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00Z model discussion


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The 500 mb orientation looks excellent on the new RUC. Certainly wants to capture and stall the surface low to the east of norfolk up to east of delaware. Things will be mighty interesting if this RUC is catching on to something here. Seems to be coming slightly west with every run.

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We are in a transition with the low and the radar will start to fill big time over the next several hours as it phases.

The phasing has happened. I too think there will be some echoes over the MA, but believe the NAM/GFS solution from 00Z pretty much captured things. It's late to think the models are out to lunch, look at the radar.

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The phasing has happened. I too think there will be some echoes over the MA, but believe the NAM/GFS solution from 00Z pretty much captured things. It's late to think the models are out to lunch, look at the radar.

HPC says they certainly didn't capture the low pressure well at all, but maybe they got the rest down.

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