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April 2025 Discussion/Obs


Rjay
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51 / 33 clouds coming back.  Break the below normal streak and much warmer the next 36 hours.  Mid / upper 60s and with enough sun in spots near or to 70.  Some showers overnight.  Cooler Tue PM / Wed.  Back to normal or above by Thu and it looks to stay overall warm to very warm beyond there.  Drier week with the exception of some rain light and showers Tue AM and Fri PM into Saturday  near 0.25 for the week.  Saturday could be very warm pending on clouds.  Easter looks dry and pleasant.  Ridge into the east and a very warm close to the month should balance off the current negative departures and push some places above.

 

GOES19-EUS-02-1000x1000.gif

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Records:

Highs:

EWR: 93 (2023)
NYC: 91 (2023)
LGA: 89 (2023)
JFK: 82 (2023)

Lows:

EWR: 26 (1950)
NYC: 26 (1950)
LGA: 27 (1950)
JFK: 27 (1950)

Historical:

 

1873 - A famous Easter blizzard raged across Kansas, Nebraska and South Dakota. Gale force winds blew the wet snow into massive drifts, however there were few deaths due to the sparse population and due to the gradual increase of the storm. (David Ludlum)

1886 - A devastating tornado, 800 yards in width at times, cut a twenty mile path through Saint Cloud MN killing 74 persons. The bottom of the Mississippi River was said to have been seen during the tornado's crossing. Eleven persons were killed at a wedding party near the town of Rice. (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel)

 

1912: On her maiden voyage, the RMS Titanic rammed into an iceberg just before midnight. The "unsinkable ship" sank two hours and forty minutes later into the icy water of the Atlantic Ocean near Newfoundland, Canada. Tragically, 1,517 passengers including the crew were lost. A nearby ship, the Carpathia, rushed to the Titanic and was able to save 706 people. 

1922: The Mississippi River reached a record height of 21.3 feet at New Orleans, Louisiana, and the river was still rising, with the crest still a week away. Understandably, the City of New Orleans was nervous as reports of levees failing upriver reached the city. A crevasse below New Orleans would relieve the pressure on the town's strained levees on the 27th, spared the city from disaster.

 

1935: Black Sunday refers to a particularly severe dust storm that occurred on April 14, 1935, as part of the Dust Bowl. During the afternoon, the residents of the Plains States were forced to take cover as a dust storm, or "black blizzard," blew through the region. The storm hit the Oklahoma Panhandle and Northwestern Oklahoma first and moved south for the remainder of the day. It hit Beaver around 4:00 p.m., Boise City around 5:15 p.m., and Amarillo, Texas, at 7:20 p.m. The conditions were the most severe in the Oklahoma and Texas panhandles, but the storm's effects were felt in other surrounding areas.

1987 - A storm system moving slowly northeastward across the Middle Mississippi Valley produced severe thunderstorms which spawned three tornadoes around Ottumwa IA, and produced up to four inches of rain in southeastern Nebraska, flooding rivers and streams. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1988 - A weather disturbance off the southern coast of California brought parts of southern California their first rain in six weeks. Rain-slickened roads resulted in numerous accidents in southern California, including a ten car pile-up at Riverside. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1989 - Late afternoon thunderstorms in northern Florida soaked the town of Golden Gate with 4.37 inches of rain in about two hours, resulting in local flooding. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1990 - Thunderstorms developing along a cold front produced severe weather in southeastern Texas during the mid morning hours. Thunderstorms produced dime size hail at Galveston, and wind gusts to 59 mph at Port Arthur. Afternoon thunderstorms over southeast Louisiana spawned tornadoes south of Bogalusa and at Rio. (Storm Data)

 

 

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58 minutes ago, SACRUS said:

 

 

Records:

Highs:

EWR: 93 (2023)
NYC: 91 (2023)
LGA: 89 (2023)
JFK: 82 (2023)

Lows:

EWR: 26 (1950)
NYC: 26 (1950)
LGA: 27 (1950)
JFK: 27 (1950)

Historical:

 

1873 - A famous Easter blizzard raged across Kansas, Nebraska and South Dakota. Gale force winds blew the wet snow into massive drifts, however there were few deaths due to the sparse population and due to the gradual increase of the storm. (David Ludlum)

1886 - A devastating tornado, 800 yards in width at times, cut a twenty mile path through Saint Cloud MN killing 74 persons. The bottom of the Mississippi River was said to have been seen during the tornado's crossing. Eleven persons were killed at a wedding party near the town of Rice. (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel)

 

1912: On her maiden voyage, the RMS Titanic rammed into an iceberg just before midnight. The "unsinkable ship" sank two hours and forty minutes later into the icy water of the Atlantic Ocean near Newfoundland, Canada. Tragically, 1,517 passengers including the crew were lost. A nearby ship, the Carpathia, rushed to the Titanic and was able to save 706 people. 

