian. Also, Sweden has the second highest per capita murder rate in Europe.  Behind Albania.  Paradise is elsewhere.

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3 hours ago, cleetussnow said:

If you’re not afraid of socialism, you can’t be afraid of anything.  Humans don’t do well under socialism. People have different desires, whims, goals, tastes, religions, etc. and socialism doesn’t allow for that, so you get concentration camps and gulags.  Like in China and North Korea.  Everyone is supposed to be equal (poor), or more equal (the communist party members).  
 

there is a lot of heavy industry up there in the nordics, and Norway is as much a petro state as any with few peers. The largest gas rigs on esrth are norwegian. Also, Sweden has the second highest per capita murder rate in Europe.  Behind Albania.  Paradise is elsewhere.

China and Korea aren't socialist, they're authoritarian. There's never been a socialist country. 

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