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April 2025 Discussion/Obs


Rjay
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58 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

I remember that day. Serious back door. I dont think ive ever seen mid 30s and mid 80s at the same time in CT, that was wild.

We were only in the 50s here with a forecast of 70

 

Screenshot 2025-03-29 135911.png

I agree, the gradient was remarkable. I was in the upper east side visiting someone when the front came through and within a few minutes there was a 20 degree difference between where I was and my apartment in the upper west side.

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15 hours ago, LibertyBell said:

Sunday's the better day with a full day of sunshine.  Thursday and Friday also better with sunshine.  Looks like next week will be mostly sunny too, finally.

 

The strong winds will continue to be the common denominator.

 

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On 4/13/2025 at 12:21 PM, donsutherland1 said:

Looking ahead to May, April has a pretty strong correlation with May's temperatures (0.32 coefficient of determination). That relationship is more than twice as strong as that for March.

image.png.935f2435f16bc61b0a04ce9339cdadf2.png

However, that means that other variables explain 68% of May's temperatures. Therefore, the current cool start to April and possible cool monthly anomaly doesn't necessarily mean that May will wind up cooler than normal in the New York City area.

So far, latest CFSv2 guidance is suggesting near normal to somewhat warmer than normal conditions for May. The ECMWF Monthly forecast run earlier this month showed a similar idea.

image.png.3c79a9c125fd52bf2108f4449e02343c.png

May Ideas from the ECMWF and C3S Multi-Model Suite:

C3S:

image.thumb.png.124915a788c7648bfd8ba1db222ac52a.png

 

image.thumb.png.7224cdb27fc3217f03cfece9ceb7d757.png

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8 hours ago, ILoveWinter said:

I agree, the gradient was remarkable. I was in the upper east side visiting someone when the front came through and within a few minutes there was a 20 degree difference between where I was and my apartment in the upper west side.

it would be even more wild if the front stalled right there....

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15 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

right after the windiest winter on record?

I know you said it's because of all these cutters, but why is it when we had cutter patterns in the past (and we've had a lot of them), it was never windy like it is now?

Yeah, it was the windiest winter also. While there have always been cutters, the storm track through the Great Lakes this year has been supercharged. This is how a winter with an average of 34.8° in NYC can run 41.0° on the 11 days that precipitation over .25 fell. 

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58 / 53 light drizzle earlier and what is the 6th straight day of mostly cloudy conditions rolls on.  Did make it to 70 yesterday with some breaks in the clouds but was mostly cloudy a majority of the day.  More clouds and windy later tonight and  tomorrow and cooler back to the 50s.   Thursday looks the sunniest day of what should wind up being 11 days (April 10 - 20).  Much warmer Fri / Sat but still plenty of clouds and isolated showers, larger breaks on Saturday will get places back above 80.   Easter looks dry and near normal.

The period 21 - 30 looks overall warmer than normal but not as warm as had previously been forecast.  

 

GOES19-EUS-02-1000x1000.gif

 

 

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Records:

Highs:

EWR: 88 (1960)
NYC: 87 (1941)
LGA: 86 (1941)
JFK: 80 (2006)

 

 

Lows:

EWR: 25 (1943)
NYC: 27 (1943)
LGA: 28 (1943)
JFK: 33 (1962)

 


Historical:

 

1921 - Two mile high Silver Lake, CO, received 76 inches of snow in 24 hours, the heaviest 24 hour total of record for North America. The storm left a total of 87 inches in twenty-seven and a half hours. (David Ludlum)

1927 - New Orleans LA was drenched with 14.01 inches of rain, which established a 24 hour rainfall record for the state. (The Weather Channel)

1949 - A hailstone five inches by five and a half inches in size, and weighing four pounds, was measured at Troy NY. (The Weather Channel)

1958 - A tornado 300 yards in width skipped along a five mile path near Frostproof FL. A 2500 gallon water tank was found one mile from its original position (it is not known how much water was in the tank at the time). (The Weather Channel)

1987 - Thunderstorms developing along a cold front produced severe weather in the Southern Atlantic Coast Region. A tornado killed one person and injured seven others near Mount Dora FL. Drifts of hail up to two feet deep were reported in Davidson and Rowan counties in North Carolina. Myrtle Beach SC was deluged with seven inches of rain in three hours. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1988 - Death Valley, CA, was soaked with 1.53 inches of rain in 24 hours. Snow fell in the mountains of southern California. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1989 - Showers and thunderstorms soaked the eastern U.S. with heavy rain, pushing the rainfall total for the month at Cape Hatteras NC past their previous April record of 7.10 inches. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)

1990 - Thunderstorms developing along a stationary front produced severe weather from west central Texas to west central Arkansas during the late afternoon and evening. Thunderstorms spawned a tornado which caused more than half a million dollars damage at Fort Stockton TX, produced wind gusts to 65 mph at Dennison TX, produced baseball size hail at Silo OK and near Capps Corner TX, and drenched southeastern Oklahoma with up to 4 inches of rain in two hours. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

 

1998: An F3 tornado hits downtown Nashville causing extensive damage but no loss of life. An additional 62 tornadoes touched down in Arkansas, Kentucky, and Tennessee. These tornadoes caused 12 fatalities and approximately 120 injuries. Click HERE for more information from the NWS Office in Nashville.

 



 

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55 minutes ago, SACRUS said:

 

58 / 53 light drizzle earlier and what is the 6th straight day of mostly cloudy conditions rolls on.  Did make it to 70 yesterday with some breaks in the clouds but was mostly cloudy a majority of the day.  More clouds and windy later tonight and  tomorrow and cooler back to the 50s.   Thursday looks the sunniest day of what should wind up being 11 days (April 10 - 20).  Much warmer Fri / Sat but still plenty of clouds and isolated showers, larger breaks on Saturday will get places back above 80.   Easter looks dry and near normal.

The period 21 - 30 looks overall warmer than normal but not as warm as had previously been forecast.  

 

GOES19-EUS-02-1000x1000.gif

 

 

The only really nice day looks to be Thursday.

It's still raining here lol

Forecast bust, the forecast was for the rain to clear the area before sunrise.

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9 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

The only really nice day looks to be Thursday.

It's still raining here lol

Forecast bust, the forecast was for the rain to clear the area before sunrise.

As it looks now Easter Sunday looks nice, partly cloudy.

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