1922: The Mississippi River reached a record height of 21.3 feet at New Orleans, Louisiana, and the river was still rising, with the crest still a week away. Understandably, the City of New Orleans was nervous as reports of levees failing upriver reached the city. A crevasse below New Orleans would relieve the pressure on the town's strained levees on the 27th, spared the city from disaster.

 

1935: Black Sunday refers to a particularly severe dust storm that occurred on April 14, 1935, as part of the Dust Bowl. During the afternoon, the residents of the Plains States were forced to take cover as a dust storm, or "black blizzard," blew through the region. The storm hit the Oklahoma Panhandle and Northwestern Oklahoma first and moved south for the remainder of the day. It hit Beaver around 4:00 p.m., Boise City around 5:15 p.m., and Amarillo, Texas, at 7:20 p.m. The conditions were the most severe in the Oklahoma and Texas panhandles, but the storm's effects were felt in other surrounding areas.

1987 - A storm system moving slowly northeastward across the Middle Mississippi Valley produced severe thunderstorms which spawned three tornadoes around Ottumwa IA, and produced up to four inches of rain in southeastern Nebraska, flooding rivers and streams. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1988 - A weather disturbance off the southern coast of California brought parts of southern California their first rain in six weeks. Rain-slickened roads resulted in numerous accidents in southern California, including a ten car pile-up at Riverside. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1989 - Late afternoon thunderstorms in northern Florida soaked the town of Golden Gate with 4.37 inches of rain in about two hours, resulting in local flooding. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1990 - Thunderstorms developing along a cold front produced severe weather in southeastern Texas during the mid morning hours. Thunderstorms produced dime size hail at Galveston, and wind gusts to 59 mph at Port Arthur. Afternoon thunderstorms over southeast Louisiana spawned tornadoes south of Bogalusa and at Rio. (Storm Data)

 

 

EWR: 93 (2023)
NYC: 91 (2023)
LGA: 89 (2023)
JFK: 82 (2023)

 

This was from our 2 day miniheatwave 2 years ago, fun times.

 

Records:

Highs:

EWR: 93 (2023)
NYC: 91 (2023)
LGA: 89 (2023)
JFK: 82 (2023)

Lows:

EWR: 26 (1950)
NYC: 26 (1950)
LGA: 27 (1950)
JFK: 27 (1950)

 

Tony how often have we had the same year for daily records across the board at all 4 official sites (1950 and 2023 in this case).  Not to mention that 1950 might be the earliest you could even have the same record across all 4 official sites.

 

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16 hours ago, LibertyBell said:

when are we finally going to see the winds calm down?

31 days with winds above 30 mph since January 1st and this winter our winds averaged 40 mph?

 

Good question. Today should see a drop off in the winds. But tomorrow will have very steep low level lapse rates. So we could see 45-50 mph westerly gusts especially if the downslope warming beats guidance by a few degrees like we haven been regularly experiencing.

IMG_3416.thumb.jpeg.07ea0b4e80bcf349b8c52a514fc43df4.jpeg

 

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1 hour ago, bluewave said:

Good question. Today should see a drop off in the winds. But tomorrow will have very steep low level lapse rates. So we could see 45-50 mph westerly gusts especially if the downslope warming beats guidance by a few degrees like we haven been regularly experiencing.

IMG_3416.thumb.jpeg.07ea0b4e80bcf349b8c52a514fc43df4.jpeg

 

it would be nice to see a strong SE ridge also developing and block all that crap from the west so we could have nice sunny skies and let the storms go off either to our north or south.

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1 hour ago, SACRUS said:

just a little sun will do the trick.

if we don't get a lot of sun for the remainder of the month, we could see April wind up below normal.  That would make 4 out of the last 5 months below normal (with the obvious glaring exception of March.)  I wonder when the last time was that we had 4 out of 5 months with below normal temperatures..... 2013-14 or 2014-15?

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2 hours ago, LibertyBell said:

it would be nice to see a strong SE ridge also developing and block all that crap from the west so we could have nice sunny skies and let the storms go off either to our north or south.

Saturday looks like or next run on 80° for the warm spots.

IMG_3417.thumb.png.7ce9c5762d2451fc0bf22cc5891df329.png

 

 

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Under partly sunny skies, the temperature suged into the 60s across the New York City area. Highs included:

Bridgeport: 62°
Islip: 67°
New York City-Central Park: 66°
New York City-JFK Airport: 62°
New York City-LaGuardia Airport: 65°
Newark: 67°

Tomorrow will be another warmer than normal day before a fresh push of somewhat cooler air moves into the region for the middle of the week. A shower or even thundershower is possible tomorrow.

Milder air will likely return to end the week. Saturday could be unseasonably warm with readings soaring into the 70s in the New York City area.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +1.2°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.1°C for the week centered around April 9. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.25°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.33°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely continue through at least late spring.

Early indications are that summer 2025 will be warmer than normal in the New York City and Philadelphia areas. The potential exists for a much warmer than normal summer (more than 1° above normal).

The SOI was +3.53 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.307 today.

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 61% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal April (1991-2020 normal). April will likely finish with a mean temperature near 52.8° (0.9° below normal).

 

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