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April 2025 Discussion/Obs


Rjay
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5 hours ago, winterwx21 said:

Only 55 here right now. I don't think we're gonna make the forecasted low 60s today. Not a surprise that temps are underperforming with the clouds and wind off the ocean. I'm looking forward to the much warmer weather the rest of the week. 

Got to 62 here

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A few showers are possible tonight as a warm front moves across the region. It will again turn milder tomorrow. The generally mild weather will continue through the week. It will also remain mainly dry into at least the middle of the week. A moderate rainfall is possible during the weekend.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +1.2°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.1°C for the week centered around April 9. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.25°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.33°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely continue through at least late spring.

Early indications are that summer 2025 will be warmer than normal in the New York City and Philadelphia areas. The potential exists for a much warmer than normal summer (more than 1° above normal).

The SOI was +14.06 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.131 today.

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 60% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal April (1991-2020 normal). April will likely finish with a mean temperature near 54.0° (0.3° above normal).

 

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1 hour ago, Sundog said:

Just a couple years ago I had to cut down what was a healthy, large 60+ year old Ash tree because of the stupid Emerald Ash Borer. It was a gorgeous tree with a huge, solid shade. Then all within 3 years it went to hell. 

Just a couple months ago I had to cut down one of my Dogwoods because it hollowed out and was in danger of falling over even though it still had a pretty healthy canopy.  

I've been having terrible luck with trees the last 15 years. 

Wow, big White Ash are pretty rare this far south. Up north where they are plentiful the borer beetle has been nothing short of devastating. My uncle has a gorgeous property on 120 acres in NE Pa just south of Binghamton at 1900’ and Ash was the predominant tree. The fall foliage was spectacular. Now it’s a stick Forrest. I was up there in October and  cut down 30 decent size Ash’s nearest to the house. While that was fun for me, it’s an awful situation.

Im assuming you’re talking about an American Dogwood based on the rot pattern. Those too used to be very plentiful and have been dwindling over the years for various reasons.

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1 hour ago, Sundog said:

Just a couple years ago I had to cut down what was a healthy, large 60+ year old Ash tree because of the stupid Emerald Ash Borer. It was a gorgeous tree with a huge, solid shade. Then all within 3 years it went to hell. 

Just a couple months ago I had to cut down one of my Dogwoods because it hollowed out and was in danger of falling over even though it still had a pretty healthy canopy.  

I've been having terrible luck with trees the last 15 years. 

Have to cut down a massive tree in my new yard. Tree itself has to be a 1/4 acre and its roots are ripping apart everything. I really hate to cut it down but I really have no choice, as it completely dominates the yard and is growing into the pool and buckling the patio 

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4 hours ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

That’s a pretty small impact except maybe locally in some suburbs that have strict planting and removal restrictions. The neighborhood I grew up in, in south Wantagh was completely tree covered in the 80s/90s. Between March 2010, Irene and Sandy we lost a tremendous amount of trees in a short time. After Sandy especially there was a panick of removals. Now there a very few trees in the entire neighborhood. Even in the wantagh woods which was known for its mature oaks and beech’s there are far, far fewer trees. Developers buy old houses on big lots, cut all the trees and build 2 McMansions. Again this is local, where I live now in Lynbrook there are still plenty of mature trees. 

I've read about male trees being a big problem because people are too lazy to plant female trees because they don't want to clean up after them.

 

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4 hours ago, Sundog said:

I lost a tremendous amount of large mature trees in my area starting with the Queens tornado in September 2010. 

My area is still pretty green but before 2010 you had to search for sunshine walking on the sidewalk. 

It's very saddening. 

We have these giant invasive trees here (I'm not sure what they are called) that are spreading like wildfire.  Completely cut off the sun and it's affected my planting.  Thinking of trimming the top off or just hiring someone to cut it down.

 

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4 hours ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

That’s a pretty small impact except maybe locally in some suburbs that have strict planting and removal restrictions. The neighborhood I grew up in, in south Wantagh was completely tree covered in the 80s/90s. Between March 2010, Irene and Sandy we lost a tremendous amount of trees in a short time. After Sandy especially there was a panick of removals. Now there a very few trees in the entire neighborhood. Even in the wantagh woods which was known for its mature oaks and beech’s there are far, far fewer trees. Developers buy old houses on big lots, cut all the trees and build 2 McMansions. Again this is local, where I live now in Lynbrook there are still plenty of mature trees. 

I wonder how much tree loss there was in September 1998 in Lynbrook when we had that severe wx outbreak on Labor Day and an F2 tornado directly hit Lynbrook.

That was our biggest severe wx outbreak for this area that I can remember.

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