April 2025 Discussion/Obs

[LibertyBell]

3 hours ago, winterwx21 said:

Yeah I remember how miserable it was when I was a kid and played baseball in April. A tough sport to play in cold weather, and as you said tough for the people in the stands watching. 

Today is not bad at all, no wind and bright and sunny this afternoon!

[LibertyBell]

3 hours ago, FPizz said:

So glad my kids are older and out of sports now.  I hated the first 6 weeks of baseball/softball season.  Nice days always seemed to happen on a non game/practice day, haha.

If you're a Mets fan today was the perfect day for the home opener, the sun came out right around 2 pm and it's blindingly bright right now and no wind.

 

[LibertyBell]

72 and sunny no winds, this is the warmest it's been here since last Saturday when it was 83 here.

 

[Feen]

anyone here have the Euro AI snowmap for next weeks storm?

[MJO812]

10 minutes ago, Feen said:

anyone here have the Euro AI snowmap for next weeks storm?

Nice interior snowstorm 

[forkyfork]

4 hours ago, Stormlover74 said:

Except for the nam most of the models shifted well south at the last minute

lol

[Roger Smith]

I would guess min 33 max 43 Tues 8th, and min 29 max 46 on Wed 9th (NYC), 27/39 and 25/43 lower valley and rural NJ with 1-2" snow Tuesday over Catskills and Berkshires, only a few stray flakes in se NY, 0.5" to 1.0" Poconos and a few n NJ higher elevations.

[snowman19]

33 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Nice interior snowstorm 

I’ll take “Things that definitely aren’t going to happen” for $1,000 Alex

[LongBeachSurfFreak]

1 hour ago, LibertyBell said:

72 and sunny no winds, this is the warmest it's been here since last Saturday when it was 83 here.

 

Perfect spring day (maybe a little more sun) took my gfs dog for a run in Hempstead Lake Park. 

[Stormlover74]

40 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

Perfect spring day (maybe a little more sun) took my gfs dog for a run in Hempstead Lake Park. 

For a second I thought you named your dog gfs

[lee59]

Beautiful 70 degrees today. Chillier weather for the near future, even Sunday now looks like only the 50s

[donsutherland1]

Tomorrow will be unseasonably cool with some showers or periods fo rain. It will turn somewhat milder on Sunday with additional showers and thundershowers possible. Highs will likely reach the upper 50s in New York City and middle 60s in Philadelphia.

It will turn cooler on Saturday and then milder again on Sunday. Showers are possible during the weekend. Much of next week could feature below normal temperatures.

Two big stories continue to dominate the U.S. weather this week. First, a major to historic rainfall event is affecting parts of the Tennessee Valley. Excessive rainfall is occurring in parts of Arkansas, Kentucky, Missouri, and Tennessee. Second, unseasonable heat covers parts of the Southeast. Tampa could experience its earlest four-day heatwave on record during April 2-5. The existing record is April 26-29, 1991.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.9°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.1°C for the week centered around March 19. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.00°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.18°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely continue into at least late spring.

Early indications are that summer 2025 will be warmer than normal in the New York City and Philadelphia areas. The potential exists for a much warmer than normal summer (more than 1° above normal).

The SOI was +26.82 yesterday.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.043 today.

 

[psv88]

71 today 

[steve392]

This spring is way better than the previous 4.  My yard is almost fully greened up.  I had to cut it today.  

 

[SRRTA22]

3 hours ago, steve392 said:

This spring is way better than the previous 4.  My yard is almost fully greened up.  I had to cut it today.  

 

Seriously. Everything is in full swing here as well and it's lush...

What drought? 

[LongBeachSurfFreak]

It’s going to pour today. The radar is fully lit up over PA.

[wishcast_hater]

It’s going to pour today. The radar is fully lit up over PA.

It’s all going North. Not much forecast for NYC today.

[SACRUS]

 

55 / 37 and cloudy.  Rain, showers throughout the day with the heaviest staying north. Similar Sunday and Monday with 0.50 - an inch in the heavier spots of rainfall through Monday morning.  Trough into the northeast for an overall cooler period 4/8 - 4/14 with the next shot rain Friday into next weekend.  Cut off mid month looks less intense on the last 2 days of data and a gradual warm up should follow next weekends unsettled weather, although no major sustained much above normal temps look likely through the next 10 days - 2 weeks.
 

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov//GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/NE/GEOCOLOR/GOES16-NE-GEOCOLOR-600x600.gif 

 

[LongBeachSurfFreak]

1 minute ago, wishcast_hater said:

It’s all going North. Not much forecast for NYC today.

Radar truth says otherwise. We have seen the models off by a 100 miles. 

I’m routing for a dry day, I just don’t see how we escape that much precip incoming.

[SACRUS]

 

 

[bluewave]

It will be interesting to see if we can actually get a slow moving coastal next weekend since that storm track has been almost nonexistent in recent years. 
 

