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April 2025 Discussion/Obs


Rjay
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5 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

lol it will be worse ;)

Tuesday through Thursday will be okay.

There will be sun, even though it's cold, who cares, the sun is high enough in the sky during the day that it won't matter much.

I was installing a solar panel for my ring camera yesterday dodging the showers since the damned thing is battery powered and got tired of swapping batteries often. 

I wont really know how well it generates power until Tuesday because of all this cloudiness and rain. 

I love cool and sunny this time of year, it doesn't actually feel cold. 

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Just now, Sundog said:

I was installing a solar panel for my ring camera yesterday dodging the showers since the damned thing is battery powered and got tired of swapping batteries often. 

I wont really know how well it generates power until Tuesday because of all this cloudiness and rain. 

I love cool and sunny this time of year, it doesn't actually feel cold. 

Yep, cool/cold this time of year is only a problem at night.  I hope your solar panels work out, our springs seem to be getting wetter (and cooler in terms of high temperatures.)  You might need to clean it often otherwise mold and/or mildew might reduce its efficiency (if we keep getting wet weather like this.)

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Just now, LibertyBell said:

Yes the *warmth* doesn't mean much if it's going to be cloudy/foggy/misty/drizzly/rainy

Spring weather was much better in the 70s/80s/90s/all the way to 2002.

on the flip sides our September and Octobers have been warm and beautiful of late....spring sucks generally....fall much nicer

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2 hours ago, LibertyBell said:

But the 1938 storm made landfall 100 miles east of Manhattan.

 

Hazel went up the Appalachians and had tremendous land interaction and weakening. The reason our area experienced strong winds so far removed from the center was due to the trough. 
38 was an extremely powerful and deep hurricane rocketing north. So it had very little time to weaken. The Empire State Building had a 125mph gust during 38.

I read a ton of news articles about both storms and my conclusion is based off the amount of tree damage reported in Central Park. So it’s not exactly purely scientific.

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1 minute ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

Hazel went up the Appalachians and had tremendous land interaction and weakening. The reason our area experienced strong winds so far removed from the center was due to the trough. 
38 was an extremely powerful and deep hurricane rocketing north. So it had very little time to weaken. The Empire State Building had a 125mph gust during 38.

I read a ton of news articles about both storms and my conclusion is based off the amount of tree damage reported in Central Park. So it’s not exactly purely scientific.

It could be true especially since it was no longer purely tropical.  Worse than Sandy in terms of winds wow (we had 90-95 mph winds here from Sandy.)

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1 minute ago, LibertyBell said:

It could be true especially since it was no longer purely tropical.  Worse than Sandy in terms of winds wow (we had 90-95 mph winds here from Sandy.)

Yeah definitely worse then Sandy wind wise for the island. Likely the strongest winds in a few hundred years. Peak wind gusts in the Hamptons were 140mph and close to 100mph in Nassau (right along the water) Blue Hill in Ma, over 100 miles north east of the landfall in the Hamptons gusted to 160mph at 600 feet. (Not exactly that high)

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1 hour ago, LibertyBell said:

lol it will be worse ;)

Tuesday through Thursday will be okay.

There will be sun, even though it's cold, who cares, the sun is high enough in the sky during the day that it won't matter much.

Clouds mau be back as soon as Thursday. Enjoy the sun Tue/Wed.  

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3 hours ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

Yeah definitely worse then Sandy wind wise for the island. Likely the strongest winds in a few hundred years. Peak wind gusts in the Hamptons were 140mph and close to 100mph in Nassau (right along the water) Blue Hill in Ma, over 100 miles north east of the landfall in the Hamptons gusted to 160mph at 600 feet. (Not exactly that high)

Blue Hill had a sustained wind of 121mph and a gust of 186mph during the 1938 hurricane.

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It will turn noticeably cooler tomorrow with some additional showers and light rain. Parts of New York State could even see some snow with a minor accumulation (0.5" or less) possible in Albany through tomorrow.

High temperatures will likely remain confined to the 40s in New York City through Wednesday.

It will begin to turn milder after midweek with temperatures approaching near seasonable levels.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.9°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.1°C for the week centered around March 19. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.00°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.18°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely continue into at least late spring.

Early indications are that summer 2025 will be warmer than normal in the New York City and Philadelphia areas. The potential exists for a much warmer than normal summer (more than 1° above normal).

The SOI was +6.78 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.852 today.

 

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11 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said:

It will turn noticeably cooler tomorrow with some additional showers and light rain. Parts of New York City could even see some snow with a minor accumulation (0.5" or less) possible in Albany through tomorrow.

High temperatures will likely remain confined to the 40s in New York City through Wednesday.

It will begin to turn milder after midweek with temperatures approaching near seasonable levels.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.9°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.1°C for the week centered around March 19. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.00°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.18°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely continue into at least late spring.

Early indications are that summer 2025 will be warmer than normal in the New York City and Philadelphia areas. The potential exists for a much warmer than normal summer (more than 1° above normal).

The SOI was +6.78 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.852 today.

 

Don, parts of New York City could see some snow ?

 

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