 

[SACRUS]

 

Records:

Highs:

EWR:  83 (1985)
NYC: 80 (1928)
LGA:  74 (1989)
JFK: 73 (1988)

 

Lows:

EWR: 23 (1995)
NYC: 20 (1874)
LGA: 25 (1995)
JFK: 24 (1995)

 

Historical:

1815: The Tambora Volcano in Java began erupting on this day. A few days later on the 10, Tambora produced the largest eruption known on the planet in the last 10,000 years. Ash from the volcano would circle the globe, blocking sunlight and leading to the unusually cold summer in 1816. On 6/6/1816, snow would fall as far south of Connecticut with some places in New England picking up 10 inches. On July 4th, 1816, the temperature at Savannah GA plunged to 46 degrees. Eastern North America and Europe had freezing nighttime temperatures in August.

 

1936: Approximately 454 people were killed in the second-deadliest tornado outbreak ever in U.S. More than 12 twisters struck Arkansas to South Carolina. An estimated F5 tornado cut a path 400 yards wide through the residential section of Tupelo, Mississippi. At least 216 people were killed, and 700 were injured. The tornado had a 15-mile long path and did $3 million in damage. One of the survivors in Tupelo was a baby of an economically strapped family who had an infant they'd recently named Elvis Aaron Presley. Gainesville, Georgia had at least 203 fatalities and 934 injuries from an estimated F4 tornado that occurred early the following morning. 

1945 - The temperature at Eagles Nest, NM, plunged to 45 degrees below zero to establish an April record for the United States. (Sandra and TI Richard Sanders - 1987)

1955 - The Northern Rockies and the Northern High Plains were in the midst of a four day storm which produced 52 inches of snow at Lead, located in the Black Hills of western South Dakota. (David Ludlum)

1972 - A tornado, 500 yards wide at times, touched down at a marina on the Oregon side of the Columbia River, and then tore through Vancouver WA killing six persons, injuring 300 others, and causing more than five million dollars damage. It was the deadliest tornado of the year, and the worst of record for Washington. (The Weather Channel)

1982 - An unprecedented April blizzard began in the northeastern U.S. One to two feet of snow fell across Massachusetts and Connecticut, and up to 26 inches was reported in Maine. New York City received a foot of snow. Winds reached 70 to 80 mph during the storm, and the storm also produced numerous thunderstorms, which contributed to the heavy snow. (Storm Data)

1987 - A storm produced unprecedented April snows in the central Appalachians. Mount Mitchell NC received 35 inches of snow, and up to 60 inches (six feet) of snow was reported in the mountains along the border of North Carolina and Tennessee. The total of 25 inches at Charleston WV easily surpassed their previous record for the entire month of April of 5.9 inches. The 20.6 inch total at Akron OH established an all-time record for that location. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)

1988 - Thirty-nine cities across the eastern half of the country reported record high temperatures for the date, including Saint Louis MO with a reading of 91 degrees. Laredo TX was the hot spot in the nation with an afternoon high of 100 degrees. (The National Weather Summary)

1989 - Unseasonably hot weather prevailed in the southwestern U.S. Afternoon highs of 100 degrees at Santa Maria CA and 105 degrees in Downtown Los Angeles established records for the month of April. (The National Weather Summary)

1990 - Afternoon and evening thunderstorms developing along a cold front produced severe weather in southern Oklahoma, southern Arkansas, and north central and northeastern Texas. Thunderstorms spawned a dozen tornadoes in Texas, including one at Fort Worth which caused a million dollars damage. There were nearly one hundred reports of large hail and damaging winds. Thunderstorms in Texas produced hail three and a half inches in diameter west of Fort Worth, and produced wind gusts to 80 mph at Cross Plains. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

[SnoSki14]

7 minutes ago, bluewave said:

It will be interesting to see if we can actually get a slow moving coastal next weekend since that storm track has been almost nonexistent in recent years. 
 

 

We will because winter is over 

[bluewave]

3 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

We will because winter is over 

It’s a pretty strong ensemble signal from a week out.

[BxEngine]

16 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

Radar truth says otherwise. We have seen the models off by a 100 miles. 

I’m routing for a dry day, I just don’t see how we escape that much precip incoming.

I dunno radar kinda looks like shit. Most is drifting way north, and even the (admittedly absolutely horrific) hrrr shows most stuff staying to the north with the exeption of some popup showers.

[IrishRob17]

7 minutes ago, BxEngine said:

I dunno radar kinda looks like shit. Most is drifting way north, and even the (admittedly absolutely horrific) hrrr shows most stuff staying to the north with the exeption of some popup showers.

Agreed. There was a nice batch of rain out near Scranton but the bulk of it is going to my north, I just getting clipped by the southern edge. Time will tell what happens with that batch out in western PA. 

[LongBeachSurfFreak]

7 minutes ago, BxEngine said:

I dunno radar kinda looks like shit. Most is drifting way north, and even the (admittedly absolutely horrific) hrrr shows most stuff staying to the north with the exeption of some popup showers.

I’m referring to the precip in western Pa which has a different trajectory. Hopefully when it arrives it’s just a few showers.